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11 Allen Ave
A- Composite 81.05
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

11 Allen Ave · Fair Haven, VT 05743
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,682 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 10,454 sqft lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Fair Haven property, located on a low-traffic side street, presents a major equity-building opportunity for a contractor or experienced investor. The house sits on a 0.24-acre lot with a detached garage and is ready for a complete interior rebuild. It is currently partially gutted, allowing you to bypass the first phase of demolition and get right to layout design and reconstruction. The footprint provides excellent versatility: it can be finished as a large 6-bedroom home or completed as a two-unit duplex featuring two separate 3-bedroom layouts. Original details like the beautiful wood flooring and stained-glass accent windows offer distinct character that cannot be replicated in modern builds. The exterior features a traditional slate roof, and a heating system replacement was completed one year ago. This is a substantial, hands-on project from top to bottom, sold strictly as-is, but the upside and bones of the property make it an excellent candidate for transformation.

Key facts

  • Two unit duplex
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Large 6 bedroom home

Tags

LOW TRAFFIC SIDE STREET0.24 ACRE LOTDETACHED GARAGECOMPLETE INTERIOR REBUILDLARGE 6 BEDROOM HOMETWO UNIT DUPLEX

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Colonial-style home; Existing structure; Facing direction not provided; Entry level not provided; 2,682 total finished area (listed)
  • Construction: Built in 1900; Wood frame construction; Shingle and slate roof
  • Exterior features: City lot, level; Gravel driveway; Public maintained road frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane, oil, and forced air heating
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Unfinished basement with interior access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#31 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Rutland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rutland County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
15.94%
Cash-on-cash
34.46%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,882
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Caernarvon St 0.16mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,515 (-6%) 2mo $259,900 $103 73
8 1st St 0.11mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,472 (-8%) 11mo $249,000 $101 66
19 West St 0.36mi 5/1.5 (-1) 2,767 (+3%) 20mo $220,000 $80 56
129 N Main St 0.17mi 5/1.5 (-1) 2,466 (-8%) 21mo $224,000 $91 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.7%
Equity multiple
4.78×
Total profit
$79,330
Equity at exit
$67,566
10-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
10.69×
Total profit
$203,556
Equity at exit
$145,709

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05743

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,524 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,112/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $646 -5% $624 +0% $603 +5% $582 +10% $561
Rent -10% $483 -5% $543 +0% $603 +5% $663 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $641 -0.5pp $622 base $603 +0.5pp $584 +1.0pp $564

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,112 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,112 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,283
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,112
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,463
− Management
−$1,463
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,557
After-tax cash flow
$5,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Fair Haven

Score
71/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#7050

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fair Haven, VT
Population (ZIP)
4,144

Population outlook (Rutland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,307 people
By 2030
52,364 · -5.3%
By 2040
45,751 · -17.3%
By 2050
39,627 · -28.4%
By 2075
29,080 · -47.4%
By 2100
20,673 · -62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rutland

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.3) · D 51.3% · R 46.0% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-19.3pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 5.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.3 2020: D+10.5 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+22.0 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.19%
Current HPI
289.3746
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 PrimeMLS
  • 1989-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,112 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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