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315 1st St SE
B Composite 71.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.2/10.0

$165,000

315 1st St SE · Clara City, MN 56222
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1915 10,497 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect opportunity to own a quality home at a price that allows you to make updates as desired! 4 bedroom, 1 and 1/2 bath, 2 stall garage with ample parking space on a large, concrete driveway. There is no shortage of charm here! Beautiful woodwork and built-ins make this a very cozy home with so much character. The 4-season porch adds a nice amount of space to the main floor which is filled with natural light. The front deck is the perfect place for outdoor enjoyment. Come take a look today!

Key facts

  • Front deck
  • Woodwork
  • Built ins

Tags

4 SEASON PORCHFRONT DECKWOODWORKBUILT INSCONCRETE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property listed free and clear

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached concrete driveway; 2-car garage (24 x 24)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas; 100 amp electrical service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Main entry on main level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Foundation area approximately 806; Roof older than 8 years
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Lot approximately 0.241 acres (75 x 140)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on the upper level, one main level/other flexible bedroom listed)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bath on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; French doors; Natural woodwork; Walk-in closet; Partially finished basement; Block foundation in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $165k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#244 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Maccray School District (rural): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in MN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chippewa County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.79%
Cash-on-cash
48.21%
DSCR
3.14
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$91,532
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
51.5%
Equity multiple
6.03×
Total profit
$232,163
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56222

Home prices YoY
-3.3%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,544/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$798
Net cashflow
$1,856

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,451
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,949 -5% $1,903 +0% $1,856 +5% $1,809 +10% $1,763
Rent -10% $1,556 -5% $1,706 +0% $1,856 +5% $2,006 +10% $2,156
Rate -1.0pp $1,939 -0.5pp $1,898 base $1,856 +0.5pp $1,813 +1.0pp $1,770

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 Division St S Clara City, MN 5.0 3.0 2686 $3,800 $1.41 44d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-05-08
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,544 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,544 · $212/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,600
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,544
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,648
− Management
−$3,648
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$20,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,014
After-tax cash flow
$17,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Maccray School District
NCES district ID
2700091
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,637
Composite
37.64/100
National rank
#4374
State rank
#188 of 301 in MN

Livability — Clara City

Score
73/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#5251

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clara City, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,012

Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,593 people
By 2030
11,294 · -2.6%
By 2040
10,715 · -7.6%
By 2050
10,229 · -11.8%
By 2075
9,600 · -17.2%
By 2100
8,500 · -26.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 25% Iranian 12% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.2% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-40.0pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -34.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.1 2020: R+30.6 2016: R+28.9 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.61%
Current HPI
220.8934
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $165,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,544 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…