986 Spirea #44 · Marion, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Cozy gas fireplace
- Peaked ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $275k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (5.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Howell Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #116 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $225k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,388
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -20.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-50,369
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-50,592
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48843
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,753 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$370
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $-95
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $95 | -5% $0 | +0% $-95 | +5% $-190 | +10% $-285 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-204 | +0% $-95 | +5% $13 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $43 | -0.5pp $-25 | base $-95 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1043 Kenny Brook Ln Howell, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1830 | $2,295 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2102 Steelwood Dr Howell, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $3,200 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2132 Shale Dr Unit 84 Howell, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $3,200 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2147 Shale Dr Unit 82HOMESITE 82 Howell, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $3,200 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 684 Glenlivet St Howell, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1812 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $370 · $4,440/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $275,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $300,000 1100-char remark
Show marketing remark (1119 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
-
2026-04-30price $300,000 1119-char remark
Show marketing remark (1119 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
-
2026-04-21price $315,000 1100-char remark
Show marketing remark (1119 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
-
2026-04-21price $315,000 1119-char remark
Show marketing remark (1119 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there’s plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you’ll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck — a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage — ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell — don’t miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
-
2026-03-28$320,000 Active 1119-char remark
Show marketing remark (1100 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
-
2026-03-28$320,000 Active 1100-char remark
Show marketing remark (1100 chars)
Priced to sell! Beautiful 1 1/2 story Condo in Howell –Enjoy easy living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath cape cod style condo located in a desirable Howell community! As soon as you walk up you will see a charming covered front porch were there's plenty of space to sit and relax with your morning coffee. Inside, you'll find an open layout with wood floors in Kitchen, a bright great room featuring peaked ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and a door wall to the back deck - a great spot to unwind outdoors. This home backs up to nature and no neighbors behind you. The home also features first-floor laundry for added convenience. Your choice of the primary suite upstairs or down, first level bedroom hasa shared bath. bath with Downstairs, the full finished lower level boasts 10-foot ceilings, a walkout to the patio, and a full bathroom. another living space, recreation space, and storage - ideal for entertaining or everyday use. A 2-car attached garage completes the home. Conveniently located near expressways and downtown Howell - don't miss out on this move-in-ready gem!
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2003-10-07soldstatus $224,716
-
2003-05-06$187,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,643
- − Management
- −$2,643
- − HOA
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$5,592
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,342
- After-tax cash flow
- $197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 1 1/2 story condo requires moderate repairs to exterior siding and interior walls, along with routine maintenance. Upgrades to the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and some discoloration
- Moderate Interior walls — Some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal
- Both Replace carpeting — New flooring can improve both resale and rental value
- Both Deep clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is crucial for both resale and rental
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered and some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior walls · Some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $6,000–30,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpeting — New flooring can improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Deep clean and maintain HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is crucial for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howell Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2618720
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,453
- Composite
- 41.42/100
- National rank
- #3473
- State rank
- #116 of 540 in MI
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #607
- US rank
- #20314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Livingston County · 121,626 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,014
- Household income
- $94,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -326.17%
- Current HPI
- 180.5058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+59.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $315,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $315,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-28 Listed $320,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-28 Listed $320,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-10-07 Sold (MLS) $224,716 REALCOMP
- 2003-05-06 Listed $187,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…