42 Pike St · Brodhead, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Level lot
- City water
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#317 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Rockcastle County (rural): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #102 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockcastle County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $65k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.20%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,406
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -43.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Pike St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,300 (-10%) | 9mo | $147,000 | $113 | 73 |
| 68 Proffitt St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 476 Tyree St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-6%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $33 | 69 |
| 88 Bussell St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,389 (-4%) | 3mo | $137,500 | $99 | 68 |
| 14 Willow Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-1%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $132 | 61 |
| 289 Proffitt St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+6%) | 19mo | $230,000 | $151 | 53 |
| 112 willow Ave Willow Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $146 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $18,624
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $53,718
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40409
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $352/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $495 | -5% $476 | +0% $458 | +5% $440 | +10% $421 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $415 | +0% $458 | +5% $501 | +10% $544 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $491 | -0.5pp $475 | base $458 | +0.5pp $441 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-17price $65,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $72,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2026-05-05status Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2026-03-25historical Contingent 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2026-03-25historical 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2026-02-27price $72,000 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2025-12-05$79,900 Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
This cozy 2 (possible 3) bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a nice level lot within the Brodhead city limits, offering city water and sewer. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room, a kitchen with plenty of space, and a separate utility room for convenience. The covered front porch adds a welcoming touch and is a great spot to relax. A simple, easy layout and a great location just across the street from the Brodhead City Park make this home even more appealing.
-
2002-09-01soldstatus $17,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $352 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $559 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$207/yr (+$17/mo · 59.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$352
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,129
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockcastle County
- NCES district ID
- 2105070
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,809
- Composite
- 25.55/100
- National rank
- #7430
- State rank
- #102 of 165 in KY
Livability — Brodhead
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #15193
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brodhead, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,638
Population outlook (Rockcastle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,003 people
- By 2030
- 16,913 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 16,504 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 15,697 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 13,724 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 11,369 · -33.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockcastle
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 85.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+69.9 2016: R+70.2 2012: R+63.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.23%
- Current HPI
- 221.6693
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+318.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $72,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $79,900 ImagineMLS
- 2002-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $352 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…