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413 W Elm St. St
C+ Composite 60.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$96,000

413 W Elm St. St · Hill City, KS 67642
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1955 10,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1955 Home in Hill City, KS – Fully Furnished & Move~In Ready!! Step into comfort and character with this beautifully maintained 2~bedroom, 2~bath home that blends vintage charm with modern updates: • 2 Bedrooms, including a master suite • 2 Bathrooms, including a master bath • Central AC/HT for year~round comfort • All appliances and washer/dryer included • Enclosed porch with a cozy TV area—perfect for relaxing or entertaining • Beautifully kept yard with a storage shed • Durable Malarkey shingles for long~lasting roof protection • Sprinkler system in both front and back yards for easy maintenance This home is ideal for anyone looking for a peaceful, ready~to~enjoy property in a friendly neighborhood. Whether you`re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey rental, this one has it all. Call Tammy Riedel at 785~769~6100 to schedule your private showing today!! Under Contract, Please bring back up offers. ..

Key facts

  • New wiring
  • Fresh paint
  • Large backyard

Tags

ELECTRIC HEAT PUMP HEATINGNEW WIRINGFRESH PAINTENCLOSED PORCHLARGE BACKYARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential property; Entry level 1
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Water softener
  • Bedrooms: 2 main level bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#172 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Graham County (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #251 of 280 in KS (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($664 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Graham County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,360 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.42%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$41,322
Equity at exit
$65,066
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$113,449
Equity at exit
$122,298

Cash invested: $26,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67642

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$503
Tax est. 1.5%
$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $840
Max offer price $96,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $177 +0% $144 +5% $111 +10% $77
Rent -10% $63 -5% $103 +0% $144 +5% $184 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $192 -0.5pp $168 base $144 +0.5pp $119 +1.0pp $94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,000
Closing costs
$2,880
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $96,000 Pending 96 DOM
  2. 2026-04-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-23
    listed $96,000 Active
  4. 2026-01-09
    soldstatus Closed 1002-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1002 chars)

    Charming 1955 Home in Hill City, KS – Fully Furnished & Move~In Ready!! Step into comfort and character with this beautifully maintained 2~bedroom, 2~bath home that blends vintage charm with modern updates: • 2 Bedrooms, including a master suite • 2 Bathrooms, including a master bath • Central AC/HT for year~round comfort • All appliances and washer/dryer included • Enclosed porch with a cozy TV area—perfect for relaxing or entertaining • Beautifully kept yard with a storage shed • Durable Malarkey shingles for long~lasting roof protection • Sprinkler system in both front and back yards for easy maintenance This home is ideal for anyone looking for a peaceful, ready~to~enjoy property in a friendly neighborhood. Whether you`re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey rental, this one has it all. Call Tammy Riedel at 785~769~6100 to schedule your private showing today!! Under Contract, Please bring back up offers. ..

  5. 2026-01-08
    status Pending 1002-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1002 chars)

    Charming 1955 Home in Hill City, KS – Fully Furnished & Move~In Ready!! Step into comfort and character with this beautifully maintained 2~bedroom, 2~bath home that blends vintage charm with modern updates: • 2 Bedrooms, including a master suite • 2 Bathrooms, including a master bath • Central AC/HT for year~round comfort • All appliances and washer/dryer included • Enclosed porch with a cozy TV area—perfect for relaxing or entertaining • Beautifully kept yard with a storage shed • Durable Malarkey shingles for long~lasting roof protection • Sprinkler system in both front and back yards for easy maintenance This home is ideal for anyone looking for a peaceful, ready~to~enjoy property in a friendly neighborhood. Whether you`re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey rental, this one has it all. Call Tammy Riedel at 785~769~6100 to schedule your private showing today!! Under Contract, Please bring back up offers. ..

  6. 2025-11-24
    historical Active Under Contract 1002-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1002 chars)

    Charming 1955 Home in Hill City, KS – Fully Furnished & Move~In Ready!! Step into comfort and character with this beautifully maintained 2~bedroom, 2~bath home that blends vintage charm with modern updates: • 2 Bedrooms, including a master suite • 2 Bathrooms, including a master bath • Central AC/HT for year~round comfort • All appliances and washer/dryer included • Enclosed porch with a cozy TV area—perfect for relaxing or entertaining • Beautifully kept yard with a storage shed • Durable Malarkey shingles for long~lasting roof protection • Sprinkler system in both front and back yards for easy maintenance This home is ideal for anyone looking for a peaceful, ready~to~enjoy property in a friendly neighborhood. Whether you`re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey rental, this one has it all. Call Tammy Riedel at 785~769~6100 to schedule your private showing today!! Under Contract, Please bring back up offers. ..

  7. 2025-10-13
    listed $92,000 Active 1002-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1002 chars)

    Charming 1955 Home in Hill City, KS – Fully Furnished & Move~In Ready!! Step into comfort and character with this beautifully maintained 2~bedroom, 2~bath home that blends vintage charm with modern updates: • 2 Bedrooms, including a master suite • 2 Bathrooms, including a master bath • Central AC/HT for year~round comfort • All appliances and washer/dryer included • Enclosed porch with a cozy TV area—perfect for relaxing or entertaining • Beautifully kept yard with a storage shed • Durable Malarkey shingles for long~lasting roof protection • Sprinkler system in both front and back yards for easy maintenance This home is ideal for anyone looking for a peaceful, ready~to~enjoy property in a friendly neighborhood. Whether you`re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey rental, this one has it all. Call Tammy Riedel at 785~769~6100 to schedule your private showing today!! Under Contract, Please bring back up offers. ..

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,261
− Mortgage interest
−$5,377
− Property taxes
−$1,440
− Insurance
−$480
− Repairs & maintenance
−$981
− Management
−$981
− Depreciation
−$2,793
Taxable income
$209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$50
After-tax cash flow
$1,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Graham County
NCES district ID
2007260
Math proficiency
18% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$42,902
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#13471
State rank
#251 of 280 in KS

Livability — Hill City

Score
70/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#8068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hill City, KS
City population
1,779
Population (ZIP)
1,779

Population outlook (Graham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,510 people
By 2030
2,458 · -2.1%
By 2040
2,399 · -4.4%
By 2050
2,403 · -4.3%
By 2075
2,658 · +5.9%
By 2100
2,880 · +14.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Serbian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Graham

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.3% · R 82.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -51.6pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.8 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+60.4 2008: R+51.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.77%
Current HPI
193.775
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+4.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Contingent Hays MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $96,000 Hays MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Sold (MLS) Hays MLS
  • 2026-01-08 Pending Hays MLS
  • 2025-11-24 Contingent Hays MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $92,000 Hays MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…