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1930 Hampden Ln NE #5 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

1930 Hampden Ln NE #5 · Four Corners, OR 97305
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1970 $76/sqft · 38% below area Est $89k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Low space rent
  • Water softener

Tags

UPDATED MANUFACTURED HOMEGREAT LOCATIONLOW SPACE RENTRECENT UPDATESNEW GUTTERSWATER SOFTENER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $54,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$89,039) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.9% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in OR, #2,680 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
  • Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
19.03%
Cash-on-cash
45.47%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,039
List price
$54,900
Delta
-38.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$28,223
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
5.71×
Total profit
$72,424
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97305

Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$583

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4886 Silverton Rd NE Unit 4/Office location Salem, OR 1.0 1.0 625 $1,100 $1.76 43d 1 1.26mi
4880 Silverton Rd NE Salem, OR 1.0 1.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 43d 1 1.29mi
4704 Center St NE Salem, OR 1.0 1.0 658 $1,472 $2.24 13d 15 1.42mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 151 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 150 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $54,900 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 141 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 136 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 134 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 133 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $59,900 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

  17. 2026-03-27
    status Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

  18. 2026-03-09
    status Pending 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

  19. 2026-02-07
    price $64,900 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

  20. 2025-12-30
    listed $69,900 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Beautifully updated, move-in ready manufactured home in a great location! Bright, airy, and well maintained. Located in a desirable all-age community with low space rent at just $726/month. Recent updates include plumbing, electrical panel, fresh paint, new gutters, water softener, split-unit heaters, dimmer lighting, new rear stairs, and more. Appliances included.

  21. 2022-05-05
    soldstatus $55,700 Sold 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home in nice area, park is located just outside of city of Salem giving the country feel that many desire. Vinyl windows and complete insulation make this home energy efficient. Newer appliances are included. Beautiful newer covered front decking add to the beauty and functionality of this home. Space rent is $615/mo - water & sewer included.

  22. 2022-04-21
    status Pending 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home in nice area, park is located just outside of city of Salem giving the country feel that many desire. Vinyl windows and complete insulation make this home energy efficient. Newer appliances are included. Beautiful newer covered front decking add to the beauty and functionality of this home. Space rent is $615/mo - water & sewer included.

  23. 2022-04-19
    status Active 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home in nice area, park is located just outside of city of Salem giving the country feel that many desire. Vinyl windows and complete insulation make this home energy efficient. Newer appliances are included. Beautiful newer covered front decking add to the beauty and functionality of this home. Space rent is $615/mo - water & sewer included.

  24. 2022-04-14
    status Pending 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home in nice area, park is located just outside of city of Salem giving the country feel that many desire. Vinyl windows and complete insulation make this home energy efficient. Newer appliances are included. Beautiful newer covered front decking add to the beauty and functionality of this home. Space rent is $615/mo - water & sewer included.

  25. 2022-04-08
    listed $55,700 Active 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled home in nice area, park is located just outside of city of Salem giving the country feel that many desire. Vinyl windows and complete insulation make this home energy efficient. Newer appliances are included. Beautiful newer covered front decking add to the beauty and functionality of this home. Space rent is $615/mo - water & sewer included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,611
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$6,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,561
After-tax cash flow
$5,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem-Keizer SD 24J
NCES district ID
4110820
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,632
Composite
37.16/100
National rank
#9017
State rank
#103 of 183 in OR

Livability — Four Corners

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2680

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute C+ Cost of living B+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
45,044

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
360,940 people
By 2030
375,178 · +3.9%
By 2040
400,914 · +11.1%
By 2050
422,187 · +17.0%
By 2075
460,305 · +27.5%
By 2100
464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.50%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,900 WVMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted WVMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending WVMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Price Changed $64,900 WVMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $69,900 WVMLS
  • 2022-05-05 Sold (MLS) $55,700 WVMLS
  • 2022-04-21 Pending WVMLS
  • 2022-04-19 Relisted WVMLS
  • 2022-04-14 Pending WVMLS
  • 2022-04-08 Listed $55,700 WVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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