914 Madison St · Tuscumbia, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper 2 bed, 1 bath. New roof! Owner financing avail. Financiada por el dueno. Hablo Espanol
Key facts
- New roof
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Tuscumbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Tuscumbia City (suburban): math 18% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #72 of 129 in AL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $85k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.07%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,425
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -2.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 Madison St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+12%) | 8mo | $42,500 | $53 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,616
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $9,823
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35674
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $273/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $184 | +0% $160 | +5% $136 | +10% $112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $127 | +0% $160 | +5% $193 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $182 | base $160 | +0.5pp $138 | +1.0pp $116 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-04status Active 98-char remark
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
Fixer upper 2 bed, 1 bath. New roof! Owner financing avail. Financiada por el dueno. Hablo Espanol
-
2026-03-21status Pending 98-char remark
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
Fixer upper 2 bed, 1 bath. New roof! Owner financing avail. Financiada por el dueno. Hablo Espanol
-
2026-03-07$85,000 Active 98-char remark
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
Fixer upper 2 bed, 1 bath. New roof! Owner financing avail. Financiada por el dueno. Hablo Espanol
-
2025-10-28soldstatus $42,500 Sold 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
STEP INTO THIS COZY 2 BEDROOM HOME IN THE HEART OF TUSCUMBIA. GREAT FOR A FIRST TIME HOMEOWNER OR INVESTOR. COMES WITH A HUGE WORKSHOP
-
2025-10-03status Pending 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
STEP INTO THIS COZY 2 BEDROOM HOME IN THE HEART OF TUSCUMBIA. GREAT FOR A FIRST TIME HOMEOWNER OR INVESTOR. COMES WITH A HUGE WORKSHOP
-
2025-10-01$50,000 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
STEP INTO THIS COZY 2 BEDROOM HOME IN THE HEART OF TUSCUMBIA. GREAT FOR A FIRST TIME HOMEOWNER OR INVESTOR. COMES WITH A HUGE WORKSHOP
-
2019-04-15$13,500
-
2019-04-08soldstatus $11,000
-
2018-09-18$29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $273 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $349 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$76/yr (+$6/mo · 27.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,086
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$273
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$807
- − Management
- −$807
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $540
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscumbia City
- NCES district ID
- 0103420
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,168
- Composite
- 24.66/100
- National rank
- #7619
- State rank
- #72 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscumbia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #12659
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscumbia, AL
- County
- Colbert County · 20,176 people
- City population
- 20,176
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,176
- Household income
- $64,706
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 372.0
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.06%
- Current HPI
- 171.9693
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+193.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-03-21 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $85,000 SAARMLS
- 2025-10-28 Sold (MLS) $42,500 VMLS
- 2025-10-03 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $50,000 VMLS
- 2019-04-15 Listed $13,500 SAARMLS
- 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $11,000 SAARMLS
- 2018-09-18 Listed $29,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $273 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…