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986 Spirea #44
D+ Composite 46.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

986 Spirea #44 · Marion, MI 48843
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,328 sqft · Condo · 82 Days on market
Built 2002 Fair condition $118/sqft · 21% below area Est $346k · 21% under $370/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Cozy gas fireplace
  • Peaked ceilings

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN LAYOUTWOOD FLOORSGREAT ROOMPEAKED CEILINGSCOZY GAS FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $275k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (5.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Howell Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #116 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $258,499 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$346,388
List price
$275,000
Delta
-20.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-50,369
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-50,592
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48843

Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,753 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$370
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,874
Max offer price $261,195
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $0 +0% $-95 +5% $-190 +10% $-285
Rent -10% $-313 -5% $-204 +0% $-95 +5% $13 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $43 -0.5pp $-25 base $-95 +0.5pp $-167 +1.0pp $-239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1043 Kenny Brook Ln Howell, MI 4.0 2.5 1830 $2,295 $1.25 2d 1 0.48mi
2102 Steelwood Dr Howell, MI 4.0 2.5 2218 $3,200 $1.44 18d 1 0.82mi
2132 Shale Dr Unit 84 Howell, MI 4.0 2.5 2218 $3,200 $1.44 18d 1 0.87mi
2147 Shale Dr Unit 82HOMESITE 82 Howell, MI 4.0 2.5 2218 $3,200 $1.44 18d 1 0.90mi
684 Glenlivet St Howell, MI 3.0 3.5 1812 $2,500 $1.38 25d 1 1.01mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$370 · $4,440/yr
Likely covers
gas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $275,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $300,000 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  16. 2026-04-30
    price $300,000 1119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  17. 2026-04-21
    price $315,000 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  18. 2026-04-21
    price $315,000 1119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  19. 2026-03-28
    listed $320,000 Active 1119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1100 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  20. 2026-03-28
    listed $320,000 Active 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1100 chars)

    Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!

  21. 2003-10-07
    soldstatus $224,716
  22. 2003-05-06
    listed $187,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,039
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,643
− Management
−$2,643
− HOA
−$4,440
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$5,592
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,342
After-tax cash flow
$197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 1 1/2 story condo requires moderate repairs to exterior siding and interior walls, along with routine maintenance. Upgrades to the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and some discoloration
  • Moderate Interior walls — Some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpeting — New flooring can improve both resale and rental value
  • Both Deep clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is crucial for both resale and rental

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered and some discoloration Moderate $3,000–15,000
Interior walls · Some discoloration Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $6,000–30,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpeting — New flooring can improve both resale and rental value
  • Both Deep clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is crucial for both resale and rental

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Howell Public Schools
NCES district ID
2618720
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$66,453
Composite
41.42/100
National rank
#3473
State rank
#116 of 540 in MI

Livability — Marion

Score
59/100
State rank
#607
US rank
#20314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Livingston County · 121,626 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
48,014
Household income
$94,577
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
644.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -326.17%
Current HPI
180.5058
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $315,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $315,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $320,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $320,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-10-07 Sold (MLS) $224,716 REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-06 Listed $187,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…