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1806 W Abilene Dr
D+ Composite 49.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.3/10.0

$117,000

1806 W Abilene Dr · Weslaco, TX 78599
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 302 Days on market
Built 2003 6,010 sqft lot $108/sqft · 26% below area Est $157k · 26% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!

Key facts

  • Large driveway
  • Workshop
  • 6,010 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE DRIVEWAYWORKSHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.1% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.89%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,416
List price
$117,000
Delta
-25.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2020 W Adelita St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+1%) 2mo $175,000 $160 71
1913 W Adelita St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+1%) 20mo $159,999 $147 55
2603 North Ln 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 930 (-14%) 3mo $164,999 $177 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-17,376
Equity at exit
$17,445
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-12,983
Equity at exit
$10,116

Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78599

Home prices YoY
-3.7%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,101 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$614
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,201/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,071
Max offer price $117,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,250
Closing costs
$3,510
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1721 Harrison St Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,025 $1.02 43d 1 0.12mi
2013 Canyon Dr Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,200 $1.08 23d 1 0.17mi
2103 Taft St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,095 $0.99 43d 1 0.33mi
1430 Mile 6 1/2 W Unit 6 1/2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $877 $1.03 43d 1 0.44mi
1006 Lilia Dr Weslaco, TX 1.0 1.0 720 $650 $0.90 43d 1 0.53mi
700 Oriole Rd #2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 43d 1 0.71mi
2604 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,200 $1.12 14d 1 0.71mi
2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,300 $1.10 23d 1 0.72mi
2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 23d 1 0.72mi
2705 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,200 $1.18 23d 1 0.77mi
3600 N Westgate Dr Weslaco, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 819 $1,199 $1.46 23d 5 0.77mi
2608 Mockingbird Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,380 $1.17 21d 1 0.80mi
2613 Mockingbird Rd Unit D Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 973 $1,200 $1.23 43d 1 0.83mi
503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 21d 1 0.90mi
412 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,250 $1.23 23d 1 0.91mi
408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,400 $1.18 14d 1 0.92mi
3707 Las Vistas Ln Apt 1 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,025 $1.04 43d 1 0.99mi
3814 Bella Costa Dr Unit 3 Weslaco, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,025 $1.04 43d 1 0.99mi
222 S Westgate Dr Weslaco, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $680 $0.97 44d 1 1.16mi
222 S Westgate Dr Apt 6 Weslaco, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $680 $0.97 43d 1 1.16mi
3086 Briggs Rd Unit B Midway South, TX 2.0 3.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 23d 1 1.25mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 442 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 43d 1 1.26mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 431 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $799 $0.83 23d 1 1.26mi
3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 333 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 960 $899 $0.94 43d 1 1.26mi
309 E Mesquite St Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 43d 1 1.35mi
607 E Washington St Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 1.48mi
617 E Washington St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $117,000 Active 302 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $117,000 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $117,000 Active 300 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $117,000 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $117,000 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $117,000 Active 297 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $117,000 Active 296 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $117,000 Active 293 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $117,000 Active 292 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $117,000 Active 291 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $117,000 Active 290 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $117,000 Active 287 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,000 Active 286 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,000 Active 285 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,000 Active 284 DOM
  16. 2026-02-20
    price $117,000 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!

  17. 2025-12-23
    price $127,500 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!

  18. 2025-10-06
    price $130,000 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!

  19. 2025-08-17
    listed $135,000 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,201 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,201 · $183/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,215
− Mortgage interest
−$6,554
− Property taxes
−$2,201
− Insurance
−$585
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,057
− Management
−$1,057
− Depreciation
−$3,404
Taxable loss
−$1,643
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$394
After-tax cash flow
$685/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weslaco ISD
NCES district ID
4844960
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,867
Composite
22.05/100
National rank
#8196
State rank
#705 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weslaco

Score
72/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#6469

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Weslaco, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,400

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 42% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 90%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
19% English-only · Spanish 80%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.47%
Current HPI
243.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $117,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $127,500 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $130,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-08-17 Listed $135,000 MCALLENMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,201 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…