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144 Jefferson Dr
D Composite 40.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$272,900

144 Jefferson Dr · Venus, TX 76084
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,895 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2005 5,489 sqft lot $144/sqft · at area comps Est $280k · at est. $37/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

Key facts

  • Natural light
  • Covered back patio
  • Functional layout

Tags

COVERED BACK PATIOQUICK ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYSOUTDOOR LIVINGFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community amenities include pool, jogging/bike path, and playground
  • Financial info: Association fee charged semi-annually
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with semi-annual fee; HOA fees include full use of facilities and management fees; HOA managed by Legacy Southwest Mgt

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20' x 20'); 2 covered parking spaces; Driveway with concrete
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Sidewalks and curbs
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Attached property; Two-story
  • Construction: Built in 2005 (preowned); Board & batten siding, brick, and wood exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Privacy wood fencing; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 2 with built-in cabinets, dual sinks, ensuite bath, garden tub, linen closet, separate shower, and walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms on level 2, each with walk-in closets
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 7 rooms; Two levels
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room / separate utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (24.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Venus ISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #646 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Venus El (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 658 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
  • Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $204,873 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.05%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,611
List price
$272,900
Delta
-2.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Jefferson Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,637 (-14%) 3mo $239,900 $147 69
127 John Laurens Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,809 (-4%) 3mo $324,990 $180 60
106 Rushmore Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,135 (+13%) 4mo $293,000 $137 60
111 Lady Bird Ct 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,616 (-15%) 4mo $260,000 $161 57
114 Patrick Henry Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,977 (+4%) 3mo $339,990 $172 56
321 Julian Davis Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,784 (-6%) 2mo $329,900 $185 52
502 Monroe Jackson St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,791 (-6%) 2mo $274,000 $153 51
420 Watson Ct 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,658 (-12%) 4mo $325,900 $197 50
105 Patton Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,661 (-12%) 4mo $275,000 $166 50
319 Julian Davis Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,658 (-12%) 2mo $320,900 $194 46
401 Gib Woodall Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,626 (-14%) 3mo $325,900 $200 46
223 Patton Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,658 (-12%) 1mo $325,900 $197 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$75,007
Equity at exit
$194,856
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$233,591
Equity at exit
$375,461

Cash invested: $76,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76084

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,181 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,431
Tax from tax record
$526 /mo · $6,316/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$37
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$-385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,669
Max offer price $204,873
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-231 -5% $-308 +0% $-385 +5% $-462 +10% $-540
Rent -10% $-557 -5% $-471 +0% $-385 +5% $-299 +10% $-213
Rate -1.0pp $-248 -0.5pp $-316 base $-385 +0.5pp $-456 +1.0pp $-528

