Duplex
1488 Electric Ave · Lackawanna, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity to own a well-maintained 2-unit property at 1488 Electric Ave in the City of Lackawanna! This income-producing property features a spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath lower unit and a 2-bedroom, 1-bath upper unit, both occupied by great tenants paying standard market rents. Tenants pay their own utilities, helping keep owner expenses low, while the owner covers the water bill. Major updates include a newer roof and hot water tank, both almost 3 years old. Additional features include a partially fenced yard, long driveway, detached garage, and a dry shared basement with separate laundry hookups for each tenant. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, parks, and thruway
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Newer roof
- Long driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is a 2-unit multi-family building; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Owner pays water; water included in rent; Unit 1 (leased): 2 beds, 1 bath — rent $1,000; Unit 2 (leased): 3 beds, 1 bath — rent $1,200; Operating expenses include water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Attached garage; Two garage spaces; Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building; Brick construction; Resale property; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot near public transit (35 x 160)
- Construction: Brick construction; Existing (year built details)
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Fence; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Appliances include gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bathroom in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Partial basement; Den / family room; Eat-in kitchen; Dining area with kitchen; Dining area with living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $184/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.4% in Lackawanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#254 in NY, #4,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Lackawanna City School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #588 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $215k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.33%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,950
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Fig Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,960 (-1%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $59 | 82 |
| 188 Franklin St | 0.16mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+2%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 20 Modern Ave | 0.31mi | 5/2.5 | 2,072 (+4%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $70 | 66 |
| 145 Roland Ave | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 | 2,064 (+4%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $102 | 66 |
| 188 Milnor Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,990 (+0%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 1817 Electric Ave | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,955 (-2%) | 8mo | $267,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 33 Keever Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,268 (+14%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $64 | 42 |
| 13 Rich Pl | 0.32mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,254 (+14%) | 16mo | $157,000 | $70 | 40 |
| 77 Roland Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,211 (+11%) | 20mo | $105,000 | $47 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-11,435
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $20,176
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14218
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,273 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,533/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,274 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,137 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,137 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,273 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$215,000 Active
-
2024-07-09soldstatus $80,000
-
2006-06-28soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,533 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,083 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$550/yr (+$46/mo · 21.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,276
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,533
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,182
- − Management
- −$2,182
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,006
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lackawanna City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616440
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,041
- Composite
- 19.76/100
- National rank
- #8708
- State rank
- #588 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lackawanna
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #4026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lackawanna, NY
- City population
- 20,661
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,661
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.44%
- Current HPI
- 389.0188
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+152.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $215,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,533 · +88.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…