8101 Rivard Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
Key facts
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 39 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 16 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.56%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,528
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8101 Rivard Ave | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 616 (0%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $122 | 98 |
| 8094 Chalmers Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 630 (+2%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 7540 Prospect Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-6%) | 5mo | $38,000 | $66 | 66 |
| 7251 Yacht Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 670 (+9%) | 6mo | $38,500 | $57 | 62 |
| 8477 Prospect Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+13%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 20119 Carrie St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 646 (+5%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 7084 Rivard Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 698 (+13%) | 3mo | $54,500 | $78 | 55 |
| 7044 Westminster Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+14%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 7511 Orchard Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+14%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $129 | 45 |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 703 (+14%) | 7mo | $76,000 | $108 | 41 |
| 11116 Studebaker Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+9%) | 9mo | $127,900 | $190 | 41 |
| 11084 Studebaker Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+14%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $76 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $5,534
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $28,633
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48089
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $336 | -5% $313 | +0% $290 | +5% $268 | +10% $245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $198 | -5% $244 | +0% $290 | +5% $337 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $311 | base $290 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8103 Lozier Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,999 | $2.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-03-31soldstatus $75,000
-
2026-02-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-02-27status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-01-27status Active
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-01-27status Back on Market 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-01-11status Pending
-
2026-01-10status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-01-02$80,000 Active
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2026-01-02$80,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 616 sq. ft. of efficient living space plus a basement. Currently tenant-occupied with established rental income of $1,000/month, making this a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Compact, low-maintenance, and income-producing from day one.
-
2025-03-06historical $1,200
-
2025-03-03$1,200
-
2025-02-01historical
-
2025-02-01historical
-
2024-12-18price $134,000
-
2024-12-17price $134,000
-
2024-10-24historical $1,200
-
2024-10-15$140,000 Active
-
2024-10-15$140,000 Active
-
2024-08-30$1,200
-
2024-08-12historical $1,300
-
2024-08-10$1,300
-
2024-01-05historical $1,300
-
2023-12-23$1,300
-
2022-11-16soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-11-11soldstatus $65,000 Sold
-
2022-11-11soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2022-10-20status Pending
-
2022-10-20status Pending
-
2022-10-13price $69,900
-
2022-10-13price $69,900
-
2022-10-09price $74,900
-
2022-10-08price $74,900
-
2022-10-08status Active
-
2022-10-08status Active
-
2022-09-22historical
-
2022-09-22historical
-
2022-09-13price $84,900
-
2022-09-12price $84,900
-
2022-09-06price $89,900
-
2022-09-06price $89,900
-
2022-09-02price $94,000
-
2022-09-02price $94,000
-
2022-08-27$99,000 Active
-
2022-08-27$99,000 Active
-
2021-09-30soldstatus $44,000 Sold
-
2021-09-30soldstatus $44,000 Closed
-
2021-09-08status Pending
-
2021-09-08status Pending
-
2021-07-29$49,900 Active
-
2021-07-29$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,228 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,228 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,110
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$2,228
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,129
- − Management
- −$1,129
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,905/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,853
- Household income
- $52,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1754.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 31% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 154.8325
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+50.3% since first listed52 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-02 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-06 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-03-03 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-02-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $134,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $134,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-24 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-15 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-15 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-30 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-12 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-01-05 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-12-23 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2022-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-13 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-13 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-09 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-08 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-13 Price Changed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-12 Price Changed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-06 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-06 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-02 Price Changed $94,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-02 Price Changed $94,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-27 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-27 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $44,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-09-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-07-29 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-29 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-07-27 Coming Soon $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-27 Coming Soon $49,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,228 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…