🏷️ Likely Rental
312 N Main St · Harrisburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained duplex and a separate single family home, offering excellent income potential in Harrisburg. All 3 units are currently occupied. The duplex is a 1,886 sqft 2 story home with vinyl and metal siding and a composite roof, with a large portion replaced approximately 4 years ago. Windows have been replaced and the interior features laminate and LVT flooring with paneling and wood walls. The duplex consists of one unit on the first floor and one unit on the second floor. First floor unit: 2 bed/2 full (recently updated) baths, walk out unfinished basement with washer/dryer, forced air heating and cooling (2020), currently rented at $600 a month. Second floor unit: 2 bed/1 bath, baseboard heat and window unit A/C, currently rented for $600 a month. The single-family home is 792 sqft with aluminum siding and a composite roof replaced in 2014. The interior offers 2 bed/1 bath, new paint and plumbing. This unit has gas forced-air heating and central A/C (2020) and is currently rented for $700 a month. All units include a deck. Total gross income $1900 per month/$22,800 annually.
Key facts
- Composite roof
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.1% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#309 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Harrisburg CUSD 3 (town): math 5% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #521 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saline County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $76k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.70%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,382
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -37.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,005
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,274
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62946
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,181/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Under Contract 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Under Contract 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Under Contract 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Under Contract 139 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Under Contract 137 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Under Contract 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Under Contract 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Under Contract 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Under Contract 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Under Contract 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Under Contract 127 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $109,000 Under Contract 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2026-01-27price $109,000 1102-char remark
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
Well maintained duplex and a separate single family home, offering excellent income potential in Harrisburg. All 3 units are currently occupied. The duplex is a 1,886 sqft 2 story home with vinyl and metal siding and a composite roof, with a large portion replaced approximately 4 years ago. Windows have been replaced and the interior features laminate and LVT flooring with paneling and wood walls. The duplex consists of one unit on the first floor and one unit on the second floor. First floor unit: 2 bed/2 full (recently updated) baths, walk out unfinished basement with washer/dryer, forced air heating and cooling (2020), currently rented at $600 a month. Second floor unit: 2 bed/1 bath, baseboard heat and window unit A/C, currently rented for $600 a month. The single-family home is 792 sqft with aluminum siding and a composite roof replaced in 2014. The interior offers 2 bed/1 bath, new paint and plumbing. This unit has gas forced-air heating and central A/C (2020) and is currently rented for $700 a month. All units include a deck. Total gross income $1900 per month/$22,800 annually.
-
2025-12-29Active
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
Well maintained duplex and a separate single family home, offering excellent income potential in Harrisburg. All 3 units are currently occupied. The duplex is a 1,886 sqft 2 story home with vinyl and metal siding and a composite roof, with a large portion replaced approximately 4 years ago. Windows have been replaced and the interior features laminate and LVT flooring with paneling and wood walls. The duplex consists of one unit on the first floor and one unit on the second floor. First floor unit: 2 bed/2 full (recently updated) baths, walk out unfinished basement with washer/dryer, forced air heating and cooling (2020), currently rented at $600 a month. Second floor unit: 2 bed/1 bath, baseboard heat and window unit A/C, currently rented for $600 a month. The single-family home is 792 sqft with aluminum siding and a composite roof replaced in 2014. The interior offers 2 bed/1 bath, new paint and plumbing. This unit has gas forced-air heating and central A/C (2020) and is currently rented for $700 a month. All units include a deck. Total gross income $1900 per month/$22,800 annually.
-
2025-12-29$120,000 Active 1102-char remark
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
Well maintained duplex and a separate single family home, offering excellent income potential in Harrisburg. All 3 units are currently occupied. The duplex is a 1,886 sqft 2 story home with vinyl and metal siding and a composite roof, with a large portion replaced approximately 4 years ago. Windows have been replaced and the interior features laminate and LVT flooring with paneling and wood walls. The duplex consists of one unit on the first floor and one unit on the second floor. First floor unit: 2 bed/2 full (recently updated) baths, walk out unfinished basement with washer/dryer, forced air heating and cooling (2020), currently rented at $600 a month. Second floor unit: 2 bed/1 bath, baseboard heat and window unit A/C, currently rented for $600 a month. The single-family home is 792 sqft with aluminum siding and a composite roof replaced in 2014. The interior offers 2 bed/1 bath, new paint and plumbing. This unit has gas forced-air heating and central A/C (2020) and is currently rented for $700 a month. All units include a deck. Total gross income $1900 per month/$22,800 annually.
-
2024-03-01soldstatus $76,000
-
2024-03-01soldstatus $76,000 Closed
-
2024-01-22historical Under Contract
-
2023-10-28status Active
-
2023-09-01historical Under Contract
-
2023-05-27price $95,000
-
2023-01-31price $102,000
-
2022-07-22price $110,000
-
2022-06-22$95,000
-
2022-06-22$115,000 Active
-
2015-10-19soldstatus $43,500
-
2009-06-30soldstatus $15,000
-
2009-06-30soldstatus $15,000
-
2009-03-23$19,900
-
2009-03-23$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,181 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,328 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$146/yr (+$12/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,949
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,181
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$286
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1718270
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,717
- Composite
- 12.61/100
- National rank
- #9613
- State rank
- #521 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #6073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,465
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,915 people
- By 2030
- 23,262 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 21,775 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 20,098 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 15,234 · -36.3%
- By 2100
- 10,302 · -56.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Saline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 24.8% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.20%
- Current HPI
- 102.6962
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+447.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $109,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-29 Listed $120,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-29 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $76,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-22 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-28 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-01 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-27 Price Changed $95,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-31 Price Changed $102,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-22 Price Changed $110,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-22 Listed $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-22 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 2009-06-30 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-30 Sold (MLS) $15,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-23 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-23 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,181 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…