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647 W Kentucky Ave
B Composite 70.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

647 W Kentucky Ave · Hayden, ID 83835
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 257 Days on market
Built 1991

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.

Key facts

  • Exterior paint
  • Split bedroom design
  • Oversized carport

Tags

SPLIT BEDROOM DESIGNOVERSIZED CARPORTSTORAGE SHEDSNEW A/C UNITNEW SHOWEREXTERIOR PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private maintained paved road
  • HOA & community: Sun Aire association; Association covers sewer, water, trash, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Community water
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured); Redman Riverview SW model
  • Construction: T1-11 exterior siding; Metal roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Open deck; Outdoor lighting; Lawn; Sprinklers in front and rear; Landscaped, level lot with southern exposure; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air furnace; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable internet available; Crawl space (no full basement)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $907 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.2% in Hayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#150 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Coeur D'Alene District (urban): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #23 of 92 in ID (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Atlas Elementary School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #106 of 357 statewide, top 33%, 438 students, 26% FRL); Canfield Middle School (math 51% / reading 72%, grade B+, #9 of 109 statewide, top 7%, 746 students, 22% FRL); Coeur D'Alene High School (math 47% / reading 80%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,548 students, 15% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $73,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
19.25%
Cash-on-cash
46.26%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$40,741
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
5.10×
Total profit
$96,415
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83835

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax est. 1.5%
$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$907

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $965 -5% $936 +0% $907 +5% $878 +10% $849
Rent -10% $758 -5% $832 +0% $907 +5% $981 +10% $1,055
Rate -1.0pp $949 -0.5pp $928 base $907 +0.5pp $885 +1.0pp $863

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $84,000 Pending 257 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,000 Active 256 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 255 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,000 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 252 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,000 Active 250 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,000 Active 249 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,000 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,000 Active 247 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,000 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,000 Active 242 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,000 Active 241 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,000 Active 240 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,000 Active 239 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    price $84,000
  17. 2026-02-03
    price $99,900
  18. 2026-01-05
    price $106,000
  19. 2025-10-02
    listed $109,000 Active
  20. 2022-07-29
    status Pending 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.

  21. 2022-07-18
    listed $159,000 Active 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.

  22. 2010-08-02
    soldstatus 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    1991 Redman Riverview, SW manufactured home in one of the areas favorite 55 and older communities - Sun Aire Estates. Super clean, move in ready home w/split bedroom design, central air, 2 storage sheds (10x10, 8x10), enclosed 2 car carport, auto sprinkler system. All appliances included. Lot rent in $245/mo. (including water, sewere, garbage). A pleasure to show.

  23. 2010-06-29
    listed $22,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    1991 Redman Riverview, SW manufactured home in one of the areas favorite 55 and older communities - Sun Aire Estates. Super clean, move in ready home w/split bedroom design, central air, 2 storage sheds (10x10, 8x10), enclosed 2 car carport, auto sprinkler system. All appliances included. Lot rent in $245/mo. (including water, sewere, garbage). A pleasure to show.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,590
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,260
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,807
− Management
−$1,807
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$10,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,435
After-tax cash flow
$8,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coeur D'Alene District
NCES district ID
1600780
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,652
Composite
44.16/100
National rank
#2858
State rank
#23 of 92 in ID

Livability — Hayden

Score
64/100
State rank
#150
US rank
#14103

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hayden, ID
County
Kootenai County · 146,553 people
City population
24,238
Metro
Coeur d'Alene, ID
Population (ZIP)
24,238
Household income
$91,316
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
345.0

Population outlook (Kootenai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,692 people
By 2030
190,689 · +7.3%
By 2040
214,704 · +20.8%
By 2050
236,510 · +33.1%
By 2075
285,984 · +60.9%
By 2100
316,459 · +78.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kootenai

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.9) · D 22.9% · R 74.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -51.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.9 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.03%
Current HPI
256.927
Rent YoY
▲ 1.16%
Metro
Coeur d'Alene, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+281.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $84,000 CDAMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $99,900 CDAMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $106,000 CDAMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $109,000 CDAMLS
  • 2022-07-29 Pending CDAMLS
  • 2022-07-18 Listed $159,000 CDAMLS
  • 2010-08-02 Sold (MLS) CDAMLS
  • 2010-06-29 Listed $22,000 CDAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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