58 Spruce St · Smithers, WV
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
So Many Possibilities with This Large, Freshly Painted, 2-Story Home! The First Floor Contains 6 Total Rooms and Is Move-In Ready, While the Second Floor Could Be Used for Additional Bedrooms, Family Room, Office, Rec Room, Or Just for Storage Galore! With A Covered Porch and Patio on The First Floor and An Enclosed Porch on The Second Floor, This Home Could Be Made to Accommodate Your Every Need. Being Sold for $9,000 Below Appraised Value. Call For an Appointment to See It Today!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Second floor
- First floor
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels / 2 stories
- Construction: Frame construction; Plaster; Shingle siding
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced yard; Metal roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 10 rooms (bedrooms and living spaces included)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Window unit(s); Forced air heating; Space heater; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#76 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Fayette County Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #51 of 55 in WV (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Valley Pk-8 (math 13%, 530 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.55%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $33,434
- Equity at exit
- $51,664
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $91,552
- Equity at exit
- $79,620
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25186
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $466/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $340 | +0% $308 | +5% $275 | +10% $243 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $255 | +0% $308 | +5% $360 | +10% $413 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $366 | -0.5pp $337 | base $308 | +0.5pp $278 | +1.0pp $248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $114,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $119,900
-
2025-12-03$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $466 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$212/yr (+$18/mo · 45.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$466
- − Insurance
- −$1,241
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $1,945
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$467
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400300
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,293
- Composite
- 19.77/100
- National rank
- #8706
- State rank
- #51 of 55 in WV
Livability — Smithers
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #9040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Smithers, WV
- City population
- 925
- Population (ZIP)
- 925
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,745 people
- By 2030
- 39,758 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 35,751 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 32,223 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 24,307 · -41.8%
- By 2100
- 16,671 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.1% · R 69.8% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-4.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $119,900 KVBOR
- 2025-12-03 Listed $125,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $466 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…