1101 N Blair Ave · Cleveland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this investor special. Situated on a 0.29-acre corner lot, this estate property offers great potential for a full renovation, investment project, or possible house move. The existing pier and beam home was built in 1949 and features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. With ample lot space and a desirable corner location, the possibilities are endless. Whether you are looking to restore the home, relocate it, or utilize the lot for future plans, this property presents a unique opportunity at an affordable price. Being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.29-acre corner lot
- Full renovation
- Unique opportunity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.287 acres (12,502 sq ft)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage; 1 garage space; No additional parking features
- Security: No security features specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1949; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Unknown construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Includes bedrooms (number not specified separately)
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
- Interior features: 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliances specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 4.7% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleveland ISD (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #723 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Northside El (math 33% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 1,235 students, 90% FRL); Cleveland Middle (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,317 of 1,662 statewide, top 80%, 1,696 students, 98% FRL); Cleveland H S (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 3,310 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 71% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.52%
- DSCR
- 2.85
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,307
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- -47.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Michael St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (+13%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $89 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $27,808
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 46.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $76,228
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77327
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 1574
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,879/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $595 | -5% $578 | +0% $562 | +5% $545 | +10% $529 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $457 | -5% $510 | +0% $562 | +5% $614 | +10% $667 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $591 | -0.5pp $577 | base $562 | +0.5pp $547 | +1.0pp $532 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Nevell St Cleveland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,153 | $1.39 | 2d | 4 | 0.77mi |
| 307 Sleepy Hollow Dr Cleveland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 738 | $1,440 | $1.95 | 2d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 511 S Roosevelt Ave Cleveland, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,600 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 700 Lyle West Ave Cleveland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 808 Denison Ave Unit 5 Cleveland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $850 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 808 Denison Ave Unit 5 Cleveland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07status $58,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $58,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $58,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$58,000 Active 552-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2025-08-15price $70,000
-
2025-07-08$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,879 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,879 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$1,879
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $6,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,500
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814370
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,173
- Composite
- 20.61/100
- National rank
- #8549
- State rank
- #723 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1013
- US rank
- #17943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, TX
- County
- Liberty County · 82,189 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,685
- Household income
- $62,219
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 437.0
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,956 people
- By 2030
- 92,161 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 100,784 · +14.6%
- By 2050
- 109,471 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 133,470 · +51.7%
- By 2100
- 147,372 · +67.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.39%
- Current HPI
- 224.9222
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-27.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $58,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $80,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,879 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…