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2920 Clark Rd Unit K8
B- Composite 65.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,999

2920 Clark Rd Unit K8 · Butte Valley, CA 95965
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,066 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 1996 $66/sqft · 8% above area Est $65k · 8% over ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cute and clean 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in Foothills Mobile Home Park in Butte Valley! Recently refreshed with new interior and exterior paint, this home offers a bright, inviting feel throughout. Enjoy comfortable living year-round with central air and heat, new windows, and the convenience of included appliances. The home also features updated cabinets, adding a fresh, modern touch to the interior. Step outside to a private, enclosed backyard with a low-maintenance yard, perfect for easy upkeep. You’ll also find a patio ideal for relaxing or entertaining, along with a handy storage shed for your extra belongings. Covered parking adds to the home’s practicality and ease. Ideally situated for both convenience and recreation, you’ll enjoy being just minutes from outdoor adventures like fishing, horseback riding, and hiking. Located only 3 miles from Lime Saddle Marina at Lake Oroville and a short drive to Table Mountain State Park, this home is also close to Butte College and the highly desirable Durham school district. With an easy 15-minute commute to Chico, Oroville, and Paradise, this location offers the perfect balance of accessibility, adventure, and comfort.

Key facts

  • Built 1996
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,130 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Durham Unified (rural): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #180 of 517 in CA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Durham Elementary (math 45% / reading 51%, grade D, #451 of 1,571 statewide, top 29%, 461 students, 37% FRL); Durham Intermediate (math 34% / reading 43%, grade F, #159 of 498 statewide, top 32%, 225 students, 44% FRL); Durham High (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #352 of 1,170 statewide, top 31%, 310 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,799 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
21.06%
Cash-on-cash
52.74%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,000
List price
$69,999
Delta
7.69%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2920 Clark Rd Unit 7K 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+7%) 4mo $65,000 $57 84
2920 Clark Rd Unit E3 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+5%) 12mo $90,000 $80 82
2920 Clark Rd Unit 19K 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+7%) 11mo $62,500 $55 78
2920 Clark Rd Unit E14 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-5%) 16mo $64,000 $63 68
2920 Clark Rd Unit 11C 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (-6%) 22mo $54,000 $54 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.5%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$41,665
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
54.5%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$99,471
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95965

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $863/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$861

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $901 -5% $881 +0% $861 +5% $842 +10% $822
Rent -10% $729 -5% $795 +0% $861 +5% $928 +10% $994
Rate -1.0pp $897 -0.5pp $879 base $861 +0.5pp $843 +1.0pp $825

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,999 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,999 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,999 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,999 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,999 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $72,000 Active 1239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1239 chars)

    Welcome to this cute and clean 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in Foothills Mobile Home Park in Butte Valley! Recently refreshed with new interior and exterior paint, this home offers a bright, inviting feel throughout. Enjoy comfortable living year-round with central air and heat, new windows, and the convenience of included appliances. The home also features updated cabinets, adding a fresh, modern touch to the interior. Step outside to a private, enclosed backyard with a low-maintenance yard, perfect for easy upkeep. You’ll also find a patio ideal for relaxing or entertaining, along with a handy storage shed for your extra belongings. Covered parking adds to the home’s practicality and ease. Ideally situated for both convenience and recreation, you’ll enjoy being just minutes from outdoor adventures like fishing, horseback riding, and hiking. Located only 3 miles from Lime Saddle Marina at Lake Oroville and a short drive to Table Mountain State Park, this home is also close to Butte College and the highly desirable Durham school district. With an easy 15-minute commute to Chico, Oroville, and Paradise, this location offers the perfect balance of accessibility, adventure, and comfort.

  18. 2024-01-25
    status Pending Sale 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  19. 2024-01-24
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  20. 2024-01-24
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  21. 2024-01-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  22. 2024-01-08
    historical Active Under Contract 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  23. 2023-12-08
    status Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  24. 2023-12-07
    historical Active Under Contract 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  25. 2023-10-18
    price $80,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  26. 2023-10-18
    price $80,000
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  27. 2023-10-10
    status Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  28. 2023-10-05
    status Pending Sale 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  29. 2023-09-08
    historical Active Under Contract 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  30. 2023-09-01
    price $84,000
  31. 2023-08-24
    price $84,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  32. 2023-06-23
    price $89,000
  33. 2023-05-30
    price $89,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  34. 2023-04-06
    status Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  35. 2023-03-21
    historical Active Under Contract 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  36. 2023-03-06
    listed $93,000 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,066 sq feet manufactured home in the desirable Butte Valley. This home is located in the Foothills Community Park. All ages welcome. The home has been remodeled and is move in ready. Contact your favorite realtor to view this home today.

  37. 2023-03-03
    listed $93,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$863 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,197
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$863
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,616
− Management
−$1,616
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,351
After-tax cash flow
$7,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Durham Unified
NCES district ID
0611730
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,306
Composite
39.25/100
National rank
#4003
State rank
#180 of 517 in CA

Livability — Butte Valley

Score
50/100
State rank
#1130
US rank
#25679

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Butte Valley, CA
County
Butte County · 175,030 people
Metro
Chico, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,181
Household income
$53,198
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
892.0

Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,527 people
By 2030
243,804 · +2.6%
By 2040
253,899 · +6.9%
By 2050
262,561 · +10.5%
By 2075
283,709 · +19.4%
By 2100
282,689 · +19.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 16% Two or more races 13% Black 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butte

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.76%
Current HPI
317.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.88%
Metro
Chico, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $72,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-01-24 Sold (MLS) $75,000 TCAOR
  • 2024-01-24 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-24 Pending TCAOR
  • 2024-01-08 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-12-08 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-12-07 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Price Changed $80,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Price Changed $80,000 TCAOR
  • 2023-10-10 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Pending CRMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Price Changed $84,000 TCAOR
  • 2023-08-24 Price Changed $84,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-06-23 Price Changed $89,000 TCAOR
  • 2023-05-30 Price Changed $89,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-04-06 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-03-21 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Listed $93,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-03-03 Listed $93,000 TCAOR

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $863 · +307.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…