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15396 Percy St
D+ Composite 48.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,275

15396 Percy St · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,375 sqft · SingleFamily · 12 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 8,276 sqft lot $164/sqft · 7% below area Est $243k · 7% under $37/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($100/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $202,801 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.16%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,443
List price
$225,275
Delta
-7.46%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15396 Percy St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,375 (0%) 0mo $225,275 $164 100
15387 Percy St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,375 (0%) 5mo $224,536 $163 94
15013 Stockridge Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,375 (0%) 6mo $223,950 $163 89
15033 Stockridge Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 2mo $241,738 $159 79
15005 Stockridge Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 3mo $240,540 $159 75
15071 Stockridge Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,550 (+13%) 3mo $246,290 $159 71
15371 Murphy St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+14%) 4mo $248,380 $159 70
15188 High Point Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 3mo $248,015 $163 61
15114 High Point Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 4mo $250,960 $165 60
15093 High Point Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 3mo $249,777 $165 58
15299 High Point Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 4mo $246,695 $163 55
15130 High Point Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+10%) 6mo $245,905 $162 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-27,454
Equity at exit
$33,589
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$14,721
Equity at exit
$19,478

Cash invested: $63,077 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,028 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,181
Tax est. 1.5%
$282 /mo · $3,379/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$37
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$426
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,017
Max offer price $225,275
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,319
Closing costs
$6,758
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15395 Percy St Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1710 $1,975 $1.15 43d 1 0.04mi
15336 Lakeview Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,195 $1.19 21d 1 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$37 · $444/yr
Likely covers
waterelectricinternet

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

  2. 2026-04-23
    status Active 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

  3. 2026-02-05
    price $225,275 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

  4. 2026-02-05
    status Pending 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

  5. 2026-02-05
    listed $228,275 Active 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Awesome builder rate plus choose ONE free: window blinds OR front gutters! Restrictions apply. Located on a corner lot, the COSTELLO IV G in Stockridge community offers a 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom open design. Upgrades for this home includes LED coach lights on each side of the garage. Special Features: garden tub and walk-in closet in master bath, covered rear patio, recessed lighting, ceiling fans in living room and master bedroom, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, landscape package, and more! Efficient Features: kitchen appliance package with electric range, water heater, vinyl low E tilt-in windows, radiant barrier roof decking, and more! Energy Star Partner.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,336
− Mortgage interest
−$12,619
− Property taxes
−$3,379
− Insurance
−$1,126
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,947
− Management
−$1,947
− HOA
−$444
− Depreciation
−$6,553
Taxable loss
−$3,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$883
After-tax cash flow
$983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a landscaping package and smart home integration to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping package — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping package — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-1.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $225,275 MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $228,275 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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