🏷️ Likely Rental
175 Chatham Dr · Holly Springs, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVED SELLER! Submit us your best offer for this well maintained 4 bedroom 2 full bathroom home. This home is a great investment property! The home has been well taken care of. HVAC was replaced in 2025 and roof was replaced January 2026. It has a workshop or extended garage and plenty of yard space. Please do not disturb tenant. Tenant has been there for a while and has maintained the property very well. Please give a 24 hour notice for showing.
Key facts
- Hvac replaced
- Well maintained
- Workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space); Garage faces rear; Gated access; Gravel parking area
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding; Conventional foundation; Shingle roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Workshop; Corner lot with a few trees and a front yard; Lot dimensions approximately 160 x 112
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level) — 16x11; Bedroom (main level) — 12x11; Bedroom (main level) — 12x12; Bedroom (main level) — 13x12; Den (main level) — 14x13
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Wall furnace; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Aluminum-framed windows with blinds; Deadbolt locks, security door features, and storm doors; Security system installed; Basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.4% in Holly Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Holly Springs School District (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #111 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $783 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $-12 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.39%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,304
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 390 Ridgecrest Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-8%) | 17mo | $138,000 | $102 | 63 |
| 115 Sharon Hts | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (-6%) | 13mo | $44,681 | $32 | 57 |
| 27 Jepson St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,414 (-4%) | 3mo | $273,990 | $194 | 52 |
| 605 Salem Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,437 (-2%) | 13mo | $189,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 679 Coleman Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,289 (-12%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $147 | 40 |
| 260 Roberts Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (+12%) | 22mo | $199,500 | $120 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $22,176
- Equity at exit
- $33,335
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $67,580
- Equity at exit
- $40,024
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38635
- Home prices YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,452/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-28price $115,000
-
2026-05-27$110,000 Active
-
2022-09-03historical
-
2022-06-26price $91,700
-
2022-05-02$119,900 Active
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2016-02-05$67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,452
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,606
- − Management
- −$1,606
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$782
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holly Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801950
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,106
- Composite
- 10.9/100
- National rank
- #9752
- State rank
- #111 of 130 in MS
Livability — Holly Springs
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #178
- US rank
- #16836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holly Springs, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,312
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,542 people
- By 2030
- 31,983 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 28,556 · -14.9%
- By 2050
- 25,352 · -24.4%
- By 2075
- 20,032 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 16,738 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.3) · D 46.0% · R 53.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: 18.2pp · 2024: -7.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.3 2020: D+3.1 2016: D+9.7 2012: D+19.4 2008: D+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Current HPI
- 245.68
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+70.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-27 Listed $110,000 MLSU
- 2022-09-03 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2022-06-26 Price Changed $91,700 MLSU
- 2022-05-02 Listed $119,900 MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2016-02-05 Listed $67,500 MLSU
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,452 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…