315 1st St SE · Clara City, MN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect opportunity to own a quality home at a price that allows you to make updates as desired! 4 bedroom, 1 and 1/2 bath, 2 stall garage with ample parking space on a large, concrete driveway. There is no shortage of charm here! Beautiful woodwork and built-ins make this a very cozy home with so much character. The 4-season porch adds a nice amount of space to the main floor which is filled with natural light. The front deck is the perfect place for outdoor enjoyment. Come take a look today!
Key facts
- Front deck
- Woodwork
- Built ins
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property listed free and clear
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete driveway; 2-car garage (24 x 24)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas; 100 amp electrical service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Main entry on main level
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation area approximately 806; Roof older than 8 years
- Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Lot approximately 0.241 acres (75 x 140)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on the upper level, one main level/other flexible bedroom listed)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bath on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; French doors; Natural woodwork; Walk-in closet; Partially finished basement; Block foundation in basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $165k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#244 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Maccray School District (rural): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in MN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chippewa County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.21%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $91,532
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 51.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.03×
- Total profit
- $232,163
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56222
- Home prices YoY
- -3.3%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$798
- Net cashflow
- $1,856
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,949 | -5% $1,903 | +0% $1,856 | +5% $1,809 | +10% $1,763 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,556 | -5% $1,706 | +0% $1,856 | +5% $2,006 | +10% $2,156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,939 | -0.5pp $1,898 | base $1,856 | +0.5pp $1,813 | +1.0pp $1,770 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Division St S Clara City, MN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2686 | $3,800 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-13historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-05-08$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,544
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,648
- − Management
- −$3,648
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $20,892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maccray School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700091
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,637
- Composite
- 37.64/100
- National rank
- #4374
- State rank
- #188 of 301 in MN
Livability — Clara City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #5251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clara City, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,012
Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,593 people
- By 2030
- 11,294 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 10,715 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 10,229 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 9,600 · -17.2%
- By 2100
- 8,500 · -26.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 25% Iranian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.2% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.0pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.1 2020: R+30.6 2016: R+28.9 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.61%
- Current HPI
- 220.8934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $165,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,544 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…