11 Allen Ave · Fair Haven, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Fair Haven property, located on a low-traffic side street, presents a major equity-building opportunity for a contractor or experienced investor. The house sits on a 0.24-acre lot with a detached garage and is ready for a complete interior rebuild. It is currently partially gutted, allowing you to bypass the first phase of demolition and get right to layout design and reconstruction. The footprint provides excellent versatility: it can be finished as a large 6-bedroom home or completed as a two-unit duplex featuring two separate 3-bedroom layouts. Original details like the beautiful wood flooring and stained-glass accent windows offer distinct character that cannot be replicated in modern builds. The exterior features a traditional slate roof, and a heating system replacement was completed one year ago. This is a substantial, hands-on project from top to bottom, sold strictly as-is, but the upside and bones of the property make it an excellent candidate for transformation.
Key facts
- Two unit duplex
- 0.24 acre lot
- Large 6 bedroom home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Colonial-style home; Existing structure; Facing direction not provided; Entry level not provided; 2,682 total finished area (listed)
- Construction: Built in 1900; Wood frame construction; Shingle and slate roof
- Exterior features: City lot, level; Gravel driveway; Public maintained road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane, oil, and forced air heating
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Unfinished basement with interior access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#31 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Rutland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Rutland County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.46%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,882
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Caernarvon St | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,515 (-6%) | 2mo | $259,900 | $103 | 73 |
| 8 1st St | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,472 (-8%) | 11mo | $249,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 19 West St | 0.36mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 2,767 (+3%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 129 N Main St | 0.17mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 2,466 (-8%) | 21mo | $224,000 | $91 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $79,330
- Equity at exit
- $67,566
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.69×
- Total profit
- $203,556
- Equity at exit
- $145,709
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05743
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,524 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $646 | -5% $624 | +0% $603 | +5% $582 | +10% $561 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $483 | -5% $543 | +0% $603 | +5% $663 | +10% $723 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $641 | -0.5pp $622 | base $603 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,112 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,112 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,112
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,463
- − Management
- −$1,463
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Fair Haven
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #7050
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fair Haven, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,144
Population outlook (Rutland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,307 people
- By 2030
- 52,364 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 45,751 · -17.3%
- By 2050
- 39,627 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 29,080 · -47.4%
- By 2100
- 20,673 · -62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rutland
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.3) · D 51.3% · R 46.0% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.3pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.3 2020: D+10.5 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+22.0 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.19%
- Current HPI
- 289.3746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-11.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 PrimeMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 PrimeMLS
- 1989-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,112 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…