5201 Nuthall Dr #103 · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FIRST FLOOR condo!. Generous sized 1,340sqft open-concept living w/ 9' ceilings. Large kitchen w/ abundant storage & counter space, 42" cabinets, bar seating. Separate laundry room, large storage closet at front entry. Spacious Closets in both bedrooms & linen closets in both bathrooms. Parking space #1659. Furniture can be purchased on separate bill of sale. Amenities: clubhouse, pool, sewer, trash pickup, AND Water!! Pet restrictions: 1 cat or dog under 30lbs. Central location; less than 15min to Little Creek Amphib Base, Chicks Beach, & Towne Center; less than 20min to NOB & Waterside in Downtown Norfolk. Welcome Home!
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Large storage closet
- Spacious closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly condo fee of $310; POA fee $20 monthly; Association provides clubhouse, pool, ground maintenance, sewer, trash pickup, and water; Association management: UPA 757-502-4814
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned/reserved parking (1 space)
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached condo; Transitional style; One story (one living level); Condo ownership; Condo located on level 1; Slab foundation
- Construction: Composite roof; Brick and vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding; Composite roof; Pool (community); Clubhouse (community); Ground maintenance (community); Trash pickup (community); Water and sewer (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first floor) with ensuite
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Bar
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (15.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (11.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Newtown Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 443 students, 98% FRL); Bayside High (math 63% / reading 75%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 1,983 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 28% district-wide (53 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Va Beach City Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.68%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-45,327
- Equity at exit
- $35,710
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-27,734
- Equity at exit
- $20,708
Cash invested: $67,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23455
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,256
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$330
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,875
- Closing costs
- $7,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5212 Nuthall Dr #103 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,895 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5300 Warminster Dr #205 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5300 Warminster Dr #205 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,795 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 924 Southmoor Dr #204 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 920 Southmoor Dr #305 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5317 Warminster Dr #303 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,997 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 912 Southmoor Dr #204 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,810 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1028 Grace Hill Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1809 | $2,895 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1188 Grace Hill Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,600 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1001 Grace Hill Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1778 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5328 Tamworth Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1857 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5325 Brinsley Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1619 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5332 Bramcote Pl Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1857 | $2,695 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5414 Catina Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 866 | $1,717 | $1.98 | 3d | 10 | 0.44mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 944 Gas Light Ln Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1690 | $2,300 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 944 Gas Light Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1690 | $2,300 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5517 Lynbrook Lndg Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $2,335 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 849 Gas Light Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4930 Cypress Point Cir #103 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5421 Sweetwater Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5403 Scholarship Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5416 Safe Harbour Way Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1686 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5509 Bulls Bay Dr Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $2,599 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5509 Bulls Bay Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,599 | $1.53 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5500 Goose Pond Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,450 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5500 Baccalaureate Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 913 Ewell Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 724 Hezekiah Little Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1748 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 969 Turtle Pond Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1383 | $2,150 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5433 Campus Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 813 S Grosvenor Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4606 Merrimac Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $2,150 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4608 Albert Ct Unit 201 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 616 Aubrey Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 814 Gable Way Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5545 Old Guard Cres Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1581 | $2,350 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 825 Crossing Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $2,114 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $330 · $3,960/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $239,500 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,500 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,500 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,500 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,500 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-05-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-14price $239,500
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-05-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-30$240,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,332
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,416
- − Property taxes
- −$2,249
- − Insurance
- −$1,198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,027
- − Management
- −$2,027
- − HOA
- −$3,960
- − Depreciation
- −$6,967
- Taxable loss
- −$6,511
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $-904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,977
- Household income
- $94,069
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.34%
- Current HPI
- 296.3753
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-0.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $239,500 REINMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $240,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,249 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…