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,225
Closing costs
$8,187
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,169 $1.31 22d 1 0.17mi
108 Rushmore Ln Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1658 $1,969 $1.19 25d 1 0.18mi
120 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1661 $2,149 $1.29 44d 1 0.20mi
728 Fallow Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,795 $1.33 16d 1 0.20mi
112 Liberty Ln Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1658 $2,309 $1.39 44d 1 0.22mi
170 Kennedy Dr Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1661 $2,300 $1.38 2d 1 0.23mi
101 Hancock St Venus, TX 3.0 2.5 1773 $1,929 $1.09 2d 1 0.24mi
135 Houston Pl Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1590 $2,029 $1.28 2d 1 0.25mi
601 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,795 $1.33 44d 1 0.47mi
620-616 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,950 $1.49 44d 1 0.49mi
640-644 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1926 $2,100 $1.09 2d 1 0.51mi
645 Fallow Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,950 $1.50 8d 1 0.53mi
628 Blackland Dr Venus, TX 4.0 2.5 1483 $2,200 $1.48 2d 1 0.54mi
201 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.5 1626 $2,195 $1.35 20d 1 0.55mi
704 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,850 $1.36 45d 1 0.56mi
663 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX 2.0 2.0 1274 $1,695 $1.33 2d 1 0.56mi
656-660 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,950 $1.50 2d 1 0.56mi
712 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,895 $1.46 25d 1 0.57mi
208 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1784 $2,330 $1.31 12d 1 0.57mi
418 Watson Ct Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1379 $2,210 $1.60 44d 1 0.57mi
645 Blackland Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,950 $1.43 44d 1 0.58mi
214 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1784 $2,355 $1.32 44d 1 0.59mi
729 Fallow Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,995 $1.53 44d 1 0.60mi
723 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX 2.0 2.0 1274 $1,695 $1.33 44d 1 0.60mi
733 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,795 $1.33 25d 1 0.63mi
720 Blackland Dr Venus, TX 4.0 2.5 1926 $2,200 $1.14 8d 1 0.63mi
748 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,950 $1.43 44d 1 0.64mi
201 John Laurens Dr Venus, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–2.5 1975 $2,250 $1.14 2d 1 0.69mi
430 Gib Woodall Dr Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1379 $2,000 $1.45 3d 1 0.71mi
147 Sammy Fowler Ave Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $2,250 $1.33 2d 1 0.75mi
512 Albert Anthony St Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1658 $1,990 $1.20 22d 1 0.79mi
325 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX 4.0 2.5 2189 $2,325 $1.06 13d 1 0.82mi
523 Bennie Leonard St Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $2,350 $1.39 2d 1 0.83mi
358 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX 3.0 2.0 1658 $1,995 $1.20 2d 1 0.86mi
428 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1784 $2,150 $1.21 24d 1 0.87mi
313 Patton Ln Venus, TX 4.0 2.0 1784 $2,355 $1.32 8d 1 0.87mi
315 Patton Ln Venus, TX 4.0 2.5 2173 $2,515 $1.16 3d 1 0.88mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$37 · $444/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $272,900 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $272,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $272,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $272,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 604-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $272,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $274,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $274,900 Active 540-char remark
  17. 2018-05-22
    soldstatus
  18. 2018-05-21
    soldstatus Sold 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

  19. 2018-04-30
    status Pending 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

  20. 2018-04-19
    historical Active Option Contract 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

  21. 2018-04-16
    price $189,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

  22. 2018-04-05
    listed $194,900 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!

  23. 2015-05-11
    soldstatus
  24. 2015-04-30
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  25. 2015-04-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  26. 2015-03-26
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  27. 2015-03-25
    price $125,000
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  28. 2015-03-23
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  29. 2015-03-22
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  30. 2015-03-22
    price $130,000
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

  31. 2015-02-13
    listed $124,990 Active
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,316 · $526/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,316 · $526/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,174
− Mortgage interest
−$15,287
− Property taxes
−$6,316
− Insurance
−$1,364
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,094
− Management
−$2,094
− HOA
−$444
− Depreciation
−$7,939
Taxable loss
−$9,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,247
After-tax cash flow
$-2,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Venus ISD
NCES district ID
4844010
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$50,394
Composite
24.97/100
National rank
#7563
State rank
#646 of 826 in TX

Livability — Venus

Score
70/100
State rank
#356
US rank
#7724

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Venus, TX
County
Johnson County · 147,987 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,097
Household income
$102,115
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
70.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,678 people
By 2030
189,208 · +5.3%
By 2040
207,261 · +15.4%
By 2050
223,064 · +24.1%
By 2075
259,979 · +44.7%
By 2100
275,395 · +53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.32%
Current HPI
355.74
Rent YoY
▲ 2.39%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $272,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $274,900 NTREIS
  • 2018-05-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-05-21 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2018-04-30 Pending NTREIS
  • 2018-04-19 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2018-04-16 Price Changed $189,900 NTREIS
  • 2018-04-05 Listed $194,900 NTREIS
  • 2015-05-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2015-04-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2015-03-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2015-03-25 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-03-23 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2015-03-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2015-03-22 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-02-13 Listed $124,990 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,316 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…