15 Del Sol · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming coastal-inspired and well maintained home in the 55+ community of Spanish Lakes Golf Village. This move-in-ready residence comes fully furnished with modern finishings and features 2 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a bright Florida room perfect for relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy a tight-knit, active community with amenities included in lot rent: pool, clubhouse with frequent social events and activities, 9-hole golf course(complimentary for residents), pickleball, tennis, bocce ball, shuffleboard, fitness center, and more! Priced to sell-don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Complimentary golf
- Florida room
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (possible restrictions and number limits)
- HOA & community: Community association with amenities including clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis and pickleball courts, bocce, shuffleboard, billiard and game rooms, library, workshop area, dog park, management and on-site manager; association covers grounds maintenance and trash; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered/carport spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; 1 story; Faces south; Located east of U.S. 1
- Construction: Modular construction; Composition/shingle roof; Other skirt
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Open porch; Patio; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Linoleum; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High ceilings; Split bedroom layout; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.13%
- DSCR
- 4.08
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,138
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192 W Caribbean | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+5%) | 6mo | $49,000 | $35 | 79 |
| 110 W Caribbean | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+5%) | 5mo | $77,500 | $55 | 78 |
| 7 Giralda | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 4mo | $21,000 | $18 | 71 |
| 166 W West Caribbean | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,450 (+7%) | 14mo | $38,000 | $26 | 70 |
| 2948 Fiddlewood Cir | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 8526 Lidflower Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $50 | 60 |
| 10 Padre | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $30 | 58 |
| 3033 Satinleaf Ln | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-8%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 8394 Delphinium Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+3%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 8483 Labelia Ct | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 16mo | $265,000 | $182 | 46 |
| 8522 Leadtree Ct | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,550 (+15%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $158 | 43 |
| 3422 Feriwinkle Ct | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,184 (-12%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $173 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $56,318
- Equity at exit
- $10,064
- IRR
- 71.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.88×
- Total profit
- $129,952
- Equity at exit
- $5,836
Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 646
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$354
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$84 /mo · $1,012/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $1,089
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,135 | -5% $1,112 | +0% $1,089 | +5% $1,065 | +10% $1,042 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $933 | -5% $1,011 | +0% $1,089 | +5% $1,167 | +10% $1,244 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,123 | -0.5pp $1,106 | base $1,089 | +0.5pp $1,071 | +1.0pp $1,053 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,875
- Closing costs
- $2,025
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,055 | $2.03 | 15d | 7 | 0.43mi |
| 1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,926 | $1.72 | 15d | 6 | 0.48mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 15d | 15 | 0.54mi |
| 2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,795 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,950 | $2.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,750 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,922 | $2.15 | 15d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1041 | $2,100 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,825 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-18price $67,500
-
2026-02-24$74,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,781
- − Property taxes
- −$1,012
- − Insurance
- −$338
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,890
- − Management
- −$1,890
- − Depreciation
- −$1,964
- Taxable income
- $12,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,060
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-9.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $67,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $74,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…