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D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

None · New Smyrna Beach, FL 32168
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,186 sqft · Condo public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1982 $350/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this two bedroom, two bath brick home in New Smyrna Beach, FL. Centrally located, close to downtown New Smyrna and just a few minutes to the beach. Great price, great location and move in ready. HOA dues include 3 Wire internet/cable services.

Key facts

  • $350 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1982

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-361/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Read-Pattillo Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 363 students, 54% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 607 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $133k; list at $219k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,290 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.59%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-31,522
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-4,498
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32168

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
607
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,509/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$-30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,171
Max offer price $213,684
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $32 +0% $-30 +5% $-92 +10% $-154
Rent -10% $-199 -5% $-114 +0% $-30 +5% $54 +10% $138
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $26 base $-30 +0.5pp $-87 +1.0pp $-145

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
907 Hamilton St New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $2,085 $1.56 13d 1 0.34mi
618 N Duss St New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,999 $1.33 21d 1 0.57mi
14 Birdie Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,775 $1.67 25d 1 0.79mi
7 Birdie Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1046 $2,600 $2.49 25d 1 0.79mi
527 Terriere Way New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1490 $2,400 $1.61 13d 1 0.81mi
1801 Sugartree Cir New Smyrna Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $1,825 $2.53 25d 1 0.83mi
1054 Claudia St New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,750 $1.74 25d 1 0.95mi
110 Rush St New Smyrna Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 16d 1 1.13mi
201 Palmetto St New Smyrna Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 13d 1 1.18mi
2 Riverwalk Dr #202 New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1384 $3,200 $2.31 25d 1 1.33mi
159 Breezeway Ct #159 New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 967 $2,900 $3.00 25d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr
Likely covers
internetcable
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $219,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 74 DOM
  17. 2026-03-25
    price $219,000 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Check out this two bedroom, two bath brick home in New Smyrna Beach, FL. Centrally located, close to downtown New Smyrna and just a few minutes to the beach. Great price, great location and move in ready. HOA dues include 3 Wire internet/cable services.

  18. 2026-03-17
    listed $229,000 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Check out this two bedroom, two bath brick home in New Smyrna Beach, FL. Centrally located, close to downtown New Smyrna and just a few minutes to the beach. Great price, great location and move in ready. HOA dues include 3 Wire internet/cable services.

  19. 2020-03-03
    soldstatus $133,000
  20. 2016-09-07
    soldstatus $100,000
  21. 2016-09-03
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Very cute well maintained half duplex 2/2 home with open LR-DR-Kitchen floor plan. Sliders open to patio. Huge closet between kitchen and oversized garage could easily be laundry room. Laundry now is in garage on adjoining wall. Updates include water heater 2014, AC 2011. Super location close to shopping and the beach. Association rules attached.

  22. 2016-09-02
    soldstatus $100,000 Closed
  23. 2016-08-22
    historical Contingent - Inspections 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Very cute well maintained half duplex 2/2 home with open LR-DR-Kitchen floor plan. Sliders open to patio. Huge closet between kitchen and oversized garage could easily be laundry room. Laundry now is in garage on adjoining wall. Updates include water heater 2014, AC 2011. Super location close to shopping and the beach. Association rules attached.

  24. 2016-08-22
    historical Active Contingent
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Very cute well maintained half duplex 2/2 home with open LR-DR-Kitchen floor plan. Sliders open to patio. Huge closet between kitchen and oversized garage could easily be laundry room. Laundry now is in garage on adjoining wall. Updates include water heater 2014, AC 2011. Super location close to shopping and the beach. Association rules attached.

  25. 2016-08-16
    listed $110,000 Active
  26. 2016-07-01
    listed $110,000 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Very cute well maintained half duplex 2/2 home with open LR-DR-Kitchen floor plan. Sliders open to patio. Huge closet between kitchen and oversized garage could easily be laundry room. Laundry now is in garage on adjoining wall. Updates include water heater 2014, AC 2011. Super location close to shopping and the beach. Association rules attached.

  27. 2004-09-22
    soldstatus $99,900
  28. 2001-12-19
    soldstatus $63,000
  29. 1983-10-01
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,509 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,818 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$308/yr (+$26/mo · 20.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,601
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$1,509
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,048
− Management
−$2,048
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$3,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$945
After-tax cash flow
$584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — New Smyrna Beach

Score
69/100
State rank
#474
US rank
#8577

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Smyrna Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
42,039
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,847
Household income
$77,083
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
1139.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.58%
Current HPI
350.4259
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+356.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
  • 2016-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2016-09-03 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-02 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2016-08-22 Contingent Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-22 Contingent Daytona MLS
  • 2016-08-16 Listed $110,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2016-07-01 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2001-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1983-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,509 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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