14600 Lucy Dr · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to “The I Love Lucy Home”, a lovingly updated villa where impact windows, a brand-new 2026 roof, and low HOA fees come together in one of Delray’s most active 55+ communities. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath corner villa has been thoughtfully improved to provide comfort and peace of mind. Major updates include a new roof (2026), fresh exterior paint (2026), and new gutters, making the home truly move-in ready. Hurricane-impact windows and doors installed in 2023 offer added protection, energy efficiency, and security. Inside, the home features updated kitchen cabinetry, a renovated primary bathroom, and modern gray laminate flooring, all completed in 2023, creating a clean
Key facts
- $250 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green energy-efficient features for appliances, doors, HVAC, insulation, roof, thermostat, water heater, and windows
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions/conditions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes internet; Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, billiard room, business center, pickleball, tennis courts, shuffleboard court, pool, spa/hot tub
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Security: Security guard; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Block construction; Single-story; Entry level 1; Faces west; Has property attached
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Patio; Screened porch; Security/high impact doors; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom(s)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Impact glass windows; First-floor entry; Family/Dining room; Attic; Main-level primary bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Utility room; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,575/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $250k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.65%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,800
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14576 Candy Way | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $164 | 96 |
| 15244 Lakes Of Delray Blvd #108 | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,362 (+14%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $224 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-16,110
- Equity at exit
- $37,201
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $27,185
- Equity at exit
- $21,572
Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33484
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,575 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,308
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $518/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,375
- Closing costs
- $7,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14606 Lucy Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 14696 Lucy Dr #14696 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 14464 Campanelli Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,950 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14425 Amapola Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,800 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5910 Morningstar Cir #202 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5884 Morningstar Cir #306 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $2,200 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5600 Atlantic Ave Delray Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1147 | $3,030 | $2.64 | 1d | 29 | 0.30mi |
| 14716 Canalview Dr Unit D Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $3,500 | $2.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6096 Kings Gate Cir Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14484 Canalview Dr Unit C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6234 Pointe Regal Cir Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $3,899 | $3.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5550 Nepsa Way Delray Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,776 | $2.68 | 1d | 12 | 0.48mi |
| 14608 Country Side Ln Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,950 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14050 Pacific Point Pl Delray Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $2,758 | $2.67 | 2d | 22 | 0.52mi |
| 6372 Sleepy Willow Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $3,975 | $2.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6372 Sleepy Willow Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $3,975 | $2.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 15469 Lakes of Delray Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $3,000 | $3.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 15449 Lakes of Delray Blvd #207 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $2,950 | $3.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5349 Lakefront Blvd Unit B Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6396 Country Wood Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,000 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14111 Royal Vista Dr #404 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $3,200 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 14139 Nesting Way Unit A Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 15072 Ashland Pl #132 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6557 Country Wood Way Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $4,700 | $3.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14676 Canalview Dr Unit C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14629 Canalview Dr Unit C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5385 Lakefront Blvd Unit A Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5169 Lakefront Blvd Unit D Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $2,300 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6550 Country Wood Way Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $4,000 | $2.84 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6550 Country Wood Way Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $4,000 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15364 Lakes of Delray Blvd #45 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5126 Lakefront Blvd Unit D Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $2,500 | $2.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 13916 Via Flora Unit F Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $3,000 | $3.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15355 Lakes of Delray Blvd #309 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,800 | $2.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14040 Nesting Way Unit B Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15108 Ashland Dr #215 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15109 Ashland Dr #323 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $3,500 | $3.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13886 Via Flora Unit A Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $2,075 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14401 S Military Trl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $2,384 | $2.18 | 2d | 8 | 0.76mi |
| 15235 Lakes of Delray Blvd #299 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,975 | $2.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-12$249,500 Active
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-03-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-13historical
-
2026-03-11$249,500 Active
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,071 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,552/yr (+$129/mo · 299.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,976
- − Property taxes
- −$518
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,472
- − Management
- −$2,472
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$7,258
- Taxable loss
- −$44
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,208
- Household income
- $62,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.73%
- Current HPI
- 254.5016
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+353.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $249,500 MARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $249,500 MARMLS
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $518 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…