81 Oakmont St · Prescott, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.5
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on the desirable Pine Lakes community, this 1248 sq ft manufactured home offers a comfortable and functional layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A standout feature is the feature is the large, partially covered sun deck-perfect for relaxing with your morning coffee or unwinding in the evening with a glass of wine.Positioned just two blocks from the clubhouse, you're right in the heart of everything this active community has to offer and just a short drive to downtown Prescott.Residents enjoy an impressive lineup of amenities, including pickleball courts, pool and spa, putting green, bocce ball courts, scenic walking trails leading to beautiful lakes, and a dog park. The clubhouse features a gym, activity rooms, a full kitchen, and a vibrant social calendar.Monthly lot rent is $1,198 and includes water, sewer, and trash.
Key facts
- Pickleball courts
- Bocce ball
- Scenic walking paths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.3% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Prescott Mile High Middle School (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #67 of 218 statewide, top 31%, 578 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 921 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $92k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.96%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,000
- List price
- $92,500
- Delta
- -38.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 Cascade St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (+3%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $121 | 85 |
| 76 Oakmont St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $113 | 83 |
| 51 Oakmont St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (0%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $100 | 81 |
| 107 Alpine St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 13mo | $94,000 | $75 | 80 |
| 1773 Timberlane -- | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 5mo | $500,000 | $406 | 74 |
| 1746 Timberlane | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,208 (-3%) | 4mo | $499,000 | $413 | 72 |
| 31 Maverick | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 14mo | $108,000 | $80 | 63 |
| 1670 N Arrowhead Dr | 1.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+1%) | 6mo | $449,500 | $357 | 53 |
| 10 Shadow Vis | 0.98mi | 2/2.0 | 1,384 (+11%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $318 | 45 |
| 1597 Sierry Peaks Dr | 1.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,035 (-17%) | 12mo | $429,000 | $414 | 30 |
| 1640 N Arrowhead Dr | 1.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+25%) | 15mo | $382,500 | $245 | 28 |
| 20 Woodside Dr | 1.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+17%) | 13mo | $599,000 | $411 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $12,452
- Equity at exit
- $13,792
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $38,892
- Equity at exit
- $7,998
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active
- Median asking
- $159,950 ($117/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 175 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86305
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 921
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,409 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$116 /mo · $1,388/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $506 | +0% $474 | +5% $442 | +10% $410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $363 | -5% $418 | +0% $474 | +5% $530 | +10% $585 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $521 | -0.5pp $497 | base $474 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $426 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Conventional financing available
- HOA & community
- Land lease community (monthly land lease fee)Land lease amount $1,198 monthlyAssociation covers sewer, trash and waterCommunity amenities: pool, community spa, pickleball courts, tennis courts, lake, fitness center, biking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 off-street parking spaces
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewerNatural gas connected
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeLeasehold ownershipPaved road accessViews of trees/woods and mountains
- Construction
- Wood siding and wood frame constructionComposition roofBuilding area per builder
- Exterior features
- Rain guttersShed(s)Gravel/stone frontPrivate maintained road accessHeated spa
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cooktopDishwasherRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring
- Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingEvaporative cooling
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenFull bath in primary bedroomLaminate countersDual-pane windows with screens
- Laundry & utility
- Washer/dryer hookups (washer/dryer appliances included)Washer and dryer included
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $92,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $92,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-09-21pricedays on market $92,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $95,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-07-23price $95,000 Active 113 DOM
Show marketing remark (848 chars)
Located on the desirable Pine Lakes community, this 1248 sq ft manufactured home offers a comfortable and functional layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A standout feature is the feature is the large, partially covered sun deck-perfect for relaxing with your morning coffee or unwinding in the evening with a glass of wine.Positioned just two blocks from the clubhouse, you're right in the heart of everything this active community has to offer and just a short drive to downtown Prescott.Residents enjoy an impressive lineup of amenities, including pickleball courts, pool and spa, putting green, bocce ball courts, scenic walking trails leading to beautiful lakes, and a dog park. The clubhouse features a gym, activity rooms, a full kitchen, and a vibrant social calendar.Monthly lot rent is $1,198 and includes water, sewer, and trash.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$1,388
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $4,482
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This 1248 sq ft manufactured home in the desirable Pine Lakes community offers a comfortable and functional layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. While in average condition, it has potential for moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Simple landscaping could be improved for better curb appeal.
- Minor Foundation cracks — Minor cracks in the foundation may need attention to prevent further damage.
- Minor Deck railings — Some wear on the deck railings may need touch-up or replacement to maintain safety and appearance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and enhances the home's value. ↑
- Both Replace worn deck railings — Maintains safety and enhances the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures the home is comfortable and energy-efficient for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prescott Unified District (4466)
- NCES district ID
- 0406730
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 33.47/100
- National rank
- #5450
- State rank
- #70 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 66,312
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,790
- Household income
- $80,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.31%
- Current HPI
- 348.5199
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+253.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-23 Price Changed $95,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-15 Listed $95,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $99,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $99,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-27 Price Changed $104,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $105,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $109,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $113,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-14 Listed $114,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-02 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-05 Price Changed $114,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $117,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $122,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-04 Listed $125,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-15 Sold (MLS) $26,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…