1317 Carr St · Palatka, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment. Currently rented. Needs repairs. Sold as is. House next door also available. Watch for step-up in hallway!! 10' ceilings, wood floors need refinishing.
Key facts
- St johns river
- One story bungalow
- Total restoration
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: 100 amp electric service; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at level 1; South-facing; Property is attached
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface; Sidewalks in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units; No central heating
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the ground floor
- Laundry & utility: Unfurnished (no washer/dryer included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#839 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Palatka Jr - Sr High School (math 13% / reading 30%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,639 students, 64% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Putnam average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.52%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,850
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304 President St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+2%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $164 | 86 |
| 1510 Laurel St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+3%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $153 | 84 |
| 1510 President St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-1%) | 6mo | $101,793 | $98 | 82 |
| 805 S 15th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (+1%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $166 | 80 |
| 1319 Carr St | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,121 (+7%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $71 | 78 |
| 220 S 14th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 988 (-6%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 1001 Cleveland Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-6%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $128 | 61 |
| 2121 Oak St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (+6%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $41 | 58 |
| 709 N 11th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-4%) | 3mo | $156,500 | $157 | 57 |
| 2207 Laurel St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+6%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $181 | 57 |
| 2213 Gillis St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-9%) | 7mo | $79,000 | $83 | 46 |
| 2404 Crill Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,193 (+14%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $130 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $31,686
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $79,809
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32177
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,598 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,081/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $693
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $733 | -5% $713 | +0% $693 | +5% $674 | +10% $654 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $567 | -5% $630 | +0% $693 | +5% $757 | +10% $820 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $729 | -0.5pp $711 | base $693 | +0.5pp $675 | +1.0pp $657 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1510 Laurel St Palatka, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,659 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1010 Bronson St Apt 12 Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2113 Silver Lake Dr Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 716 Bronson St Palatka, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 509 Bronson St Palatka, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,725 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 105 N 2nd St Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1510 Cleveland Ave Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1511 S Palm Ave Unit 4 Palatka, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1906 Roselle Ave Palatka, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-04-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-20$69,900 Active
-
2005-05-27soldstatus $49,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Great investment. Currently rented. Needs repairs. Sold as is. House next door also available. Watch for step-up in hallway!! 10' ceilings, wood floors need refinishing.
-
2005-02-05$39,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Great investment. Currently rented. Needs repairs. Sold as is. House next door also available. Watch for step-up in hallway!! 10' ceilings, wood floors need refinishing.
-
1998-06-03soldstatus $40,000
-
1997-07-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,081 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,081 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,178
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,081
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,534
- − Management
- −$1,534
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $7,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,855
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palatka
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #839
- US rank
- #20793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palatka, FL
- County
- Putnam County · 25,645 people
- City population
- 25,645
- Metro
- Palatka, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,645
- Household income
- $47,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 806.0
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.10%
- Current HPI
- 223.1966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.23%
- Metro
- Palatka, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+99.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — realMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $69,900 realMLS
- 2005-05-27 Sold (MLS) $49,900 realMLS
- 2005-02-05 Listed $39,900 realMLS
- 1998-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,081 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…