704 S Carroll Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the Market with new low price! 4 bedroom with one bedroom on main floor. Hardwood floors throughout. Roof in need of repair. Back corner of fascia has damage. Property sold "as is. " where is.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Spacious lot
- Additional parcel
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric cooktop; Gas water heater; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Blackhawk Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 307 students, 0% FRL); Freeport High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 1,080 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1k; list at $80k implies a 7890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.75%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $24,756
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $70,128
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $936/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 W Clark St Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,395 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-20$79,900 Active
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2016-12-01soldstatus $1,000 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Back on the Market with new low price! 4 bedroom with one bedroom on main floor. Hardwood floors throughout. Roof in need of repair. Back corner of fascia has damage. Property sold "as is. " where is.
-
2016-08-19$2,500 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Back on the Market with new low price! 4 bedroom with one bedroom on main floor. Hardwood floors throughout. Roof in need of repair. Back corner of fascia has damage. Property sold "as is. " where is.
-
2007-09-17soldstatus $5,000 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
FORECLOSURE- FIXER/UPPER. LARGE HOME IN NEED OF REPAIR. PRICED TO SELL. .. .. .. USE AS IS RIDER NO SURVEY PROVIDED BANK RIDERS REQUIRED
-
2007-09-11historical 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
FORECLOSURE- FIXER/UPPER. LARGE HOME IN NEED OF REPAIR. PRICED TO SELL. .. .. .. USE AS IS RIDER NO SURVEY PROVIDED BANK RIDERS REQUIRED
-
2007-01-22$10,000 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
FORECLOSURE- FIXER/UPPER. LARGE HOME IN NEED OF REPAIR. PRICED TO SELL. .. .. .. USE AS IS RIDER NO SURVEY PROVIDED BANK RIDERS REQUIRED
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $936 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,375 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$439/yr (+$37/mo · 46.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$936
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,364
- − Management
- −$1,364
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,183
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,484
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+699.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $79,900 NWIAR
- 2016-12-01 Sold (MLS) $1,000 NWIAR
- 2016-08-19 Listed $2,500 NWIAR
- 2007-09-17 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-22 Listed $10,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2024): $936 · +24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…