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9790 66th St N #74
B- Composite 66.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

9790 66th St N #74 · Pinellas Park, FL 33782
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1980 1,556 sqft lot $372/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Experience effortless Florida living in this beautifully updated 2BR home located in Clearwater Cascade’s vibrant 55+ resident-owned community—and the $55,000 land share is INCLUDED in the sale price. Fresh laminate flooring, updated windows, and a redesigned kitchen create a bright, modern feel, while the expansive 22' Florida room offers the perfect space for morning coffee, afternoon reading, or evening cocktails with friends. This room also includes a large, high-quality safe (Serial: LW-13-104455) that conveys with the property, providing secure storage and added peace of mind. Situated on a private perimeter lot, this home pr

Key facts

  • Double roof-over
  • Spacious paver patio
  • Updated windows

Tags

UPDATED WINDOWSREDESIGNED KITCHENEXPANSIVE FLORIDA ROOMPRIVATE PERIMETER LOTSPACIOUS PAVER PATIODOUBLE ROOF-OVER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total annual fees reported as $4,464; Unit furnished status: Negotiable
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA named Scott; monthly fee $372 (required); Association approval required; Association fee covers cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, internet, private road, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, street lights, and golf carts allowed; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed with size limit (max 20 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Single wide); Residential property; One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Rain barrel / cistern; Rain gutters; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $105k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.67%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,520
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9790 66th St N #444 0.00mi 2/2.0 784 (+9%) 6mo $69,500 $89 76
9790 66th St N #213 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 768 (+7%) 19mo $70,000 $91 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,116
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,819
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33782

Rents YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,742 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$372
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,350
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8304 Bardmoor Blvd #104 Seminole, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,599 $2.28 4d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$372 · $4,464/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,900 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,900 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,900 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,900 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,900 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,900 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,900 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,900 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,900 Active 120 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,900 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-03-09
    price $104,900
  14. 2026-02-01
    listed $108,000 Active
  15. 2025-12-05
    historical
  16. 2025-05-06
    price $110,900
  17. 2024-12-05
    listed $116,900 Active
  18. 2006-04-01
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,204 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,204 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,905
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$1,204
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,672
− Management
−$1,672
− HOA
−$4,464
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$2,440
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$586
After-tax cash flow
$3,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pinellas Park

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pinellas Park, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
50,533
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,461
Household income
$66,461
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.17%
Current HPI
314.1689
Rent YoY
▼ -5.28%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $108,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $110,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $116,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,204 · -17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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