4466 Big Bluff Ct · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this absolutely adorable ranch perfectly situated on a large corner lot in a highly desirable location! From the moment you arrive, you'll love the charming curb appeal, maintenance-free exterior, and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. Inside, the spacious floor plan features a beautiful living room centered around a romantic fireplace, creating the perfect cozy atmosphere. The gorgeous kitchen offers ample cabinetry, a pantry, and an open view to the family room so you can stay connected while cooking and entertaining. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a spa-like bathroom featuring a soaking tub and separate tub/shower. Generously sized secondary spaces, a dedicated laundry closet, and a spacious 2-car garage add both convenience and functionality. Step outside to the huge backyard with endless possibilities - perfect for gatherings, pets, play, or simply relaxing outdoors. Combining charm, space, condition, and location, this move-in ready home is the one buyers have been waiting for. Schedule your tour before it's gone!
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Soaking tub
- Spa like bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $300; Association includes swim and tennis; Community features: clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, sidewalks, street lights, homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces; Two-car garage that faces the side with kitchen-level access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electric service (other)
- Home design: One-level home; Accessible entrance; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Garden; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Open view to family room; Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Master bathroom with separate tub and shower and soaking tub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Disappearing attic stairs; Insulated windows; No common walls; Factory-built gas log fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($172/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: New Manchester Elementary School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #682 of 1,228 statewide, top 56%, 848 students, 72% FRL); Chapel Hill Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 55% FRL); New Manchester High School (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 1,894 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $138k; list at $260k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.24%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,093
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4419 White Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+6%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $199 | 68 |
| 3694 Arrowhead Pl | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+12%) | 13mo | $216,000 | $148 | 62 |
| 4319 Caroline Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+13%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $166 | 61 |
| 4157 Chickasaw Trl | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+6%) | 9mo | $72,500 | $52 | 50 |
| 3771 Tackett Rd | 0.69mi | 3/3.0 | 1,458 (+12%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $213 | 42 |
| 4625 Thermal Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (+14%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $207 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-46,971
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-62,013
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30135
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $545/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $88 | +0% $14 | +5% $-355 | +10% $-445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-141 | -5% $-64 | +0% $14 | +5% $92 | +10% $170 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $80 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-53 | +1.0pp $-122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4599 White Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,815 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3445 Anneewakee Falls Pkwy Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1501 | $1,350 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4204 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4203 Baler Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,895 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4150 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,555 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4014 Sitka Dr Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $1,899 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4107 Rocky Face Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,635 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2860 Highland Hill Pkwy Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $2,030 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4100 Clarks Trl Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $1,980 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$260,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $545 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,392 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,847/yr (+$154/mo · 339.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$545
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$4,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,059
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,800
- Household income
- $94,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.50%
- Current HPI
- 223.9534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+85.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $260,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $260,000 FMLS
- 2007-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $137,900 Public Records
- 2007-07-17 Sold (MLS) $137,900 FMLS
- 2007-06-06 Listed $139,900 FMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $545 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…