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435 High St #30
B- Composite 65.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

435 High St #30 · Mystic, CT 06335
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily · 239 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 2,178 sqft lot $161/sqft · at area comps Est $139k · at est. $600/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Back patio to enjoy! Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!

Key facts

  • Minutes from i95
  • Back patio
  • 2,178 sq ft lot

Tags

BACK PATIOMINUTES FROM I95MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN MYSTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 1.7% in Mystic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in CT, #1,266 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Northeast Academy Magnet School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 391 students, 27% FRL); Groton Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #112 of 175 statewide, top 66%, 907 students, 47% FRL); Robert E. Fitch High School (math 37% / reading 61%, grade D, #90 of 194 statewide, top 46%, 1,005 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.25%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,517
List price
$135,000
Delta
-2.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
435 High St #30 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 0mo $128,000 $152 100
435 High St #31 0.03mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 5mo $130,000 $155 94
435 High St #28 0.07mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 9mo $130,000 $155 89
435 High St Lot 12 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 1mo $150,000 $162 80
435 High St #40 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 3mo $130,000 $141 78
435 High St #58 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 5mo $150,000 $162 76
435 High St #26 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 6mo $130,000 $141 75
435 High St Lot 4 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 7mo $148,000 $160 74
435 High St Lot 10 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 10mo $90,000 $97 71
214 Pequot Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 768 (-9%) 10mo $331,000 $431 69
435 High St #22 0.07mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 16mo $122,000 $132 66
62 W Main St 0.60mi 1/2.0 (-1) 934 (+11%) 0mo $650,000 $696 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,918
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$22,989
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06335

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,309 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,940
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $385 -5% $338 +0% $291 +5% $245 +10% $198
Rent -10% $109 -5% $200 +0% $291 +5% $383 +10% $474
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $326 base $291 +0.5pp $256 +1.0pp $221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45 W Main St Unit 2 Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $2,295 $2.55 15d 1 0.62mi
75 Steamboat Wharf Bldg Res-38 Mystic, CT 1.0 1.0 775 $1,890 $2.44 15d 1 0.65mi
12 Water St Mystic, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,800 $3.07 15d 3 0.67mi
12 Water St Unit 311 Mystic, CT 1.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 15d 1 0.67mi
12 Water St Unit 408 Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 1075 $2,800 $2.60 23d 1 0.69mi
6 School St #20 Mystic, CT 1.0 1.5 706 $2,600 $3.68 23d 1 0.82mi
2 Lincoln Ave Apt 3 Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,875 $2.08 23d 1 1.04mi
454 Cow Hill Rd Unit 2 Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 46d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    New 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Back patio to enjoy! Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!

  2. 2026-04-02
    status Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    New 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Back patio to enjoy! Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!

  3. 2026-03-02
    status Under Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    New 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Back patio to enjoy! Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!

  4. 2025-08-15
    listed $135,000 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    New 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Back patio to enjoy! Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,710
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,217
− Management
−$2,217
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$453
After-tax cash flow
$3,043/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2025 manufactured home in a mobile home community is in good condition with recent updates, making it a good investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Aesthetic improvements can enhance both resale and rental value
  • Both Add a small deck or patio — Can increase living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Aesthetic improvements can enhance both resale and rental value
  • Both Add a small deck or patio — Can increase living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Groton School District
NCES district ID
0901770
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$60,709
Composite
36.28/100
National rank
#4702
State rank
#96 of 153 in CT

Livability — Mystic

Score
82/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#1266

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,100

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 7% Serbian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.79%
Current HPI
240.7698
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $135,000 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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