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42 Pike St
B+ Composite 79.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

42 Pike St · Brodhead, KY 40409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
8,712 sqft lot $45/sqft · 65% below area Est $115k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Level lot
  • City water

Tags

LEVEL LOTCITY WATERCITY SEWERCOMFORTABLE LIVING ROOMSEPARATE UTILITY ROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#317 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rockcastle County (rural): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #102 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockcastle County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $65k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.75%
Cash-on-cash
30.20%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,406
List price
$65,000
Delta
-43.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Pike St 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,300 (-10%) 9mo $147,000 $113 73
68 Proffitt St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-3%) 10mo $190,000 $136 72
476 Tyree St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (-6%) 2mo $45,000 $33 69
88 Bussell St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,389 (-4%) 3mo $137,500 $99 68
14 Willow Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,420 (-1%) 6mo $187,000 $132 61
289 Proffitt St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+6%) 19mo $230,000 $151 53
112 willow Ave Willow Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 5mo $180,000 $146 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$18,624
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$53,718
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40409

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $352/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $503
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $495 -5% $476 +0% $458 +5% $440 +10% $421
Rent -10% $373 -5% $415 +0% $458 +5% $501 +10% $544
Rate -1.0pp $491 -0.5pp $475 base $458 +0.5pp $441 +1.0pp $424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $65,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 136 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,000 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,000 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,000 Active 130 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 129 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 128 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $72,000 Active 127 DOM
  20. 2026-05-13
    status Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  21. 2026-05-05
    status Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  22. 2026-03-25
    historical Contingent 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  23. 2026-03-25
    historical 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  24. 2026-02-27
    price $72,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  25. 2025-12-05
    listed $79,900 Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.

  26. 2002-09-01
    soldstatus $17,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$352 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$559 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$207/yr (+$17/mo · 59.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,992
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$352
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,704
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,129
After-tax cash flow
$4,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockcastle County
NCES district ID
2105070
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$30,809
Composite
25.55/100
National rank
#7430
State rank
#102 of 165 in KY

Livability — Brodhead

Score
63/100
State rank
#317
US rank
#15193

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brodhead, KY
Population (ZIP)
3,638

Population outlook (Rockcastle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,003 people
By 2030
16,913 · -0.5%
By 2040
16,504 · -2.9%
By 2050
15,697 · -7.7%
By 2075
13,724 · -19.3%
By 2100
11,369 · -33.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockcastle

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 85.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.1 2020: R+69.9 2016: R+70.2 2012: R+63.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.23%
Current HPI
221.6693
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+318.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $72,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $79,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2002-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $352 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…