6691 Cox Gap Rd · Carlisle-Rockledge, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +3.5/30.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$198,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Open floor plan
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Highway 431 South from Boaz, left on Cox Gap Road, house on right
- HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway; Gravel driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Manufactured / mobile home; Single-story; Built in 1997; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; One fireplace; Built in 1997; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Treed lot; Gravel drive; Covered porch; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; One wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-602 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (43.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (50.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (50.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sardis Middle School (math 11% / reading 41%, grade F, #155 of 257 statewide, top 61%, 398 students, 70% FRL); Sardis High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 584 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Etowah County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.97%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 16.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,530
- List price
- $198,900
- Delta
- 47.85%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $69,999
- Equity at exit
- $179,185
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.24×
- Total profit
- $236,318
- Equity at exit
- $386,419
Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35956
- Home prices YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 16.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $978 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,043
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,984/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $-602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-465 | -5% $-533 | +0% $-602 | +5% $-671 | +10% $-739 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-679 | -5% $-641 | +0% $-602 | +5% $-563 | +10% $-525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-502 | -0.5pp $-551 | base $-602 | +0.5pp $-654 | +1.0pp $-706 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,725
- Closing costs
- $5,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $198,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $198,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $198,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $198,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $198,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $198,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $198,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$199,900 Active 582-char remark
-
2025-06-30soldstatus $179,900 Sold 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!
-
2025-06-01status Pending 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!
-
2025-05-15$179,900 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home is located in the highly sought-after Sardis School District. Step inside to find a spacious, open-concept layout with fresh paint, new flooring, and stylish finishes throughout.The kitchen features ample counter space and a convenient island perfect for meal prep. The living area is welcoming, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests.The primary suite features 3 closets and boasts a private bath with recent updates. Two additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family or guests.Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an affordable home in a great school district, this one checks all the boxes!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,141
- − Property taxes
- −$2,984
- − Insurance
- −$994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$939
- − Management
- −$939
- − Depreciation
- −$5,786
- Taxable loss
- −$11,048
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,652
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,572/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Etowah County
- NCES district ID
- 0101380
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,403
- Composite
- 31.12/100
- National rank
- #6062
- State rank
- #36 of 129 in AL
Livability — Carlisle-Rockledge
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carlisle-Rockledge, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,381
Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,500 people
- By 2030
- 98,488 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 93,731 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 88,681 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 76,746 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 65,373 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Etowah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.87%
- Current HPI
- 299.2131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+10.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $198,900 VMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $199,900 VMLS
- 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $179,900 VMLS
- 2025-06-01 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-05-15 Listed $179,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $113 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…