CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
306 Carter Ave
C+ Composite 64.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

306 Carter Ave · Harriman, TN 37748
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,810 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 197 Days on market
Built 1930 3,485 sqft lot $77/sqft · 16% below area Est $197k · 30% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Always dreamed of renovating your own Victorian home? This charming two-story Victorian in the heart of Harriman, Tennessee, is your chance to bring that dream remodel to life. Priced at an amazing $159,900, this classic beauty offers historic character, original details, and endless potential for the right buyer. Step inside to find some original hardwood floors, and the distinctive architectural touches that make Victorian homes so special. The main level features a bedroom, and a full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find 2 bedrooms, a sitting room and a bathroom that is currently non-functional—a perfect blank canvas for a custom renovation. There is an additional room that could easily be converted into a hobby room, or an office. The home does need significant work, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone eager to restore a historic property to its former glory. Located near downtown Harriman, you'll enjoy quick access to local shops, dining, and community events while still having the peaceful charm of a classic Victorian neighborhood. If you've been waiting for the right project, this is your opportunity. Bring your vision, roll up your sleeves, and create the Victorian home you've always imagined.

Key facts

  • Historic property
  • Victorian home
  • Hobby room

Tags

VICTORIAN HOMEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCUSTOM RENOVATIONHOBBY ROOMHISTORIC PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Harriman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#330 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roane County (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #64 of 139 in TN (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 229 units permitted in Roane County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roane County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.30%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,285
List price
$139,000
Delta
-29.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 Walden Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,840 (+2%) 4mo $199,000 $108 84
514 Clinton St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-6%) 7mo $170,000 $100 70
521 Clinton St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,652 (-9%) 1mo $275,000 $166 70
301 Walden Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,022 (+12%) 1mo $300,000 $148 69
316 Morgan Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,658 (-8%) 16mo $45,000 $27 69
805 Sewanee St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,746 (-4%) 6mo $164,000 $94 61
790 & 800 Hilltop Dr 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,750 (-3%) 8mo $385,000 $220 56
790800 Hilltop Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,750 (-3%) 8mo $385,000 $220 56
518 Trenton St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,756 (-3%) 23mo $226,900 $129 55
813 Trenton St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,637 (-10%) 10mo $275,000 $168 47
705 Sewanee St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-12%) 20mo $289,900 $181 45
246 Harding Rd 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,062 (+14%) 7mo $249,000 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,539
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$12,727
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37748

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,466 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $835/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,168
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $314 -5% $275 +0% $235 +5% $196 +10% $157
Rent -10% $119 -5% $177 +0% $235 +5% $293 +10% $351
Rate -1.0pp $305 -0.5pp $271 base $235 +0.5pp $199 +1.0pp $163

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,000 Active 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 194 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 193 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 192 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 191 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 189 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 188 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 186 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 185 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 179 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 178 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 177 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 176 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 175 DOM
  18. 2025-12-06
    listed $159,900 Active 1249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1249 chars)

    Always dreamed of renovating your own Victorian home? This charming two-story Victorian in the heart of Harriman, Tennessee, is your chance to bring that dream remodel to life. Priced at an amazing $159,900, this classic beauty offers historic character, original details, and endless potential for the right buyer. Step inside to find some original hardwood floors, and the distinctive architectural touches that make Victorian homes so special. The main level features a bedroom, and a full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find 2 bedrooms, a sitting room and a bathroom that is currently non-functional—a perfect blank canvas for a custom renovation. There is an additional room that could easily be converted into a hobby room, or an office. The home does need significant work, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or anyone eager to restore a historic property to its former glory. Located near downtown Harriman, you'll enjoy quick access to local shops, dining, and community events while still having the peaceful charm of a classic Victorian neighborhood. If you've been waiting for the right project, this is your opportunity. Bring your vision, roll up your sleeves, and create the Victorian home you've always imagined.

  19. 2025-08-01
    historical
  20. 2025-08-01
    historical
  21. 2025-06-25
    listed $159,000 Active
  22. 2025-05-04
    status Active
  23. 2025-02-27
    historical
  24. 2025-01-11
    listed $159,000 Active
  25. 2024-12-31
    historical
  26. 2024-09-16
    status Active
  27. 2024-09-15
    historical
  28. 2024-09-12
    price $129,900
  29. 2024-01-22
    listed $169,900 Active
  30. 2023-12-29
    historical
  31. 2023-10-03
    price $159,900
  32. 2023-07-15
    price $169,900
  33. 2023-06-27
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$835 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$152/yr (+$13/mo · 18.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,593
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$835
− Insurance
−$1,492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,407
− Management
−$1,407
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$620
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$149
After-tax cash flow
$2,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roane County
NCES district ID
4703590
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,611
Composite
25.0/100
National rank
#7557
State rank
#64 of 139 in TN

Livability — Harriman

Score
57/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#21927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harriman, TN
City population
17,021
Population (ZIP)
17,021

Population outlook (Roane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,652 people
By 2030
47,648 · -4.0%
By 2040
43,306 · -12.8%
By 2050
39,294 · -20.9%
By 2075
32,318 · -34.9%
By 2100
27,137 · -45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roane

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.5) · D 22.1% · R 76.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -36.2pp · 2024: -54.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.5 2020: R+50.9 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.78%
Current HPI
305.724
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $159,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $159,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-04 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-02-27 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-01-11 Listed $159,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2024-09-16 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2024-09-15 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2024-09-12 Price Changed $129,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2024-01-22 Listed $169,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2023-12-29 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2023-10-03 Price Changed $159,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2023-07-15 Price Changed $169,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2023-06-27 Listed $199,900 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $835 · +26.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…