2303 W Michigan Ave Unit E-8 · Bellview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience stylish, low-maintenance living in this beautifully furnished two-bedroom, two-bath second-floor condo, where comfort meets modern appeal. The open layout creates a smooth, airy flow from the kitchen to the living area, offering an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite feels refined and spacious with its private bath and generous closet, while the second bedroom adds versatility for guests, work, or creative space. Step onto your private balcony and enjoy a quiet moment to start or end your day. An exterior storage room adds convenience for bikes, seasonal items, or beach gear. Perfectly positioned in central Pensacola, this condo keeps you close to parks, dining, entertainment, and everyday essentials. And when you’re ready for sunshine and adventure, Pensacola’s iconic Gulf beaches are only a short drive away, giving you effortless access to coastal fun without the bustle of beachfront living. Military members will appreciate the easy commute to nearby bases. Elegant, convenient, and move-in ready—this condo offers a polished Pensacola lifestyle with quick access to everything that makes the area so enjoyable.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- $340 HOA
- Built 1983
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($273/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bellview Elementary School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 545 students, 75% FRL); Bellview Middle School (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 992 students, 76% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 421 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $115k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,385
- List price
- $114,999
- Delta
- 10.17%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-14,834
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,148
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$340
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $62 | +0% $23 | +5% $-17 | +10% $-57 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-93 | -5% $-35 | +0% $23 | +5% $81 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $52 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-7 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2303 W Michigan Ave Unit A6 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2301 W Michigan Ave #21 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1164 | $1,325 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5602 W Shore Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,250 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2300 W Michigan Ave #12 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2355 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 15d | 9 | 0.41mi |
| 925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5180 Burlington Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,650 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5472 Dover Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1150 | $1,520 | $1.32 | 15d | 9 | 1.19mi |
| 221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,598 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5207 Charbar Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6322 Louisville Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,147 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,185 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $340 · $4,080/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,999 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $114,999 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $114,999 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-08price $119,500 1183-char remark
Show marketing remark (1166 chars)
Experience stylish, low-maintenance living in this beautifully furnished two-bedroom, two-bath second-floor condo, where comfort meets modern appeal. The open layout creates a smooth, airy flow from the kitchen to the living area, offering an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite feels refined and spacious with its private bath and generous closet, while the second bedroom adds versatility for guests, work, or creative space. Step onto your private balcony and enjoy a quiet moment to start or end your day. An exterior storage room adds convenience for bikes, seasonal items, or beach gear. Perfectly positioned in central Pensacola, this condo keeps you close to parks, dining, entertainment, and everyday essentials. And when you're ready for sunshine and adventure, Pensacola's iconic Gulf beaches are only a short drive away, giving you effortless access to coastal fun without the bustle of beachfront living. Military members will appreciate the easy commute to nearby bases. Elegant, convenient, and move-in ready--this condo offers a polished Pensacola lifestyle with quick access to everything that makes the area so enjoyable.
-
2026-05-08price $119,500 1166-char remark
Show marketing remark (1166 chars)
Experience stylish, low-maintenance living in this beautifully furnished two-bedroom, two-bath second-floor condo, where comfort meets modern appeal. The open layout creates a smooth, airy flow from the kitchen to the living area, offering an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite feels refined and spacious with its private bath and generous closet, while the second bedroom adds versatility for guests, work, or creative space. Step onto your private balcony and enjoy a quiet moment to start or end your day. An exterior storage room adds convenience for bikes, seasonal items, or beach gear. Perfectly positioned in central Pensacola, this condo keeps you close to parks, dining, entertainment, and everyday essentials. And when you're ready for sunshine and adventure, Pensacola's iconic Gulf beaches are only a short drive away, giving you effortless access to coastal fun without the bustle of beachfront living. Military members will appreciate the easy commute to nearby bases. Elegant, convenient, and move-in ready--this condo offers a polished Pensacola lifestyle with quick access to everything that makes the area so enjoyable.
-
2026-04-15$121,499 Active 1166-char remark
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Experience stylish, low-maintenance living in this beautifully furnished two-bedroom, two-bath second-floor condo, where comfort meets modern appeal. The open layout creates a smooth, airy flow from the kitchen to the living area, offering an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite feels refined and spacious with its private bath and generous closet, while the second bedroom adds versatility for guests, work, or creative space. Step onto your private balcony and enjoy a quiet moment to start or end your day. An exterior storage room adds convenience for bikes, seasonal items, or beach gear. Perfectly positioned in central Pensacola, this condo keeps you close to parks, dining, entertainment, and everyday essentials. And when you’re ready for sunshine and adventure, Pensacola’s iconic Gulf beaches are only a short drive away, giving you effortless access to coastal fun without the bustle of beachfront living. Military members will appreciate the easy commute to nearby bases. Elegant, convenient, and move-in ready—this condo offers a polished Pensacola lifestyle with quick access to everything that makes the area so enjoyable.
-
2026-04-15$121,499 Active 1183-char remark
Show marketing remark (1183 chars)
Experience stylish, low-maintenance living in this beautifully furnished two-bedroom, two-bath second-floor condo, where comfort meets modern appeal. The open layout creates a smooth, airy flow from the kitchen to the living area, offering an inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite feels refined and spacious with its private bath and generous closet, while the second bedroom adds versatility for guests, work, or creative space. Step onto your private balcony and enjoy a quiet moment to start or end your day. An exterior storage room adds convenience for bikes, seasonal items, or beach gear. Perfectly positioned in central Pensacola, this condo keeps you close to parks, dining, entertainment, and everyday essentials. And when you’re ready for sunshine and adventure, Pensacola’s iconic Gulf beaches are only a short drive away, giving you effortless access to coastal fun without the bustle of beachfront living. Military members will appreciate the easy commute to nearby bases. Elegant, convenient, and move-in ready—this condo offers a polished Pensacola lifestyle with quick access to everything that makes the area so enjoyable.
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2026-03-29$121,499 Active
-
2016-05-09soldstatus $49,000
-
2016-01-27$52,750
-
2009-05-07historical
-
2008-11-07$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,407
- − Management
- −$1,407
- − HOA
- −$4,080
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,399
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$336
- After-tax cash flow
- $608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained two-bedroom condo offers a good starting point for a cosmetic renovation, with updates that can significantly boost its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen countertops — Worn appearance
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Signs of wear
- Minor exterior paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn kitchen countertops — New countertops improve functionality and appearance
- Both Replace worn bathroom fixtures — New fixtures enhance functionality and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen countertops · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Signs of wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior paint · Faded appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen countertops — New countertops improve functionality and appearance ↑
- Both Replace worn bathroom fixtures — New fixtures enhance functionality and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bellview
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #10731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellview, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+59.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $119,500 PARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $119,500 ECAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $121,499 ECAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $121,499 PARMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $121,499 ECAR
- 2016-05-09 Sold (MLS) $49,000 PARMLS
- 2016-01-27 Listed $52,750 PARMLS
- 2009-05-07 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2008-11-07 Listed $75,000 PARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…