1004 Cherry Cove Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$354,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Available for a Quick Move-in!! Now selling the new phase at D. R. Horton's Rosewood at Beltmill in North Fort Worth and Eagle Mountain-Saginaw ISD! Beautiful Single Story 4 Bedroom Kingston floorplan-Elevation C. Modern open concept with spacious Living, Dining and large Chef's Kitchen in the heart of the Home with Island, Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, Gas Range and walk-in Pantry. Luxurious main Bedroom with wide Vanity, 5 ft oversized shower and big walk-in Closet. Tiled Entry, Hallways and Wet areas, plus Home is Connected Smart Home Technology Pkg. Covered front porch, covered back Patio and 6 ft privacy fenced Backyard. Gas Tankless Water Heater, Landscape Package,
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Oversized shower
- Covered back patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $355k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $355k).
- Recommended offer: $344k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,138/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 1805% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.51%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,522
- Equity at exit
- $52,930
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $45,760
- Equity at exit
- $30,693
Cash invested: $99,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76131
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,862
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$148
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$869
- Net cashflow
- $1,119
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $88,748
- Closing costs
- $10,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Throckmorton St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.5 | 2681 | $20,000 | $7.46 | 6d | 3 | 0.32mi |
| 700 W Vickery Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1294 | $5,399 | $4.17 | 1d | 119 | 0.37mi |
| 969 Commerce St Unit 8088 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2900 | $10,940 | $3.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 969 Commerce St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1425 | $8,849 | $6.21 | 1d | 68 | 0.46mi |
| 916 W Peach St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2231 | $5,200 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 600 Harrold St Unit 611 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,602 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 600 Harrold St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2792 | $4,165 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 600 Harrold St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2792 | $4,165 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 501 Samuels Ave #230 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2716 | $5,250 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 520 Samuels Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1073 | $2,390 | $2.23 | 2d | 19 | 1.09mi |
| 2601 W 7th St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1177 | $2,479 | $2.11 | 3d | 29 | 1.15mi |
| 1208 W Magnolia Ave Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1967 | $1,800 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 921 E Hattie St Unit 1301587P Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1517 | $4,701 | $3.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2801 Weisenberger St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2053 | $3,395 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 769 Samuels Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1113 | $2,708 | $2.43 | 3d | 27 | 1.37mi |
| 1032 E Tucker St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2805 Weisenberger St #502 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2024 | $3,250 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2815 Merrimac St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2254 | $3,200 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 929 Norwood St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,595 | $2.48 | 2d | 78 | 1.45mi |
| 2234 Irwin St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2236 Irwin St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-19price $354,990
-
2026-03-02price $359,990
-
2026-02-24$370,685 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,496 · $541/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,414/yr (+$451/mo · 500.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,885
- − Property taxes
- −$1,083
- − Insurance
- −$1,775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,973
- − Management
- −$3,973
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$10,327
- Taxable income
- $8,043
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,930
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,322
- Household income
- $108,694
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1805.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, India
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.06%
- Current HPI
- 249.22
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $354,990 NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $359,990 NTREIS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $370,685 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…