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6691 Cox Gap Rd
F Composite 24.1
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.5/30.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$198,900

6691 Cox Gap Rd · Carlisle-Rockledge, AL 35956
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1997 0.40 ac lot $127/sqft · 48% above area Est $135k · 48% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Open floor plan
  • Metal roof

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEWALK IN CLOSETSOAKER TUBMETAL ROOFCOVERED DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Highway 431 South from Boaz, left on Cox Gap Road, house on right
  • HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; Gravel driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Manufactured / mobile home; Single-story; Built in 1997; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; One fireplace; Built in 1997; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Treed lot; Gravel drive; Covered porch; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; One wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-602 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (43.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (50.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (50.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sardis Middle School (math 11% / reading 41%, grade F, #155 of 257 statewide, top 61%, 398 students, 70% FRL); Sardis High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 584 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Etowah County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,792 (50.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.49%
Cap rate
2.66%
Cash-on-cash
-12.97%
DSCR
0.42
GRM
16.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,530
List price
$198,900
Delta
47.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$69,999
Equity at exit
$179,185
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
5.24×
Total profit
$236,318
Equity at exit
$386,419

Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35956

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$978 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,043
Tax est. 1.5%
$249 /mo · $2,984/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$-602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,740
Max offer price $111,790
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-465 -5% $-533 +0% $-602 +5% $-671 +10% $-739
Rent -10% $-679 -5% $-641 +0% $-602 +5% $-563 +10% $-525
Rate -1.0pp $-502 -0.5pp $-551 base $-602 +0.5pp $-654 +1.0pp $-706

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,725
Closing costs
$5,967
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $198,900 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $198,900 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $198,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $198,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $198,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $198,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $198,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $198,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $198,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $198,900 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $198,900 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $198,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $198,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $198,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $198,900 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $198,900 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $198,900 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $199,900 Active 582-char remark
  19. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus $179,900 Sold 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!

  20. 2025-06-01
    status Pending 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!

  21. 2025-05-15
    listed $179,900 Active 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,735
− Mortgage interest
−$11,141
− Property taxes
−$2,984
− Insurance
−$994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$939
− Management
−$939
− Depreciation
−$5,786
Taxable loss
−$11,048
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,652
After-tax cash flow
$-4,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Etowah County
NCES district ID
0101380
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,403
Composite
31.12/100
National rank
#6062
State rank
#36 of 129 in AL

Livability — Carlisle-Rockledge

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Carlisle-Rockledge, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,381

Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,500 people
By 2030
98,488 · -2.0%
By 2040
93,731 · -6.7%
By 2050
88,681 · -11.8%
By 2075
76,746 · -23.6%
By 2100
65,373 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Etowah

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.87%
Current HPI
299.2131
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $198,900 VMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $199,900 VMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $179,900 VMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Pending VMLS
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $179,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $113 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…