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4202 Avenue F
B Composite 73.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

4202 Avenue F · Fairfield, AL 35064
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,247 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 707 Days on market
Built 1925 7,840 sqft lot $31/sqft · 28% below area Est $54k · 28% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property Overview: 4202/4204 Avenue F, Fairfield, AL 35064 Investor Special Alert! ?? This duplex located near the West End, the Crossplex, and just a stone's throw from Ensley and the Miles College revitalization area, is a golden opportunity for cash buyers looking for a rehab project. Priced at just $48,000, this property won't last long! Here are the key details: - Type: Duplex - Units: 2 - Unit Size: 800 sq ft each - Prime Location: Strategically situated near the West End, the Crossplex, Ensley, and within the Miles College revitalization area. - Rehab Opportunity: This duplex requires rehabilitation, making it ideal for investors looking to customize and add value. - Cash Purchase: Perfect for cash buyers ready to capitalize on a promising investment. This property offers proximity to key attractions and ongoing development, ensuring a steady rental market. With the potential for significant value appreciation. Contact us today to schedule a showing and explore the potential.

Key facts

  • Rental income
  • Duplex
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

DUPLEXRENTAL INCOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 10.2% in Fairfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Fairfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #125 of 129 in AL (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 707 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 707 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26%
Cap rate
19.82%
Cash-on-cash
48.30%
DSCR
3.15
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,120
List price
$39,000
Delta
-27.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
314 43rd St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (-14%) 5mo $53,500 $50 52
717 39th Pl 0.24mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,124 (-10%) 17mo $32,000 $28 51
310 54th St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+4%) 21mo $29,000 $22 39
5314 Belrosa Ter 0.72mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,078 (-14%) 6mo $25,000 $23 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.8%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$21,679
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
51.6%
Equity multiple
6.03×
Total profit
$54,943
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35064

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$880 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $420/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $324
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $462 -5% $451 +0% $440 +5% $428 +10% $417
Rent -10% $370 -5% $405 +0% $440 +5% $474 +10% $509
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $449 base $440 +0.5pp $429 +1.0pp $419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 935 $900 $0.96 44d 1 0.17mi
5001 Farrell Ave Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 1218 $995 $0.82 44d 1 0.19mi
708 40th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 788 $650 $0.82 44d 1 0.19mi
931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1048 $995 $0.95 4d 1 0.37mi
813 46th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $825 $0.75 11d 1 0.39mi
410 54th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $700 $0.66 3d 1 0.56mi
3212 Avenue G Unit G Ensley, AL 2.0 1.0 902 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.67mi
1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1166 $975 $0.84 44d 1 0.76mi
1221 Frisco St Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 934 $950 $1.02 44d 1 0.80mi
3015 Avenue C Unit C Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $825 $0.82 44d 1 0.88mi
3011 Avenue D Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 44d 1 0.88mi
5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 44d 1 1.01mi
1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 44d 1 1.02mi
1045 57th St Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 44d 1 1.06mi
1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 899 $1,037 $1.15 44d 1 1.09mi
5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.09mi
1501 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 772 $800 $1.04 24d 1 1.16mi
1532 31st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 839 $850 $1.01 44d 1 1.18mi
125 Jerry Coleman St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 715 $725 $1.01 44d 1 1.21mi
5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 888 $1,000 $1.13 44d 1 1.39mi
1609 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 820 $800 $0.98 20d 5 1.42mi
4724 Court R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1016 $895 $0.88 15d 1 1.47mi
1001 21st Street Ensley Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $725 $1.04 17d 1 1.48mi
1521 22nd Street Ensley Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $875 $1.17 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 707 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 706 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 705 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 704 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 702 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,000 Active 699 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 698 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 697 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 696 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 692 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 691 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 690 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 689 DOM
  14. 2025-08-10
    price $39,000 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    Property Overview: 4202/4204 Avenue F, Fairfield, AL 35064 Investor Special Alert! ?? This duplex located near the West End, the Crossplex, and just a stone's throw from Ensley and the Miles College revitalization area, is a golden opportunity for cash buyers looking for a rehab project. Priced at just $48,000, this property won't last long! Here are the key details: - Type: Duplex - Units: 2 - Unit Size: 800 sq ft each - Prime Location: Strategically situated near the West End, the Crossplex, Ensley, and within the Miles College revitalization area. - Rehab Opportunity: This duplex requires rehabilitation, making it ideal for investors looking to customize and add value. - Cash Purchase: Perfect for cash buyers ready to capitalize on a promising investment. This property offers proximity to key attractions and ongoing development, ensuring a steady rental market. With the potential for significant value appreciation. Contact us today to schedule a showing and explore the potential.

  15. 2024-07-11
    listed $48,000 Active 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    Property Overview: 4202/4204 Avenue F, Fairfield, AL 35064 Investor Special Alert! ?? This duplex located near the West End, the Crossplex, and just a stone's throw from Ensley and the Miles College revitalization area, is a golden opportunity for cash buyers looking for a rehab project. Priced at just $48,000, this property won't last long! Here are the key details: - Type: Duplex - Units: 2 - Unit Size: 800 sq ft each - Prime Location: Strategically situated near the West End, the Crossplex, Ensley, and within the Miles College revitalization area. - Rehab Opportunity: This duplex requires rehabilitation, making it ideal for investors looking to customize and add value. - Cash Purchase: Perfect for cash buyers ready to capitalize on a promising investment. This property offers proximity to key attractions and ongoing development, ensuring a steady rental market. With the potential for significant value appreciation. Contact us today to schedule a showing and explore the potential.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$420 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$420 · $35/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,562
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$420
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$845
− Management
−$845
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$4,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,185
After-tax cash flow
$4,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfield City
NCES district ID
0101440
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,288
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9974
State rank
#125 of 129 in AL

Livability — Fairfield

Score
64/100
State rank
#160
US rank
#14390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairfield, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
9,872
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,872
Household income
$48,692
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
784.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 7% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.47%
Current HPI
124.7012
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-10 Price Changed $39,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-11 Listed $48,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $420 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…