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321 Henquin Dr
B- Composite 66.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

321 Henquin Dr · Ferguson, MO 63135
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1939 5,884 sqft lot $92/sqft · 6% above area Est $71k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom bungalow in the heart of Ferguson! Boasting a classic 1939 architectural style, this 816 sq. ft. residence offers a perfect blend of historic character and functional living. Step inside to find a light-filled living area and a versatile layout designed for comfort. The full, clean basement provides ample storage or the opportunity for future finishing. The exterior features a low-maintenance brick and siding facade, complemented by a level, fully fenced backyard—ideal for outdoor entertaining or pets. Recent upgrades include architectural shingles and energy-efficient thermal windows. Situated on a quiet, city-maintained street, you

Key facts

  • Recent upgrades
  • Easy highway access
  • Full clean basement

Tags

FULL CLEAN BASEMENTLOW MAINTENANCE BRICKFULLY FENCED BACKYARDRECENT UPGRADESQUIET CITY MAINTAINED STREETEASY HIGHWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated; Tax year 2025 (annual tax amount available in records)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; House; Above-grade finished living area: 816 (public records)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Living room fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 8.9% in Ferguson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson Wabash 6Th Grade Ctr (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #387 of 391 statewide, top 99%, 323 students, 99% FRL); Ferguson Middle (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #376 of 391 statewide, top 96%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $75k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.15%
Cash-on-cash
28.04%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,848
List price
$74,900
Delta
5.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 Henquin Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 816 (0%) 1mo $115,000 $141 94
308 Henquin Dr 0.04mi 2/1.0 861 (+6%) 1mo $80,000 $93 88
826 Walters Dr 0.10mi 2/1.0 925 (+13%) 2mo $60,000 $65 71
8234 Airport Rd 0.47mi 2/1.0 792 (-3%) 4mo $75,000 $95 70
6717 Thurston Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 840 (+3%) 2mo $60,000 $71 65
213 Henquin Dr 0.13mi 1/1.0 (-1) 696 (-15%) 4mo $34,900 $50 61
6330 Washington Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+6%) 1mo $50,000 $58 54
221 S Harvey Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 864 (+6%) 3mo $135,000 $156 54
6640 Torlina Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 720 (-12%) 2mo $89,500 $124 52
619 Carson Rd 0.51mi 1/1.0 (-1) 901 (+10%) 5mo $75,000 $83 50
6300 Evergreen Blvd 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+6%) 2mo $99,000 $115 49
115 Lawrence Ave 0.75mi 2/1.5 936 (+15%) 0mo $64,500 $69 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$25,512
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$91,700
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $589/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $599
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $533 -5% $511 +0% $490 +5% $469 +10% $448
Rent -10% $394 -5% $442 +0% $490 +5% $538 +10% $586
Rate -1.0pp $528 -0.5pp $509 base $490 +0.5pp $471 +1.0pp $451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 20d 1 0.12mi
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 0d 1 0.12mi
6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,395 $1.45 0d 1 0.18mi
6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,125 $1.42 25d 1 0.24mi
6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 25d 1 0.27mi
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 0d 1 0.33mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,235 $1.34 0d 1 0.38mi
6044 Cascade Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 9d 1 0.41mi
8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 9d 1 0.47mi
8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 0d 1 0.47mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 25d 1 0.48mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,300 $1.38 46d 1 0.48mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 25d 1 0.54mi
6214 Jefferson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,195 $1.46 25d 1 0.58mi
6334 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 6d 1 0.65mi
6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,175 $1.63 46d 1 0.65mi
6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 739 $1,175 $1.59 18d 1 0.66mi
224 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $995 $1.06 0d 1 0.76mi
6234 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 846 $1,050 $1.24 46d 1 0.78mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 9d 1 0.83mi
6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,495 $1.44 0d 1 0.84mi
6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,495 $1.44 25d 1 0.84mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 9d 1 0.93mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 0d 1 0.93mi
334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 713 $825 $1.16 25d 1 0.94mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 22d 1 0.96mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 46d 1 0.99mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 14d 1 1.00mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 46d 1 1.01mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 46d 1 1.02mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 887 $1,297 $1.46 22d 1 1.03mi
401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 18d 1 1.06mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 9d 1 1.07mi
422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $975 $1.23 0d 1 1.07mi
260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,623 $1.49 22d 1 1.13mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 25d 1 1.14mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 25d 1 1.15mi
263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 888 $1,350 $1.52 46d 1 1.15mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 46d 1 1.16mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 46d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $74,900 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-05-06
    listed $74,900 Active 1033-char remark
  11. 2020-03-04
    soldstatus $18,188
  12. 2016-02-22
    soldstatus $1,050,000
  13. 2008-01-22
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$589 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$138/yr (+$11/mo · 23.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,631
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$589
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$4,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,188
After-tax cash flow
$4,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
18,381
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $18,188 Public Records
  • 2016-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $1,050,000 Public Records
  • 2008-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $589 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…