1751 Mahoning Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 story duplex so top and bottom units. The one tenant is long term the other is a little over a year. Each unit has 1 bedroom, living room, 1 full bath and kitchens w/ appliances. there is a full basement with laundry area.
Key facts
- 6,011 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 279 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner pays repairs, sewer, taxes, trash collection and water; tenants pay cable TV, electricity, gas and insurance
- Financial info: Gross income listed at $12,600; Operating expenses listed at $2,121; Unit rents: one unit at $595 (leased through 9/30/2025), one unit at $455 (leased through 9/30/2025)
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt and gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story apartment building; Wood siding
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Wood siding construction; Asphalt and fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.138 acres); Asphalt and gravel parking surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom apartment units (one on first floor, one on second floor)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.37%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 N Maryland Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,533 (+3%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $68 | 79 |
| 115 N Richview Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (+1%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $64 | 77 |
| 50 Glacier Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (-2%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $74 | 75 |
| 125 N Belle Vis | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-8%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $36 | 71 |
| 234 S Portland Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-6%) | 7mo | $79,500 | $57 | 68 |
| 130 N Portland Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,285 (-14%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $70 | 68 |
| 1509 Mahoning Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+7%) | 2mo | $23,000 | $15 | 57 |
| 727 Wilkinson Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,509 (+2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $119 | 55 |
| 27 Manchester Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,324 (-11%) | 8mo | $124,500 | $94 | 50 |
| 112 Glacier Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,684 (+13%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $83 | 49 |
| 134 Millet Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+14%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $41 | 49 |
| 43 N Schenley Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (-12%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $56 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $15,889
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $47,810
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44509
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $337/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $850 | $0.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,080 | $0.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,080 | $0.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,080 | $0.76 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-02-19status Active
-
2026-02-15historical Contingent
-
2025-11-06price $65,000
-
2025-09-29price $69,900
-
2025-08-29$79,900 Active
-
2020-07-28historical
-
2020-03-05status Active
-
2020-02-24status Pending
-
2020-02-04status Active
-
2020-01-31historical
-
2020-01-28$38,900 Active
-
2019-06-22historical
-
2019-01-22$38,900 Active
-
2018-11-10historical
-
2018-05-10$39,900 Active
-
2018-02-11historical
-
2017-08-14$40,000 Active
-
2017-07-30historical
-
2017-04-13$39,900 Active
-
2017-01-15historical
-
2016-07-21$39,900 Active
-
2011-09-10historical
-
2011-03-10$52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 100.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$337
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$997
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,775
- Household income
- $36,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.4
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.34%
- Current HPI
- 217.0797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-15 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $65,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-08-29 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-07-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-03-05 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2020-02-24 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2020-02-04 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2020-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-01-28 Listed $38,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-06-22 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2019-01-22 Listed $38,900 MLSNOW
- 2018-11-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2018-05-10 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
- 2018-02-11 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2017-08-14 Listed $40,000 MLSNOW
- 2017-07-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2017-04-13 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-01-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2016-07-21 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-09-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-03-10 Listed $52,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $337 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…