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4466 Big Bluff Ct
D- Composite 38.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

4466 Big Bluff Ct · Douglasville, GA 30135
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,307 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2001 0.28 ac lot Est $260k · at est. $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this absolutely adorable ranch perfectly situated on a large corner lot in a highly desirable location! From the moment you arrive, you'll love the charming curb appeal, maintenance-free exterior, and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. Inside, the spacious floor plan features a beautiful living room centered around a romantic fireplace, creating the perfect cozy atmosphere. The gorgeous kitchen offers ample cabinetry, a pantry, and an open view to the family room so you can stay connected while cooking and entertaining. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a spa-like bathroom featuring a soaking tub and separate tub/shower. Generously sized secondary spaces, a dedicated laundry closet, and a spacious 2-car garage add both convenience and functionality. Step outside to the huge backyard with endless possibilities - perfect for gatherings, pets, play, or simply relaxing outdoors. Combining charm, space, condition, and location, this move-in ready home is the one buyers have been waiting for. Schedule your tour before it's gone!

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Soaking tub
  • Spa like bathroom

Tags

CORNER LOTMAINTENANCE FREE EXTERIORAMPLE CABINETRYWALK IN CLOSETSPA LIKE BATHROOMSOAKING TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $300; Association includes swim and tennis; Community features: clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, sidewalks, street lights, homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Two total parking spaces; Two-car garage that faces the side with kitchen-level access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: One-level home; Accessible entrance; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Garden; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Open view to family room; Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Master bathroom with separate tub and shower and soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Disappearing attic stairs; Insulated windows; No common walls; Factory-built gas log fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($172/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: New Manchester Elementary School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #682 of 1,228 statewide, top 56%, 848 students, 72% FRL); Chapel Hill Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 55% FRL); New Manchester High School (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 1,894 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $138k; list at $260k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,028 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.24%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,093
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4419 White Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,382 (+6%) 10mo $275,000 $199 68
3694 Arrowhead Pl 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,458 (+12%) 13mo $216,000 $148 62
4319 Caroline Ct 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+13%) 4mo $245,000 $166 61
4157 Chickasaw Trl 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,382 (+6%) 9mo $72,500 $52 50
3771 Tackett Rd 0.69mi 3/3.0 1,458 (+12%) 3mo $310,000 $213 42
4625 Thermal Ct 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,495 (+14%) 10mo $310,000 $207 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-46,971
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-62,013
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30135

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
610
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,970 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $545/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$414
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,952
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $161 -5% $88 +0% $14 +5% $-355 +10% $-445
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-64 +0% $14 +5% $92 +10% $170
Rate -1.0pp $145 -0.5pp $80 base $14 +0.5pp $-53 +1.0pp $-122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4599 White Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,815 $1.16 45d 1 0.32mi
3445 Anneewakee Falls Pkwy Douglasville, GA 2.0 1.0 1501 $1,350 $0.90 45d 1 0.51mi
4204 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,700 $0.96 4d 1 0.66mi
4203 Baler Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,895 $1.37 14d 1 0.70mi
4150 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,555 $1.48 3d 1 0.74mi
4014 Sitka Dr Douglasville, GA 4.0 2.0 1532 $1,899 $1.24 45d 1 0.78mi
4107 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,635 $1.48 7d 1 0.80mi
2860 Highland Hill Pkwy Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1543 $2,030 $1.32 19d 1 1.35mi
4100 Clarks Trl Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,980 $1.21 0d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $260,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$545 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,392 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$1,847/yr (+$154/mo · 339.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,643
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$545
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,891
− Management
−$1,891
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,059
After-tax cash flow
$1,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 141,416 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
66,800
Household income
$94,526
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
890.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.50%
Current HPI
223.9534
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $260,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $260,000 FMLS
  • 2007-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $137,900 Public Records
  • 2007-07-17 Sold (MLS) $137,900 FMLS
  • 2007-06-06 Listed $139,900 FMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $545 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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