CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1751 Mahoning Ave · Youngstown, OH 44509
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 280 Days on market
Built 1920 6,011 sqft lot Est $101k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 story duplex so top and bottom units. The one tenant is long term the other is a little over a year. Each unit has 1 bedroom, living room, 1 full bath and kitchens w/ appliances. there is a full basement with laundry area.

Key facts

  • 6,011 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 279 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner pays repairs, sewer, taxes, trash collection and water; tenants pay cable TV, electricity, gas and insurance
  • Financial info: Gross income listed at $12,600; Operating expenses listed at $2,121; Unit rents: one unit at $595 (leased through 9/30/2025), one unit at $455 (leased through 9/30/2025)

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt and gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story apartment building; Wood siding
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Wood siding construction; Asphalt and fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.138 acres); Asphalt and gravel parking surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom apartment units (one on first floor, one on second floor)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$100,980) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.96%
Cash-on-cash
27.37%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
219 N Maryland Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,533 (+3%) 2mo $105,000 $68 79
115 N Richview Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,499 (+1%) 1mo $96,000 $64 77
50 Glacier Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-2%) 1mo $108,000 $74 75
125 N Belle Vis 0.20mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,368 (-8%) 3mo $49,000 $36 71
234 S Portland Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,404 (-6%) 7mo $79,500 $57 68
130 N Portland Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,285 (-14%) 3mo $90,000 $70 68
1509 Mahoning Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,586 (+7%) 2mo $23,000 $15 57
727 Wilkinson Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,509 (+2%) 3mo $180,000 $119 55
27 Manchester Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,324 (-11%) 8mo $124,500 $94 50
112 Glacier Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,684 (+13%) 8mo $140,000 $83 49
134 Millet Ave 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,700 (+14%) 6mo $70,000 $41 49
43 N Schenley Ave 0.68mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (-12%) 2mo $73,000 $56 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$15,889
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$47,810
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44509

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $337/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $501
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,050 $0.92 20d 1 0.48mi
2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $850 $0.80 20d 1 0.65mi
913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 20d 1 1.10mi
911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 20d 1 1.11mi
546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,080 $0.76 20d 1 1.21mi
2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 13d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 280 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 279 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 278 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 274 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 273 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 272 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 271 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 270 DOM
  9. 2026-02-19
    status Active
  10. 2026-02-15
    historical Contingent
  11. 2025-11-06
    price $65,000
  12. 2025-09-29
    price $69,900
  13. 2025-08-29
    listed $79,900 Active
  14. 2020-07-28
    historical
  15. 2020-03-05
    status Active
  16. 2020-02-24
    status Pending
  17. 2020-02-04
    status Active
  18. 2020-01-31
    historical
  19. 2020-01-28
    listed $38,900 Active
  20. 2019-06-22
    historical
  21. 2019-01-22
    listed $38,900 Active
  22. 2018-11-10
    historical
  23. 2018-05-10
    listed $39,900 Active
  24. 2018-02-11
    historical
  25. 2017-08-14
    listed $40,000 Active
  26. 2017-07-30
    historical
  27. 2017-04-13
    listed $39,900 Active
  28. 2017-01-15
    historical
  29. 2016-07-21
    listed $39,900 Active
  30. 2011-09-10
    historical
  31. 2011-03-10
    listed $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$337 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$676 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 100.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,321
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$337
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$986
− Management
−$986
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$997
After-tax cash flow
$3,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,775
Household income
$36,472
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
10.4

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.34%
Current HPI
217.0797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-15 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $65,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $69,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
  • 2020-07-28 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2020-03-05 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2020-02-24 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2020-02-04 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2020-01-31 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2020-01-28 Listed $38,900 MLSNOW
  • 2019-06-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2019-01-22 Listed $38,900 MLSNOW
  • 2018-11-10 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2018-05-10 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
  • 2018-02-11 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2017-08-14 Listed $40,000 MLSNOW
  • 2017-07-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2017-04-13 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
  • 2017-01-15 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2016-07-21 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
  • 2011-09-10 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2011-03-10 Listed $52,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $337 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…