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10891 Mogul St
C+ Composite 62.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

10891 Mogul St · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1939 5,227 sqft lot $119/sqft · 59% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come on in & make this beautifully remolded home your next resting spot! Completley updated, new kitchen, new bath, new electrical, updated plumbing, new flooring throughout, new gutters downspouts, new interior & exterior doos, nothing to do but move your furniture in. Motivated Seller. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1939
  • Listed 103 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 22 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $110k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.93%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,368
List price
$110,000
Delta
58.58%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10058 Greensboro St 0.42mi 3/1.0 928 (+0%) 3mo $40,000 $43 77
10904 N Mogul St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,045 (+13%) 0mo $113,000 $108 76
10696 Stratman St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,000 (+8%) 3mo $53,000 $53 74
9768 Manistique St 0.33mi 3/1.0 986 (+7%) 0mo $35,000 $35 73
11203 Stockwell St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+10%) 5mo $107,500 $106 72
9459 Lakepointe St 0.47mi 3/1.0 855 (-8%) 2mo $40,000 $47 64
12056 Duchess St 0.69mi 3/1.0 950 (+3%) 3mo $30,000 $32 61
10326 Beaconsfield St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,042 (+13%) 3mo $66,000 $63 54
12641 Kelly Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-9%) 4mo $15,000 $18 52
14728 Wilfred St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+14%) 3mo $30,500 $29 52
9204 Wayburn St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (+13%) 4mo $80,000 $77 45
10670 Nottingham Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 827 (-10%) 5mo $35,000 $42 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,016
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$19,572
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,297 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $533/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $844
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.14mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.32mi
9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 1 0.40mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 15d 1 0.43mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 0.54mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.64mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 15d 1 0.64mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.72mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 0.72mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.75mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.85mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 43d 1 0.86mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 0.89mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 0.90mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 0.90mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.92mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.92mi
13067 Wade St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $900 $1.36 5d 1 0.96mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.98mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 1.00mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 1.01mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.03mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 1.09mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 1.15mi
5235 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.17mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 24d 1 1.19mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 1.21mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 1.21mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 1.21mi
5112 Haverhill St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 43d 1 1.27mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 1.30mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.30mi
5031 Bedford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 876 $1,870 $2.13 1d 1 1.36mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 1.37mi
5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 5d 1 1.38mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 5d 1 1.42mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.42mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 1.42mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 1.45mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-03-06
    listed $110,000 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Come on in & make this beautifully remolded home your next resting spot! Completley updated, new kitchen, new bath, new electrical, updated plumbing, new flooring throughout, new gutters downspouts, new interior & exterior doos, nothing to do but move your furniture in. Motivated Seller. BATVAI.

  14. 2026-03-06
    listed $110,000 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Come on in & make this beautifully remolded home your next resting spot! Completley updated, new kitchen, new bath, new electrical, updated plumbing, new flooring throughout, new gutters downspouts, new interior & exterior doos, nothing to do but move your furniture in. Motivated Seller. BATVAI.

  15. 2026-01-27
    historical
  16. 2026-01-27
    historical
  17. 2025-08-22
    price $119,900
  18. 2025-08-21
    price $119,900
  19. 2025-07-28
    listed $125,000 Active
  20. 2025-07-28
    listed $125,000 Active
  21. 2025-03-21
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed
  22. 2025-03-21
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed
  23. 2025-03-11
    status Pending
  24. 2025-03-11
    status Pending
  25. 2025-01-17
    price $44,900
  26. 2025-01-17
    price $44,900
  27. 2024-11-20
    status Active
  28. 2024-11-20
    status Active
  29. 2024-10-23
    status Pending
  30. 2024-10-23
    status Pending
  31. 2024-10-12
    listed $49,900 Active
  32. 2024-10-12
    listed $49,900 Active
  33. 2024-02-01
    historical
  34. 2024-01-31
    historical
  35. 2024-01-02
    status Active
  36. 2024-01-02
    status Active
  37. 2024-01-01
    historical
  38. 2024-01-01
    historical
  39. 2023-09-05
    listed $45,000 Active
  40. 2023-09-05
    listed $45,000 Active
  41. 2023-04-10
    historical
  42. 2023-04-10
    historical
  43. 2023-03-01
    listed $49,900 Active
  44. 2023-03-01
    listed $49,900 Active
  45. 2019-03-02
    historical
  46. 2019-03-02
    historical
  47. 2018-11-26
    listed $24,995 Active
  48. 2018-11-26
    listed $24,995 Active
  49. 2008-02-27
    historical
  50. 2008-01-24
    soldstatus $775

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$533 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$580/yr (+$48/mo · 108.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,565
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$533
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,245
− Management
−$1,245
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,630
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$631
After-tax cash flow
$3,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.0% since first listed
51 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Sold (MLS) $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-20 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-12 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-12 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-02-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-01 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-01 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-03-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-03-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-26 Listed $24,995 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-26 Listed $24,995 REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-24 Sold (MLS) $775 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-03 Listed $750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-12-03 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-28 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-22 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-10 Listed $31,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-21 Listed $31,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $533 · -52.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…