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4069-4077 Goldfinch St 21-Plex
D- Composite 39.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,995,000

4069-4077 Goldfinch St · San Diego, CA 92103
609 bd · 567.0 ba · 15,620 sqft · MultiFamily · 91 Days on market
Built 2000 0.46 ac lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 21 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Price reduced to $9,995,000. First time on the market—an exceptional and rare 21-unit, condo-quality asset in the heart of Mission Hills. This trophy investment offers immediate and substantial upside. Current rents are approximately $1,000 below market per unit, creating a clear path to increased cash flow. Positioned for a sophisticated value-add investor, the property presents multiple strategies to unlock value. These include potentially converting 16 garages into additional units (subject to approvals) or undertaking a full-scale renovation and repositioning to achieve premium market rents. Residents enjoy a highly desirable amenity package: gated entry, 15 open parking spaces, 1

Key facts

  • Private balconies
  • Gated access
  • Community bbq decks

Tags

GATED ACCESSPRIVATE BALCONIESWORKING FIREPLACESELEVATOR ACCESSON-SITE LAUNDRYCOMMUNITY BBQ DECKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 31 parking spaces; Garage parking
  • Home design: Residential income property (Commercial-Residential income subtype); Zoned RM-3-7
  • Construction: Composition and tile roof
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced with wood fencing; Landscaped lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 25 full bathrooms; 4 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Elevator; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 21 × 29-bed/27.0-bath units multifamily listed at $9.99M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $25/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $7.68M (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $7.68M (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $76,804/mo this rent would consume 898% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 2543% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($9.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $7,680,400 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-1,724,468
Equity at exit
$1,490,287
10-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-2,005,958
Equity at exit
$864,185

Cash invested: $2,798,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92103

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
227.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$76,804 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52,415
Tax from tax record
$3,575 /mo · $42,904/yr
Insurance
$4,165
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$16,129
Net cashflow
$520

Break-even live

Break-even rent $76,145
Max offer price $9,995,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6,178 -5% $3,349 +0% $520 +5% $-2,309 +10% $-5,138
Rent -10% $-5,547 -5% $-2,513 +0% $520 +5% $3,554 +10% $6,588
Rate -1.0pp $5,554 -0.5pp $3,063 base $520 +0.5pp $-2,070 +1.0pp $-4,704

21-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (21 units) $76,804

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,498,750
Closing costs
$299,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,995,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $9,995,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,250,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,250,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,250,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,250,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    price $10,250,000
  15. 2026-03-19
    listed $10,500,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$42,904 · $3,575/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$75,962 · $6,330/mo
Expected delta
+$33,058/yr (+$2,755/mo · 77.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$921,648
− Mortgage interest
−$559,875
− Property taxes
−$42,904
− Insurance
−$49,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$73,732
− Management
−$73,732
− Depreciation
−$290,764
Taxable loss
−$169,333
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$40,640
After-tax cash flow
$46,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego Unified
NCES district ID
0634320
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$61,673
Composite
22.31/100
National rank
#8135
State rank
#393 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Diego

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Diego, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
1,397,612
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,836
Household income
$102,626
Rent vs Own
64.8% rent · 35.2% own
Severe rent burden
2543.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -723.82%
Current HPI
256.0844
Rent YoY
▲ 1.24%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $10,250,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $10,500,000 SDMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $42,904 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…