144 Jefferson Dr · Venus, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$272,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
Key facts
- Natural light
- Covered back patio
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community amenities include pool, jogging/bike path, and playground
- Financial info: Association fee charged semi-annually
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with semi-annual fee; HOA fees include full use of facilities and management fees; HOA managed by Legacy Southwest Mgt
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20' x 20'); 2 covered parking spaces; Driveway with concrete
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Sidewalks and curbs
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Attached property; Two-story
- Construction: Built in 2005 (preowned); Board & batten siding, brick, and wood exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Privacy wood fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 2 with built-in cabinets, dual sinks, ensuite bath, garden tub, linen closet, separate shower, and walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms on level 2, each with walk-in closets
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 7 rooms; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Utility room / separate utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (24.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Venus ISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #646 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Venus El (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 658 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.05%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,611
- List price
- $272,900
- Delta
- -2.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Jefferson Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,637 (-14%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $147 | 69 |
| 127 John Laurens Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (-4%) | 3mo | $324,990 | $180 | 60 |
| 106 Rushmore Ln | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,135 (+13%) | 4mo | $293,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 111 Lady Bird Ct | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (-15%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $161 | 57 |
| 114 Patrick Henry Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,977 (+4%) | 3mo | $339,990 | $172 | 56 |
| 321 Julian Davis Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,784 (-6%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $185 | 52 |
| 502 Monroe Jackson St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (-6%) | 2mo | $274,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 420 Watson Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (-12%) | 4mo | $325,900 | $197 | 50 |
| 105 Patton Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,661 (-12%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $166 | 50 |
| 319 Julian Davis Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (-12%) | 2mo | $320,900 | $194 | 46 |
| 401 Gib Woodall Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,626 (-14%) | 3mo | $325,900 | $200 | 46 |
| 223 Patton Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (-12%) | 1mo | $325,900 | $197 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $75,007
- Equity at exit
- $194,856
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $233,591
- Equity at exit
- $375,461
Cash invested: $76,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76084
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,431
- Tax from tax record
- −$526 /mo · $6,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $-385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-231 | -5% $-308 | +0% $-385 | +5% $-462 | +10% $-540 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-557 | -5% $-471 | +0% $-385 | +5% $-299 | +10% $-213 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-248 | -0.5pp $-316 | base $-385 | +0.5pp $-456 | +1.0pp $-528 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,225
- Closing costs
- $8,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,169 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 108 Rushmore Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,969 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 120 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,149 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 728 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 112 Liberty Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,309 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 170 Kennedy Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 101 Hancock St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $1,929 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 135 Houston Pl Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,029 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 601 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 620-616 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 640-644 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 645 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 628 Blackland Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 201 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 704 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 663 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 656-660 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 712 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 208 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 418 Watson Ct Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $2,210 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 645 Blackland Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 214 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,355 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 729 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 723 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 733 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 720 Blackland Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1926 | $2,200 | $1.14 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 748 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 201 John Laurens Dr Venus, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1975 | $2,250 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 430 Gib Woodall Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $2,000 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 147 Sammy Fowler Ave Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 512 Albert Anthony St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,990 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 325 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2189 | $2,325 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 523 Bennie Leonard St Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,350 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 358 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 428 Condie Russell Ave Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,150 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 313 Patton Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,355 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 315 Patton Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2173 | $2,515 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $272,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $272,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $272,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $272,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $272,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 604-char remark
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $272,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $274,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$274,900 Active 540-char remark
-
2018-05-22soldstatus
-
2018-05-21soldstatus Sold 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
-
2018-04-30status Pending 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
-
2018-04-19historical Active Option Contract 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
-
2018-04-16price $189,900 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
-
2018-04-05$194,900 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Looking for a great family home? Here it is! Open arrangement downstairs is perfect for family get togethers and entertaining! Living area with fireplace is open to kitchen and formal dining area. Kitchen has been updated as well as all recently replaced flooring. Upstairs has a large master bedroom and bath. Master bath has garden tub and separate shower. Two additional bedrooms are nice sized too. At the top of the stairs there is a space for a computer for homework or office. Backyard is fully landscaped with covered patio and wood privacy fence! All this and a community pool and parks! Welcome home!
-
2015-05-11soldstatus
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2015-04-30soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-04-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-03-26historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-03-25price $125,000
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-03-23status Active
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
-
2015-03-22historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-03-22price $130,000
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
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2015-02-13$124,990 Active
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Great 3-2.5-2 in Patriot Estates. Open floor plan that is great for entertaining! This home features walk-in closets, XL pantry, eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar, large bedrooms, computer workspace upstairs and oversized backyard with flood lighting, ready for the kiddos to play. Neighborhood has sidewalks for evening walks, 2 playgrounds for the kiddos, and a pool for summer family fun! Only 20 minutes from lots of shopping and restaurants!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,316 · $526/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,316 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,174
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,287
- − Property taxes
- −$6,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,094
- − Management
- −$2,094
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$7,939
- Taxable loss
- −$9,365
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Venus ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844010
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,394
- Composite
- 24.97/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #646 of 826 in TX
Livability — Venus
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #7724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Venus, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,097
- Household income
- $102,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 70.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.32%
- Current HPI
- 355.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+118.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $272,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $274,900 NTREIS
- 2018-05-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-21 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2018-04-30 Pending — NTREIS
- 2018-04-19 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-04-16 Price Changed $189,900 NTREIS
- 2018-04-05 Listed $194,900 NTREIS
- 2015-05-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2015-04-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2015-03-26 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-03-25 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2015-03-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2015-03-22 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-03-22 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2015-02-13 Listed $124,990 NTREIS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,316 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…