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14066 State Road 38 E
C+ Composite 60.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

14066 State Road 38 E · Noblesville, IN 46060
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1900 0.31 ac lot $139/sqft · 5% above area Est $237k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • New water softener
  • New water heater
  • 3 car garage

Tags

NO HOA3 CAR GARAGEOPEN KITCHENMAPLE CABINETSNEW WATER HEATERNEW WATER SOFTENER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.2% in Noblesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in IN, #446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $250k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $235,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.36%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,229
List price
$250,000
Delta
5.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,345
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$31,630
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46060

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
451
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,672 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$561
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,907
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15732 Showdown Rd Noblesville, IN 4.0 3.0 2334 $3,100 $1.33 20d 1 1.35mi
15732 Showdown Rd Noblesville, IN 4.0 3.0 2334 $3,100 $1.33 17d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  2. 2026-05-06
    price $250,000 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  3. 2026-04-07
    price $270,000 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  4. 2026-03-13
    status Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  5. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  6. 2026-03-05
    listed $275,000 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Wow! Move-in ready, HSE Schools, NO HOA! 3+ Car Garage! This 3BR/2BA home offers comfort, space, and a fantastic location! The spacious Great Room has soaring 9-ft ceilings and hardwood floors that continue to the Open Kitchen where you'll find maple cabinets. 2 bedrooms have new carpet! Major updates new water heater (2022), and new water softener (2022). The septic system was recently pumped in 2025 for added peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a rare 3-car detached garage offering plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. Located just 2 miles from Hamilton Town Center, you'll enjoy quick access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity!

  7. 2010-11-08
    historical 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Completely remodeled in 2009 3BR 2BA home. New roof '09, new ceramic tile in mud room, BAs, and kitchen, new 42in maple cabinets, 9ft ceiling in GR new carpet, and much more! 3 car detached garage. Move in ready! 2 miles from Hamilton Towne Center. Hamilton Southeastern Schools.

  8. 2010-11-05
    soldstatus $110,000 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Completely remodeled in 2009 3BR 2BA home. New roof '09, new ceramic tile in mud room, BAs, and kitchen, new 42in maple cabinets, 9ft ceiling in GR new carpet, and much more! 3 car detached garage. Move in ready! 2 miles from Hamilton Towne Center. Hamilton Southeastern Schools.

  9. 2010-02-05
    listed $115,000 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Completely remodeled in 2009 3BR 2BA home. New roof '09, new ceramic tile in mud room, BAs, and kitchen, new 42in maple cabinets, 9ft ceiling in GR new carpet, and much more! 3 car detached garage. Move in ready! 2 miles from Hamilton Towne Center. Hamilton Southeastern Schools.

  10. 2009-01-16
    historical
  11. 2008-09-02
    soldstatus $58,000
  12. 2008-06-06
    listed $64,900
  13. 2006-02-24
    soldstatus $55,000
  14. 2006-01-12
    historical
  15. 2005-12-15
    listed $62,500
  16. 2005-06-20
    listed $67,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,611 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$514/yr (+$43/mo · 46.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,061
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,096
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,565
− Management
−$2,565
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$3,308
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$794
After-tax cash flow
$6,455/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton Southeastern Schools
NCES district ID
1810650
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$87,726
Composite
53.02/100
National rank
#1520
State rank
#14 of 301 in IN

Livability — Noblesville

Score
86/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#446

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hamilton County · 337,479 people
City population
88,670
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
47,610
Household income
$91,918
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,938 people
By 2030
417,496 · +9.3%
By 2040
486,684 · +27.4%
By 2050
549,805 · +44.0%
By 2075
687,078 · +79.9%
By 2100
754,495 · +97.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.0% · R 52.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+16.2pp toward D · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.86%
Current HPI
234.6658
Rent YoY
▲ 1.79%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+270.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $250,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $270,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $275,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-08 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-05 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-05 Listed $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-16 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-02 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-06 Listed $64,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-24 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-12 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-15 Listed $62,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-20 Listed $67,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,096 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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