1806 W Abilene Dr · Weslaco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.3/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!
Key facts
- Large driveway
- Workshop
- 6,010 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.1% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.89%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,416
- List price
- $117,000
- Delta
- -25.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 W Adelita St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+1%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $160 | 71 |
| 1913 W Adelita St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+1%) | 20mo | $159,999 | $147 | 55 |
| 2603 North Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 930 (-14%) | 3mo | $164,999 | $177 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-17,376
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-12,983
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78599
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1721 Harrison St Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2013 Canyon Dr Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2103 Taft St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1430 Mile 6 1/2 W Unit 6 1/2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $877 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1006 Lilia Dr Weslaco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $650 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 700 Oriole Rd #2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2604 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2705 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3600 N Westgate Dr Weslaco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,199 | $1.46 | 23d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 2608 Mockingbird Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,380 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2613 Mockingbird Rd Unit D Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 412 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3707 Las Vistas Ln Apt 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,025 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3814 Bella Costa Dr Unit 3 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,025 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 222 S Westgate Dr Weslaco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $680 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 222 S Westgate Dr Apt 6 Weslaco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $680 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3086 Briggs Rd Unit B Midway South, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 442 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 431 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 333 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $899 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 309 E Mesquite St Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 607 E Washington St Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 617 E Washington St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $117,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $117,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $117,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $117,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $117,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-02-20price $117,000 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!
-
2025-12-23price $127,500 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!
-
2025-10-06price $130,000 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!
-
2025-08-17$135,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Investors next project! 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with a possible studio apartment located on the property. This cozy home would be perfect for older individuals needing the accommodations for safe living. Property has a large driveway for plenty of visitors to park their car. Also has a workshop next to it that may be converted to a studio apartment. Come see this unique property with before its off the market!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$2,201
- − Insurance
- −$585
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable loss
- −$1,643
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$394
- After-tax cash flow
- $685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weslaco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844960
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,867
- Composite
- 22.05/100
- National rank
- #8196
- State rank
- #705 of 826 in TX
Livability — Weslaco
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #6469
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Weslaco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,400
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 42% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 90%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 19% English-only · Spanish 80%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.47%
- Current HPI
- 243.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $117,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $127,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $130,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-08-17 Listed $135,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,201 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…