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58 Spruce St
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$114,900

58 Spruce St · Smithers, WV 25186
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 198 Days on market
Built 1920 2,879 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

So Many Possibilities with This Large, Freshly Painted, 2-Story Home! The First Floor Contains 6 Total Rooms and Is Move-In Ready, While the Second Floor Could Be Used for Additional Bedrooms, Family Room, Office, Rec Room, Or Just for Storage Galore! With A Covered Porch and Patio on The First Floor and An Enclosed Porch on The Second Floor, This Home Could Be Made to Accommodate Your Every Need. Being Sold for $9,000 Below Appraised Value. Call For an Appointment to See It Today!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Second floor
  • First floor

Tags

FIRST FLOORSECOND FLOORCOVERED PORCHENCLOSED PORCHMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels / 2 stories
  • Construction: Frame construction; Plaster; Shingle siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced yard; Metal roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 10 rooms (bedrooms and living spaces included)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Window unit(s); Forced air heating; Space heater; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#76 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Fayette County Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #51 of 55 in WV (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Valley Pk-8 (math 13%, 530 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.55%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$33,434
Equity at exit
$51,664
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$91,552
Equity at exit
$79,620

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25186

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $466/yr
Insurance
$48
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $943
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $373 -5% $340 +0% $308 +5% $275 +10% $243
Rent -10% $203 -5% $255 +0% $308 +5% $360 +10% $413
Rate -1.0pp $366 -0.5pp $337 base $308 +0.5pp $278 +1.0pp $248

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 198 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 197 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 196 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 195 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 194 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active 192 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,900 Active 191 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 186 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $114,900 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 180 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 179 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 178 DOM
  17. 2026-03-16
    price $119,900
  18. 2025-12-03
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$466 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$678 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$212/yr (+$18/mo · 45.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,989
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$466
− Insurance
−$1,241
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$467
After-tax cash flow
$3,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County Schools
NCES district ID
5400300
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,293
Composite
19.77/100
National rank
#8706
State rank
#51 of 55 in WV

Livability — Smithers

Score
69/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#9040

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Smithers, WV
City population
925
Population (ZIP)
925

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,745 people
By 2030
39,758 · -4.8%
By 2040
35,751 · -14.4%
By 2050
32,223 · -22.8%
By 2075
24,307 · -41.8%
By 2100
16,671 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.1% · R 69.8% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-4.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $119,900 KVBOR
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $125,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $466 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…