15396 Percy St · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,275
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($100/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.16%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,443
- List price
- $225,275
- Delta
- -7.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15396 Percy St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (0%) | 0mo | $225,275 | $164 | 100 |
| 15387 Percy St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (0%) | 5mo | $224,536 | $163 | 94 |
| 15013 Stockridge Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (0%) | 6mo | $223,950 | $163 | 89 |
| 15033 Stockridge Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 2mo | $241,738 | $159 | 79 |
| 15005 Stockridge Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 3mo | $240,540 | $159 | 75 |
| 15071 Stockridge Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+13%) | 3mo | $246,290 | $159 | 71 |
| 15371 Murphy St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (+14%) | 4mo | $248,380 | $159 | 70 |
| 15188 High Point Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 3mo | $248,015 | $163 | 61 |
| 15114 High Point Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 4mo | $250,960 | $165 | 60 |
| 15093 High Point Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 3mo | $249,777 | $165 | 58 |
| 15299 High Point Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 4mo | $246,695 | $163 | 55 |
| 15130 High Point Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+10%) | 6mo | $245,905 | $162 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-27,454
- Equity at exit
- $33,589
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $14,721
- Equity at exit
- $19,478
Cash invested: $63,077 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,028 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,181
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$282 /mo · $3,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $8
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,319
- Closing costs
- $6,758
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15395 Percy St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $1,975 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 15336 Lakeview Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectricinternet
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
-
2026-04-23status Active 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
-
2026-02-05price $225,275 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
-
2026-02-05status Pending 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
-
2026-02-05$228,275 Active 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,619
- − Property taxes
- −$3,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,126
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,947
- − Management
- −$1,947
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$6,553
- Taxable loss
- −$3,680
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a landscaping package and smart home integration to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping package — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping package — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-1.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $225,275 MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Listed $228,275 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…