1001 Peniel St · University Park, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$128,350
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice three bedroom, one Bathroom home Newer roof, newer furnace. Replacement vinyl windows. It would make a great starter home or rental. conveniently located off of Highway 23. Selling as-is
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer roof
- First floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-164/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#762 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Oskaloosa Community School District (rural): math 62% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #208 of 289 in IA (top 72%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Mahaska County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($888 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Mahaska County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.46%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,633
- List price
- $128,350
- Delta
- -32.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2313 8th Ave E | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,312 (-0%) | 7mo | $195,865 | $149 | 73 |
| 2310 8th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+9%) | 8mo | $123,500 | $86 | 61 |
| 2311 9th Ave E | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,417 (+8%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 1042 1st Ave E | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+3%) | 3mo | $147,500 | $109 | 57 |
| 1146 Clearview Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,252 (-5%) | 21mo | $258,500 | $206 | 54 |
| 2006 6th Ave E | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 19mo | $159,900 | $140 | 49 |
| 1129 Clearview Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,424 (+8%) | 17mo | $180,000 | $126 | 44 |
| 136 Solar Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+8%) | 1mo | $232,500 | $163 | 43 |
| 1810 S 11th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,439 (+9%) | 8mo | $229,500 | $159 | 40 |
| 1413 Bethel St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-15%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $174 | 40 |
| 149 Solar Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-14%) | 16mo | $168,000 | $149 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $10,270
- Equity at exit
- $53,119
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $43,307
- Equity at exit
- $78,456
Cash invested: $35,938 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52595
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$673
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $23 | +0% $-14 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-98 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-14 | +5% $28 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $51 | -0.5pp $19 | base $-14 | +0.5pp $-47 | +1.0pp $-81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,088
- Closing costs
- $3,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $128,350 Pending 134 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $128,350 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $128,350 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $128,350 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,350 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,350 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $128,350 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-04-24price $128,350 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-03-23price $135,900 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one Bathroom home Newer roof, newer furnace. Replacement vinyl windows. It would make a great starter home or rental. conveniently located off of Highway 23. Selling as-is
-
2026-03-23price $135,900 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one Bathroom home Newer roof, newer furnace. Replacement vinyl windows. It would make a great starter home or rental. conveniently located off of Highway 23. Selling as-is
-
2026-02-18price $143,450 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-02-18price $143,450 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-02-09status Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-01-30status Pending 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-01-13$151,000 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2026-01-13$151,000 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Nice three bedroom, one bathroom home on a large lot. First floor laundry. Replacement window. Newer roof and newer furnace. Great starter home or rental. Conveniently located just off highway 23.
-
2023-11-14soldstatus $147,000
-
2023-11-10status Pending
-
2023-11-09soldstatus $147,000 Closed
-
2023-09-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-09-04$135,000 Active
-
2013-11-26soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$242/yr (+$20/mo · 15.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,190
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$642
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$3,734
- Taxable loss
- −$2,372
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oskaloosa Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921870
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,362
- Composite
- 54.26/100
- National rank
- #1373
- State rank
- #208 of 289 in IA
Livability — University Park
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #762
- US rank
- #17469
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University Park, IA
- City population
- 607
- Population (ZIP)
- 607
Population outlook (Mahaska County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,032 people
- By 2030
- 21,682 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 20,750 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 19,800 · -10.1%
- By 2075
- 17,839 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 15,829 · -28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahaska
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.6) · D 23.6% · R 75.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.5pp · 2024: -51.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.6 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+45.7 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+16.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 123.3206
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+121.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $128,350 IAR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $128,350 DMMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $135,900 DMMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $135,900 IAR
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $143,450 IAR
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $143,450 DMMLS
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — DMMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $151,000 DMMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $151,000 IAR
- 2023-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-10 Pending — IAR
- 2023-11-09 Sold (MLS) $147,000 IAR
- 2023-09-12 Contingent — IAR
- 2023-09-04 Listed $135,000 IAR
- 2013-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · +57.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…