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5591 County Road 920
D Composite 44.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.1/15.0

$175,000

5591 County Road 920 · Wylie, TX 75173
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 2019 9,670 sqft lot $347/sqft · 42% above area Est $156k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unique Opportunity on a Rare Double Lot with Expansion Potential! Tucked away in a private, quiet setting, this cozy retreat offers the perfect blend of peaceful living and smart design. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the covered porch overlooking the spacious property. Inside, the open-concept floor plan is thoughtfully designed to maximize every inch and was remodeled in 2023, featuring a bright and inviting living space, a dedicated office, and a private bedroom with an ensuite bath. An additional half bath adds convenience for guests. The roof is approximately 3 years old, offering added peace of mind. The oversized double lot offers incredible flexibility, including RV hookups and the opportunity to add a second residence, whether a mobile home, tiny home, or guest house, making it ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a carport, a partially fenced yard with a dog run, and a storage building, providing both functionality and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a serene getaway, an income-producing opportunity, or a property with future potential, this unique home is full of charm and possibilities.

Key facts

  • 9,670 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 2019

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($145/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,942 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,364
List price
$175,000
Delta
27.84%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$96,007
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$281,967
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75173

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
421
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $111 -5% $62 +0% $12 +5% $-37 +10% $-87
Rent -10% $-94 -5% $-41 +0% $12 +5% $65 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $100 -0.5pp $57 base $12 +0.5pp $-33 +1.0pp $-79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-03-26
    listed $199,900 Active 1188-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1188 chars)

    Unique Opportunity on a Rare Double Lot with Expansion Potential! Tucked away in a private, quiet setting, this cozy retreat offers the perfect blend of peaceful living and smart design. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the covered porch overlooking the spacious property. Inside, the open-concept floor plan is thoughtfully designed to maximize every inch and was remodeled in 2023, featuring a bright and inviting living space, a dedicated office, and a private bedroom with an ensuite bath. An additional half bath adds convenience for guests. The roof is approximately 3 years old, offering added peace of mind. The oversized double lot offers incredible flexibility, including RV hookups and the opportunity to add a second residence, whether a mobile home, tiny home, or guest house, making it ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a carport, a partially fenced yard with a dog run, and a storage building, providing both functionality and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a serene getaway, an income-producing opportunity, or a property with future potential, this unique home is full of charm and possibilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,202 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$2,443/yr (+$204/mo · 321.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,193
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$702
After-tax cash flow
$848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Community ISD
NCES district ID
4814850
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$71,841
Composite
31.58/100
National rank
#5951
State rank
#479 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wylie

Score
69/100
State rank
#419
US rank
#8623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
69,325
Population (ZIP)
9,284

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,210,074 people
By 2030
1,358,201 · +12.2%
By 2040
1,654,061 · +36.7%
By 2050
1,937,359 · +60.1%
By 2075
2,567,039 · +112.1%
By 2100
2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

2024 margin
R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.09%
Current HPI
331.12
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $199,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $759 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…