70 Reservation St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
70 Reservation is a very affordable 1,596 square foot single family home with off street parking. This two-story Victorian has 3 bedrooms in total, one on the first floor and two larger bedrooms on the second floor. The first floor has the classic City of Buffalo layout; living room to dinning to kitchen. The first-floor bedroom is off the dining room, and the kitchen is large enough to accommodate a table/seating. Laundry is set up in a room off the kitchen at the rear of the house. Also, off the kitchen is the full bath, as well as an enclosed side porch leading to the driveway/backyard. The second-floor primary suite is like two bedrooms in one, ideal for a buyer who needs a lot of closet space with enough room to add a second-floor bathroom. Full attic, concrete driveway. Newer mechanics, updated electric panel, and years left on the roof. Just a 5 min drive to Buffalo State University (. 09 miles), a 7min walk to Wegmans Supermarket (0.3 miles), also walking distance to Chandler Street restaurants, Brewery, and Pool Club.
Key facts
- Enclosed side porch
- Off street parking
- Full attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,763/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.73%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,738
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -44.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 Howell St | 0.09mi | 4/1.0 | 1,545 (-3%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $52 | 80 |
| 246 Amherst St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,628 (+2%) | 2mo | $85,500 | $53 | 60 |
| 111 Gorton St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 | 1,508 (-6%) | 6mo | $164,900 | $109 | 54 |
| 141 Page St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 | 1,479 (-7%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $149 | 51 |
| 62 Kail St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,757 (+10%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $37 | 51 |
| 72 Glor St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-14%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $117 | 47 |
| 103 Ledger St | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,486 (-7%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $124 | 45 |
| 10 Rebecca Park | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-7%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $185 | 44 |
| 805 Amherst St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $182 | 42 |
| 54 Gorton St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,439 (-10%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $108 | 40 |
| 116 Pacific St | 0.68mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-12%) | 7mo | $106,000 | $75 | 37 |
| 116 Ledger St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-12%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $114 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $28,230
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $118,290
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $347/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $628
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $702 | -5% $665 | +0% $628 | +5% $592 | +10% $555 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $559 | +0% $628 | +5% $698 | +10% $768 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $694 | -0.5pp $661 | base $628 | +0.5pp $595 | +1.0pp $560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Germain St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2030 | $1,300 | $0.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 62 Germain St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,250 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 118 Rano St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1304 | $2,560 | $1.96 | 2d | 14 | 1.01mi |
| 891 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 37 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 836 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1982 | $4,500 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 305 Bird Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,300 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2522 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 244 Hartwell Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 88 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 79 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 77 Lovering Ave #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 140 Commonwealth Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $3,500 | $2.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 158 Chadduck Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 232 Dewitt St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1042-char remark
Show marketing remark (1042 chars)
70 Reservation is a very affordable 1,596 square foot single family home with off street parking. This two-story Victorian has 3 bedrooms in total, one on the first floor and two larger bedrooms on the second floor. The first floor has the classic City of Buffalo layout; living room to dinning to kitchen. The first-floor bedroom is off the dining room, and the kitchen is large enough to accommodate a table/seating. Laundry is set up in a room off the kitchen at the rear of the house. Also, off the kitchen is the full bath, as well as an enclosed side porch leading to the driveway/backyard. The second-floor primary suite is like two bedrooms in one, ideal for a buyer who needs a lot of closet space with enough room to add a second-floor bathroom. Full attic, concrete driveway. Newer mechanics, updated electric panel, and years left on the roof. Just a 5 min drive to Buffalo State University (. 09 miles), a 7min walk to Wegmans Supermarket (0.3 miles), also walking distance to Chandler Street restaurants, Brewery, and Pool Club.
-
2026-04-27price $129,900 1042-char remark
Show marketing remark (1042 chars)
70 Reservation is a very affordable 1,596 square foot single family home with off street parking. This two-story Victorian has 3 bedrooms in total, one on the first floor and two larger bedrooms on the second floor. The first floor has the classic City of Buffalo layout; living room to dinning to kitchen. The first-floor bedroom is off the dining room, and the kitchen is large enough to accommodate a table/seating. Laundry is set up in a room off the kitchen at the rear of the house. Also, off the kitchen is the full bath, as well as an enclosed side porch leading to the driveway/backyard. The second-floor primary suite is like two bedrooms in one, ideal for a buyer who needs a lot of closet space with enough room to add a second-floor bathroom. Full attic, concrete driveway. Newer mechanics, updated electric panel, and years left on the roof. Just a 5 min drive to Buffalo State University (. 09 miles), a 7min walk to Wegmans Supermarket (0.3 miles), also walking distance to Chandler Street restaurants, Brewery, and Pool Club.
-
2026-04-06$139,900 Active 1042-char remark
Show marketing remark (1042 chars)
70 Reservation is a very affordable 1,596 square foot single family home with off street parking. This two-story Victorian has 3 bedrooms in total, one on the first floor and two larger bedrooms on the second floor. The first floor has the classic City of Buffalo layout; living room to dinning to kitchen. The first-floor bedroom is off the dining room, and the kitchen is large enough to accommodate a table/seating. Laundry is set up in a room off the kitchen at the rear of the house. Also, off the kitchen is the full bath, as well as an enclosed side porch leading to the driveway/backyard. The second-floor primary suite is like two bedrooms in one, ideal for a buyer who needs a lot of closet space with enough room to add a second-floor bathroom. Full attic, concrete driveway. Newer mechanics, updated electric panel, and years left on the roof. Just a 5 min drive to Buffalo State University (. 09 miles), a 7min walk to Wegmans Supermarket (0.3 miles), also walking distance to Chandler Street restaurants, Brewery, and Pool Club.
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $95,000 Closed 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $95,000
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2024-02-21status Pending 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2024-01-26price $100,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2024-01-08price $110,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2023-12-13price $115,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
-
2023-11-20$119,900 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 70 Reservation Street, a Great two story home nestled in Buffalo's Black Rock Community. Inviting front porch, spacious living room and dining room with plenty of natural light. Large eat-in kitchen with appliances and plenty of cupboard space. First floor bedroom, full bath and first floor laundry along with an enclosed side porch and large, fully fenced yard with shed. The second floor features two bedrooms-one with attached office, large family room additional back room for storage and walk up full attic. Private driveway for off-street parking. Boiler 2023, Hot Water Tank 2022. Walking distance to shopping, dining and Chandlerville and just a few minutes to Buffalo State College. A great opportunity to become a homeowner or to expand your investment portfolio.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $347 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,271 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$924/yr (+$77/mo · 265.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,154
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$347
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $5,717
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,372
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+8.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $95,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-21 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-01-26 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-01-08 Price Changed $110,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-12-13 Price Changed $115,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-11-20 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $347 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…