🏷️ Likely Rental
1603 Speedway Ave · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Built 1929
- Listed 155 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.93%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,387
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -64.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1642 Pearl Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,148 (+6%) | 4mo | $59,000 | $51 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $23,302
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $67,359
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76301
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1824 Collins Ave Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,175 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1514 Christine Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,390 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1821 9th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $795 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2007 10th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $750 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $850 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1810 7th St Unit 1/2 Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $775 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4000 Weeks Park Ln Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,124 | $1.29 | 44d | 12 | 1.48mi |
| 1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18status $45,000 Pending 155 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-15price $45,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricestatusdays on market $49,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,000 Active Option Contract 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active Option Contract 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $52,000 Active Option Contract 136 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $52,000 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-04-17price $55,000 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-03-11price $58,000 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-03-11status Active 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-02-18status Active 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-02-03historical Active Option Contract 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2026-01-06$65,000 Active 956-char remark
Show marketing remark (956 chars)
***Back on the Market no fault to seller, Buyer financing fell through....Investor Special, Wichita Falls, TX Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a value add property with strong upside potential. This 2 bedroom, 1-bath home is vacant, making it ideal for immediate renovations or a quick rent up. Estimated market rent ranges from $900 to $1,200 per month, depending on finishes and improvements. With renovations, the ARV is estimated at $135,000, providing room for equity growth or improved cash flow. The home is located approximately 9 miles from Wichita Falls High School and sits in a market with consistent rental demand. Virtual photos are included to showcase remodel ideas and future potential. Vacant ready for improvements Value add opportunity Estimated rent, $900 to $1,200month Virtual remodel images included Property sold As Is Cash offers preferred ***seller will consider Seller financing! Call agent for terms.
-
2025-08-31historical
-
2025-06-18price $72,500
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2025-03-12$75,000 Active
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2024-03-12soldstatus Closed
-
2024-03-12soldstatus
-
2024-02-28historical
-
2024-02-20$69,500 Active
-
2007-01-22soldstatus
-
2004-10-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,738
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $4,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,479
- Household income
- $41,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 577.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.89%
- Current HPI
- 135.1511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.27%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-25.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $52,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $58,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $65,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $72,500 NTREIS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
- 2024-03-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-03-12 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2024-02-28 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2024-02-20 Listed $69,500 WFAOR
- 2007-01-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,738 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…