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Enchante Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 23.65
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$417,990

Enchante Plan · Porter, TX 77365
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,124 sqft · SingleFamily · 472 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The two-story Enchanté duet home features a study off the foyer. The gourmet kitchen includes a large island and walk-in pantry that opens to the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that overlook the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with soaking tub and shower or oversized shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

Key facts

  • Flexible study
  • Wider doorways
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR PRIMARY SUITEFLEXIBLE STUDYWIDER DOORWAYSEASY-REACH APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $417,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $435,244.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $418k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (45.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (50.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (50.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • New Caney ISD (suburban): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #570 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Caney H S (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 2,428 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 57% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1363 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 39d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 472 days — a 12% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,835 (50.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 472 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.48%
Cap rate
2.53%
Cash-on-cash
-13.45%
DSCR
0.40
GRM
17.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$435,244
List price
$417,990
Delta
-3.96%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22266 Junction Peak Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,162 (+2%) 2mo $380,990 $176 78
8720 Mancos Valley Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,991 (-6%) 2mo $430,000 $216 77
18162 Windy Oaks Ct 0.29mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,140 (+1%) 2mo $269,900 $126 76
22523 Boyden Cavern Ct 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,162 (+2%) 1mo $375,990 $174 76
8772 Mancos Valley Ct 0.26mi 3/2.5 2,250 (+6%) 2mo $470,000 $209 75
22832 Ella Falls Ct 0.52mi 3/3.0 2,119 (-0%) 1mo $531,625 $251 71
22286 Junction Peak Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,263 (+6%) 1mo $384,990 $170 65
9608 Mount Brewer Ln 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,942 (-9%) 1mo $399,900 $206 65
22527 Boyden Cavern Ct 0.34mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,263 (+6%) 1mo $388,990 $172 64
8915 Blackwoods Ct 0.19mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,349 (+11%) 1mo $447,990 $191 63
8736 Mancos Valley Ct 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,923 (-10%) 2mo $354,990 $185 63
22322 Junction Peak Dr 0.38mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,370 (+12%) 2mo $384,990 $162 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-44.5%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-164,474
Equity at exit
$64,896
10-year hold
IRR
-89.5%
Equity multiple
-1.23×
Total profit
$-271,529
Equity at exit
$37,632

Cash invested: $121,868 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
135 active · 86 under contract
Months of supply
11.9 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$449,990 ($208/sqft)
Median days on market
97 d
This list price
33% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-1.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77365

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
1363
Price-to-rent
16.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,078 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,282
Tax est. 1.5%
$544 /mo · $6,529/yr
Insurance
$181
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$-1,432

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,892
Max offer price $227,968
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,132 -5% $-1,282 +0% $-1,432 +5% $-1,583 +10% $-1,733
Rent -10% $-1,597 -5% $-1,515 +0% $-1,432 +5% $-1,350 +10% $-1,268
Rate -1.0pp $-1,213 -0.5pp $-1,322 base $-1,432 +0.5pp $-1,545 +1.0pp $-1,660

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$108,811
Closing costs
$13,057
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18116 Red Pine Ct Porter, TX 4.0 2.0 1916 $2,000 $1.04 18d 1 0.19mi
22079 Misty Moss Ct Porter, TX 3.0 2.5 1716 $1,925 $1.12 28d 1 0.22mi
18154 Windy Oaks Ct Porter, TX 3.0 2.0 1906 $2,275 $1.19 36d 1 0.27mi
18167 Woodsdale Ct Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 1608 $1,749 $1.09 38d 1 0.37mi
18442 Hollow Oaks Cir Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 2088 $1,880 $0.90 11d 1 0.45mi
18450 Hollow Oaks Cir Porter, TX 3.0 2.5 2088 $2,055 $0.98 79d 1 0.47mi
21746 Deep Pines Dr Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 2088 $2,200 $1.05 55d 1 0.59mi
21613 Anvil Ln Porter, TX 4.0 3.0 2117 $1,716 $0.81 39d 1 1.00mi
21699 Horseshoe Dr Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 2327 $1,801 $0.77 4d 1 1.10mi
21625 Hackamore Ct Porter, TX 3.0 2.0 1758 $1,920 $1.09 67d 1 1.18mi
19194 Shire Horse Blvd Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 2798 $2,320 $0.83 139d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $417,990 Active 472 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $417,990 Active 471 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $417,990 Active 470 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $417,990 Active 469 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $417,990 Active 468 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $417,990 Active 467 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $417,990 Active 466 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $417,990 Active 465 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $417,990 Active 464 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $417,990 Active 463 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $417,990 Active 462 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $417,990 Active 461 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $417,990 Active 460 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $417,990 Active 454 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $417,990 Active 453 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $417,990 Active 451 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $417,990 Active 449 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $417,990 Active 448 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $417,990 Active 447 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $417,990 Active 446 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $417,990 Active 445 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $417,990 Active 443 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $417,990 Active 442 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $417,990 Active 441 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $417,990 Active 440 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $417,990 Active 439 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $417,990 Active 438 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $417,990 Active 437 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $417,990 Active 436 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $417,990 Active 435 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $417,990 Active 434 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $417,990 Active 433 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $417,990 Active 432 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $417,990 Active 431 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $417,990 Active 430 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $417,990 Active 429 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $417,990 Active 428 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $417,990 Active 427 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $417,990 Active 426 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $417,990 Active 424 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    remarks 477-char remark
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $417,990 Active 423 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $417,990 Active 422 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $417,990 Active 421 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $417,990 Active 418 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $417,990 Active 416 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $417,990 Active 415 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $417,990 Active 413 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $417,990 Active 411 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $417,990 Active 410 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,940
− Mortgage interest
−$24,380
− Property taxes
−$6,529
− Insurance
−$2,974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,995
− Management
−$1,995
− Depreciation
−$12,662
Taxable loss
−$25,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,143
After-tax cash flow
$-11,047/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This two-story Enchanté duet home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 28/100

Zoned Schools

High New Caney H S F TX #1,183/1,632 Nat'l #11,797/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Caney ISD
NCES district ID
4832400
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,380
Composite
27.97/100
National rank
#6857
State rank
#570 of 826 in TX

Livability — Porter

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 713,896 people
City population
46,418
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,418
Household income
$95,702
Rent vs Own
22.9% rent · 77.1% own
Severe rent burden
4% of renters

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
713,896 people
By 2030
805,263 · +12.8%
By 2040
992,708 · +39.1%
By 2050
1,179,590 · +65.2%
By 2075
1,628,084 · +128.1%
By 2100
1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 15% Black 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-0.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $405,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $402,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $399,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $398,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $408,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…