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9014 Idlewild Dr
B Composite 73.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$180,000

9014 Idlewild Dr · Coolbaugh, PA 18466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1988 9,583 sqft lot $208/sqft · 14% below area Est $209k · 14% under $143/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $153k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $169,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.22%
Cash-on-cash
10.47%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$209,131
List price
$180,000
Delta
-13.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9066 Idlewild Dr 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (0%) 6mo $262,500 $304 70
9131 Brandywine Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 854 (-1%) 21mo $178,000 $208 67
1531 Black Birch Way 0.60mi 3/1.0 836 (-3%) 10mo $210,000 $251 56
9633 Stony Hollow Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 806 (-7%) 10mo $220,000 $273 46
9817 Deerwood Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 948 (+10%) 9mo $125,000 $132 46
5084 Spruce Ln 0.53mi 3/1.0 960 (+11%) 19mo $190,000 $198 39
9833 Deerwood Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 960 (+11%) 24mo $221,000 $230 31
1172 Tree Top Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 752 (-13%) 24mo $215,000 $286 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$43,696
Equity at exit
$74,496
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$124,131
Equity at exit
$110,032

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,176 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,407/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$143
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,619
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1068 $2,300 $2.15 13d 1 0.10mi
1763 Rolling Hills Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,800 $1.79 7d 1 0.85mi
2846 Fairhaven Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,950 $1.90 13d 1 1.02mi
954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,900 $1.83 44d 1 1.09mi
954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 15d 1 1.09mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$143 · $1,716/yr

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-03-16
    listed $190,000 Active
  15. 2025-03-17
    soldstatus $153,000
  16. 2025-03-12
    soldstatus $153,000 Closed 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  17. 2025-03-12
    soldstatus $153,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  18. 2025-02-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  19. 2025-02-05
    status Pending 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  20. 2024-12-21
    listed $135,000 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  21. 2024-12-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  22. 2024-12-21
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.

  23. 2024-09-02
    listed $135,000 Active
  24. 2024-08-02
    status Active
  25. 2024-07-22
    historical Contingent (Show)
  26. 2024-07-01
    listed $135,000 Active
  27. 2024-07-01
    listed $135,000 Active - No Show
  28. 2003-10-28
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,407 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,125 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$719/yr (+$60/mo · 51.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,111
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$1,407
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,089
− Management
−$2,089
− HOA
−$1,716
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$2,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$622
After-tax cash flow
$4,656/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coolbaugh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+216.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $190,000 PMAR
  • 2025-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) $153,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) $153,000 PMAR
  • 2025-02-05 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Pending PMAR
  • 2024-12-21 Listed $135,000 PMAR
  • 2024-12-21 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-12-21 Listed $135,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-09-02 Listed $135,000 PMAR
  • 2024-08-02 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2024-07-22 Contingent GLVRMLS
  • 2024-07-01 Listed $135,000 PMAR
  • 2024-07-01 Listed $135,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2003-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,407 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…