19800 Oakfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Updated kitchen
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.76%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,335
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -7.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19751 Oakfield St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 735 (-2%) | 1mo | $17,500 | $24 | 94 |
| 19781 Oakfield St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (+1%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $86 | 91 |
| 19786 Oakfield St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+5%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $103 | 81 |
| 19510 Ferguson St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 717 (-4%) | 3mo | $21,000 | $29 | 79 |
| 19307 Fenmore St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-3%) | 3mo | $72,500 | $100 | 75 |
| 19749 Rosemont Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 753 (+1%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $120 | 75 |
| 19425 Fenmore St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 8mo | $79,000 | $110 | 75 |
| 19195 Fenmore St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 8mo | $79,500 | $110 | 68 |
| 19913 Prevost St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (-4%) | 4mo | $27,900 | $39 | 65 |
| 18950 Biltmore St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 781 (+5%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 19470 Forrer St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (+3%) | 6mo | $27,000 | $35 | 60 |
| 19944 Faust Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 665 (-11%) | 4mo | $30,400 | $46 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $21,469
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.82×
- Total profit
- $58,764
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,141 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $503 | -5% $487 | +0% $472 | +5% $456 | +10% $441 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $382 | -5% $427 | +0% $472 | +5% $517 | +10% $562 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $499 | -0.5pp $486 | base $472 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $995 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 20539 Southfield Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 11d | 4 | 0.52mi |
| 20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,222 | $1.63 | 16d | 5 | 0.76mi |
| 18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,175 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 733 | $1,025 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 21697 Greenfield Rd Unit A-219 Oak Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,774 | $2.48 | 26d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $55,000 Pending 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-19price $55,000 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
-
2026-05-19price $55,000 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
-
2026-04-28price $59,900 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
-
2026-04-27price $59,900 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
-
2026-04-12$65,000 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
-
2026-04-10$65,000 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Beautifully remodeled ranch-style home updated in 2025, blending modern finishes with classic charm. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a thoughtfully designed layout with stylish upgrades throughout. The updated kitchen and bath offer contemporary touches, while the full basement provides additional storage or potential living space. Move-in ready and perfect for buyers seeking comfort and modern appeal in a single-level home. Appliances are not included in the sale.
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2026-04-03historical
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2026-04-03historical
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2026-01-30price $70,000
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2026-01-30price $70,000
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2025-12-16$75,000 Active
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2025-12-16$75,000 Active
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2008-08-07historical
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2008-02-13$4,200
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2008-02-04historical
-
2008-02-04historical
-
2007-12-31historical
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2007-08-22$6,900
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2007-08-22$6,900
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2007-08-22$10,500
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2007-04-27historical
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2007-02-03$35,000
-
2006-03-15soldstatus $67,500
-
2005-11-17soldstatus $75,000
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2005-07-15$78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,417 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,417 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,417
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,095
- − Management
- −$1,095
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,431/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-29.5% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-12 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-16 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-08-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-02-13 Listed $4,200 REALCOMP
- 2008-02-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-02-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-22 Listed $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-22 Listed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-22 Listed $6,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-04-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-02-03 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 2005-11-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-15 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,417 · +37.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…