9014 Idlewild Dr · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $153k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.47%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,131
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -13.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9066 Idlewild Dr | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (0%) | 6mo | $262,500 | $304 | 70 |
| 9131 Brandywine Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 854 (-1%) | 21mo | $178,000 | $208 | 67 |
| 1531 Black Birch Way | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 836 (-3%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $251 | 56 |
| 9633 Stony Hollow Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 806 (-7%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $273 | 46 |
| 9817 Deerwood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (+10%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $132 | 46 |
| 5084 Spruce Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $198 | 39 |
| 9833 Deerwood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 24mo | $221,000 | $230 | 31 |
| 1172 Tree Top Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 752 (-13%) | 24mo | $215,000 | $286 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $43,696
- Equity at exit
- $74,496
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $124,131
- Equity at exit
- $110,032
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$143
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1763 Rolling Hills Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2846 Fairhaven Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,900 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $143 · $1,716/yr
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-03-16$190,000 Active
-
2025-03-17soldstatus $153,000
-
2025-03-12soldstatus $153,000 Closed 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2025-03-12soldstatus $153,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2025-02-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2025-02-05status Pending 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2024-12-21$135,000 Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2024-12-21historical
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2024-12-21$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Three bedrooms one bath and tons of potential is what you'll find in this cool Township Rancho. Excellent investment opportunity in a short term rental friendly community. Bring your contractor and make this place your own. Schedule an appointment today.
-
2024-09-02$135,000 Active
-
2024-08-02status Active
-
2024-07-22historical Contingent (Show)
-
2024-07-01$135,000 Active
-
2024-07-01$135,000 Active - No Show
-
2003-10-28soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,125 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$719/yr (+$60/mo · 51.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,407
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,089
- − Management
- −$2,089
- − HOA
- −$1,716
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $2,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+216.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $190,000 PMAR
- 2025-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) $153,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) $153,000 PMAR
- 2025-02-05 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2025-02-05 Pending — PMAR
- 2024-12-21 Listed $135,000 PMAR
- 2024-12-21 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2024-12-21 Listed $135,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-09-02 Listed $135,000 PMAR
- 2024-08-02 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2024-07-22 Contingent — GLVRMLS
- 2024-07-01 Listed $135,000 PMAR
- 2024-07-01 Listed $135,000 GLVRMLS
- 2003-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,407 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…