850 Ash St · Hodge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$152,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home is on a corner lot in the city limits of Hodge with mature oak trees. Offering 3 bedroom and a full bath with a walk-in shower and a half bath/ laundry room off the kitchen. An enclosed sitting area, public sewage, natural gas, and a large shop with a rollup door. Home shingles replaced 2020. All on two lots for you and your family to enjoy. Call to schedule today with your favorite agent. .
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Carport; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-level entry (entry level 1); One story
- Construction: Masonite exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as a site-built home
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Corner lot; Paved road access; On-site storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Oven; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms; 1 partial bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for additional cooling; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Blinds on windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-653/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#352 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, health & safety D, crime F.
- Jackson Parish (rural): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #50 of 98 in LA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jonesboro-Hodge Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #633 of 646 statewide, top 99%, 340 students, 84% FRL); Jonesboro-Hodge Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #192 of 218 statewide, top 88%, 162 students, 77% FRL); Jonesboro-Hodge High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #239 of 265 statewide, top 91%, 228 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jackson Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.53%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $14,799
- Equity at exit
- $68,346
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $57,505
- Equity at exit
- $105,329
Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71247
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,134 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $-54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $32 | -5% $-11 | +0% $-54 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-144 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-54 | +5% $-10 | +10% $35 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-54 | +0.5pp $-94 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,000
- Closing costs
- $4,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-10$152,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,075 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,075 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,514
- − Property taxes
- −$1,075
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$4,422
- Taxable loss
- −$3,344
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$803
- After-tax cash flow
- $149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200780
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,823
- Composite
- 23.36/100
- National rank
- #7909
- State rank
- #50 of 98 in LA
Livability — Hodge
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #352
- US rank
- #23021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hodge, LA
- City population
- 1,225
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,225
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,022 people
- By 2030
- 14,489 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 13,361 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 12,269 · -18.3%
- By 2075
- 9,848 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 7,510 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 42% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -35.3pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+37.5 2008: R+35.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-05-10 Listed $152,000 NELABOR
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,075 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…