647 W Kentucky Ave · Hayden, ID
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.
Key facts
- Exterior paint
- Split bedroom design
- Oversized carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private maintained paved road
- HOA & community: Sun Aire association; Association covers sewer, water, trash, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Community water
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured); Redman Riverview SW model
- Construction: T1-11 exterior siding; Metal roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Open deck; Outdoor lighting; Lawn; Sprinklers in front and rear; Landscaped, level lot with southern exposure; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced air furnace; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cable internet available; Crawl space (no full basement)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $907 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.2% in Hayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#150 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Coeur D'Alene District (urban): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #23 of 92 in ID (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Atlas Elementary School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #106 of 357 statewide, top 33%, 438 students, 26% FRL); Canfield Middle School (math 51% / reading 72%, grade B+, #9 of 109 statewide, top 7%, 746 students, 22% FRL); Coeur D'Alene High School (math 47% / reading 80%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,548 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.26%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $40,741
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.10×
- Total profit
- $96,415
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83835
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $907
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $965 | -5% $936 | +0% $907 | +5% $878 | +10% $849 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $758 | -5% $832 | +0% $907 | +5% $981 | +10% $1,055 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $949 | -0.5pp $928 | base $907 | +0.5pp $885 | +1.0pp $863 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-17status $84,000 Pending 257 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 256 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $84,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $84,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $84,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $84,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-05-16price $84,000
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2026-02-03price $99,900
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2026-01-05price $106,000
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2025-10-02$109,000 Active
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2022-07-29status Pending 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.
-
2022-07-18$159,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
This 1991 single wide manufactured home in popular Sun Aire Estates is ready for a new owner. This 2 bedroom 2 full bath air conditioned home has an oversized attached carport, two garden sheds, and a covered deck. The yard has a full sprinkler system and is fully fenced. Newer roof and new exterior paint in 2021. All appliances included.
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2010-08-02soldstatus 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
1991 Redman Riverview, SW manufactured home in one of the areas favorite 55 and older communities - Sun Aire Estates. Super clean, move in ready home w/split bedroom design, central air, 2 storage sheds (10x10, 8x10), enclosed 2 car carport, auto sprinkler system. All appliances included. Lot rent in $245/mo. (including water, sewere, garbage). A pleasure to show.
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2010-06-29$22,000 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
1991 Redman Riverview, SW manufactured home in one of the areas favorite 55 and older communities - Sun Aire Estates. Super clean, move in ready home w/split bedroom design, central air, 2 storage sheds (10x10, 8x10), enclosed 2 car carport, auto sprinkler system. All appliances included. Lot rent in $245/mo. (including water, sewere, garbage). A pleasure to show.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $10,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coeur D'Alene District
- NCES district ID
- 1600780
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,652
- Composite
- 44.16/100
- National rank
- #2858
- State rank
- #23 of 92 in ID
Livability — Hayden
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #14103
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hayden, ID
- County
- Kootenai County · 146,553 people
- City population
- 24,238
- Metro
- Coeur d'Alene, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,238
- Household income
- $91,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Kootenai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,692 people
- By 2030
- 190,689 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 214,704 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 236,510 · +33.1%
- By 2075
- 285,984 · +60.9%
- By 2100
- 316,459 · +78.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kootenai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.9) · D 22.9% · R 74.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -51.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.9 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.03%
- Current HPI
- 256.927
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Coeur d'Alene, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
+281.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $84,000 CDAMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $99,900 CDAMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $106,000 CDAMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $109,000 CDAMLS
- 2022-07-29 Pending — CDAMLS
- 2022-07-18 Listed $159,000 CDAMLS
- 2010-08-02 Sold (MLS) — CDAMLS
- 2010-06-29 Listed $22,000 CDAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…