7250 N Freeport Cir · Citrus Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$283,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Stunning New Construction 4-Bedroom Home in Dunnellon – Modern Design & Prime Location Discover this beautiful brand-new home in the desirable community of Dunnellon, offering a perfect combination of style, comfort, and functionality. This thoughtfully designed property is ideal for buyers seeking a move-in-ready home in a convenient location near a main road and top-rated schools. Featuring four spacious bedrooms, including a luxurious primary suite with a walk-in closet, while the additional bedrooms come with built-in closets for added convenience. The home offers two full bathrooms designed with modern finishes to accommodate everyday living. The open floorplan creates a
Key facts
- Solid wood cabinets
- Move-in-ready home
- New construction
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty included; No lease restrictions indicated; Property type: Residential (Single Family Residence); Zoning: PDR; Lot size about 0.24 acres
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water available; Septic sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Completed/new construction; Faces southeast
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Lakeshore
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Solid wood cabinets; Stone counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $284k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-349 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (17.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (28.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#521 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Ridge Elementary School (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 723 students, 64% FRL); Citrus Springs Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 821 students, 59% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1247 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 14459% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $284k implies a 452% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.27%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-68,228
- Equity at exit
- $42,330
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-87,942
- Equity at exit
- $24,546
Cash invested: $79,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34434
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 1247
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,041 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,489
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$355 /mo · $4,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $-349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-153 | -5% $-251 | +0% $-349 | +5% $-448 | +10% $-546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-511 | -5% $-430 | +0% $-349 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-206 | -0.5pp $-277 | base $-349 | +0.5pp $-423 | +1.0pp $-498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,975
- Closing costs
- $8,517
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788 W Glenhaven Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,800 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8180 N Wakefield Dr Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8190 N Wakefield Dr Dunnellon, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $1,750 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1301 N Galgano St Dunnellon, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2381 | $2,800 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8398 N Jay Dr Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 696 W Hallam Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8450 N Travis Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7908 N Galena Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 669 W Homeway Loop Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,895 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8030 N Galena Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7708 N Paris Dr Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 572 W Bluster Pl Dunnellon, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $283,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $283,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $283,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $283,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $283,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-06$1,950
-
2026-04-22price $283,900
-
2026-04-01$284,900 Active
-
2025-09-03soldstatus $51,450
-
2024-03-13soldstatus $18,000
-
2024-02-13soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,903
- − Property taxes
- −$4,258
- − Insurance
- −$1,420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,960
- − Management
- −$1,960
- − Depreciation
- −$8,259
- Taxable loss
- −$9,264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Citrus Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #9598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 10,730
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,074
- Household income
- $68,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 171.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.70%
- Current HPI
- 328.2164
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-80.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed for Rent $1,950 STELLARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $283,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $284,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $51,450 Public Records
- 2024-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $297 · +106.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…