9695 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit B · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$469,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse with lake view. This move-in ready home has a two-story layout with two bedrooms on the first floor and a fully renovated bedroom/office with bathroom on the second floor. Vaulted ceilings, skylight, renovated bathrooms, and a modern kitchen with quartz countertops and SS appliances. Screened-in private courtyard patio. White granite countertops. New wood laminate flooring upstairs. Newer roof, leaf guards, garage door and A/C (full parts and labor warranty). Boca Gardens offers a full range of amenities including multiple pools, tennis and pickleball courts, fitness center, clubhouse, and walking paths. HOA includes roof coverage, cable, exterior care, and sec
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Lake view
- Ss appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
- HOA & community: Boca Gardens HOA; Monthly HOA fee of $477; HOA includes cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, security, and trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two stories; Resale condition; Faces east
- Construction: Built with block, concrete, frame and stucco; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Full fencing; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (4 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $470k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-660 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (24.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $353k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whispering Pines Elementary School (math 62% / reading 69%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 1,015 students, 25% FRL); Omni Middle School (math 66% / reading 66%, grade A-, #93 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,128 students, 29% FRL); Olympic Heights Community High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 2,602 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $50k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$81k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($456k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $470k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.02%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $211,603
- Equity at exit
- $423,323
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.95×
- Total profit
- $651,678
- Equity at exit
- $912,912
Cash invested: $131,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33496
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 330
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,694 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,464
- Tax from tax record
- −$442 /mo · $5,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$196
- HOA
- −$477
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$776
- Net cashflow
- $-660
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-394 | -5% $-527 | +0% $-660 | +5% $-793 | +10% $-926 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-952 | -5% $-806 | +0% $-660 | +5% $-514 | +10% $-368 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-423 | -0.5pp $-540 | base $-660 | +0.5pp $-782 | +1.0pp $-906 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $117,475
- Closing costs
- $14,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9713 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit D Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1325 | $3,995 | $3.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9585 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $3,950 | $2.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9732 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $3,235 | $2.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9392 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $3,200 | $1.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Unit 9448 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9975 Boca Gardens Trl Unit A Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $3,300 | $2.59 | 9d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9841 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $4,500 | $3.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9238 Vineland Ct Unit G Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $3,100 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9850 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,600 | $2.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9190 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit B Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $3,500 | $1.90 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9785 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $3,450 | $2.94 | 6d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9785 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $3,600 | $3.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9104 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $3,215 | $2.54 | 1d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Unit 9928 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9928 Moss Pond Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 18813 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18813 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $3,400 | $3.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18298 102nd Way S Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $6,500 | $3.51 | 26d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 18730 Stewart Cir #5 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9636 Tavernier Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,200 | $2.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 18917 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $3,350 | $2.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18595 Egret Way #18595 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 18855 Candlewick Dr Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,600 | $2.54 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 18890 Candlewick Dr Unit B Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,600 | $2.49 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9708 Erica Ct Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,800 | $3.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9110 Fairbanks Ln #4 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9387 Richmond Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $4,100 | $2.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9387 Richmond Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $4,100 | $2.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,500 | $2.37 | 26d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,400 | $2.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10780 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 9d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10781 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,800 | $2.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10781 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,600 | $2.48 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8664 Jasmine Way Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,795 | $1.54 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9940 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $5,500 | $3.29 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9718 Lancaster Pl Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1773 | $4,400 | $2.48 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9680 Lancaster Pl Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $4,850 | $3.22 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19287 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1327 | $3,450 | $2.60 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $477 · $5,724/yr
- Likely covers
- cablepoolgym
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $469,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $469,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $469,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $469,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $469,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $469,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $469,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $469,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $469,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $469,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $469,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $469,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $469,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $469,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $469,900
-
2026-05-07$485,000 Active
-
2013-06-18soldstatus $165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,298 · $442/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,298 · $442/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,322
- − Property taxes
- −$5,298
- − Insurance
- −$2,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,547
- − Management
- −$3,547
- − HOA
- −$5,724
- − Depreciation
- −$13,670
- Taxable loss
- −$16,123
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,870
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,049/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,579
- Household income
- $114,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 13% Romanian 9% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.48%
- Current HPI
- 313.9058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+184.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $469,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $485,000 Beaches MLS
- 2013-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,298 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…