10271 E Highway 103 · Huntington, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy the space and serenity of country living just minutes from Lake Sam Rayburn! This spacious home sits only 10 minutes from the lake and offers a flexible layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, plus a large family room with raised ceilings that could easily serve as a 4th bedroom or bonus space. The oversized primary suite features a beautiful sloped ceiling and an updated en-suite bath with newer countertops, sinks, and fixtures. Relax in the large soaking tub with surround, enjoy the separate custom tile shower & appreciate the generous walk-in closet. Outdoor living shines with a vaulted covered front porch, a covered back patio, and over 700 sq ft of open deck space—perfect
Key facts
- Large soaking tub
- Walk-in closet
- Flexible layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Stone and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; 1-acre lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-567 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (42.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (42.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (42.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.0% in Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#808 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Huntington ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #303 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Huntington El (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 482 students, 67% FRL); Huntington Middle (math 51% / reading 38%, grade D, #491 of 1,662 statewide, top 31%, 371 students, 54% FRL); Huntington H S (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 499 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.35%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $534,428
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -56.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1615 Harley Golden Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 2,446 (+5%) | 11mo | $698,000 | $285 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $91,874
- Equity at exit
- $211,707
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.54×
- Total profit
- $299,035
- Equity at exit
- $456,553
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75949
- Home prices YoY
- 19.1%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,699/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $-567
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-434 | -5% $-501 | +0% $-567 | +5% $-634 | +10% $-700 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-675 | -5% $-621 | +0% $-567 | +5% $-514 | +10% $-460 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-449 | -0.5pp $-508 | base $-567 | +0.5pp $-628 | +1.0pp $-690 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $235,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $1,850
-
2026-04-24$235,000 Active 991-char remark
-
2026-04-19$2,000
-
2022-03-28soldstatus
-
2019-02-14soldstatus
-
2015-07-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,699 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,300 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- +$601/yr (+$50/mo · 16.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,699
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,302
- − Management
- −$1,302
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$11,208
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,690
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntington ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824000
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,651
- Composite
- 36.85/100
- National rank
- #4554
- State rank
- #303 of 826 in TX
Livability — Huntington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #808
- US rank
- #14708
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,041
Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,174 people
- By 2030
- 90,697 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 91,291 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 91,168 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 88,961 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 80,590 · -10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Angelina
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 48.97%
- Current HPI
- 304.757
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Rental Removed $1,850 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $1,850 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-04-24 Listed $235,000 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2026-04-19 Listed for Rent $2,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2022-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,699 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…