🏷️ Likely Rental
300 Cherokee Ln · Onalaska, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Tenant occupied until August. Investment opportunity * Welcome to the peaceful subdivision of Canyon Park where this charming home provides a comfortable and functional living space. Whilst situated on a spacious lot in a quaint neighborhood, this home boasts plenty of room for outdoor activities and potential expansion. Just minutes away from the scenic Lake Livingston, perfect for those who enjoy boating, fishing, or relaxing by the water. Ideal for those seeking a peaceful retreat with convenient access to local amenities and outdoor recreation. All appliances are included along with a washer and dryer. Large back porch has a wheelchair ramp.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Large back porch
- Wheelchair ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered
- HOA & community: Canyon Park Property Owners Association with an annual fee of $192
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2022
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Composition roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the second floor; Additional bedroom on the third floor
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom on the first floor; Second-floor bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Utility room on the first floor; Living room on the first floor; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.9% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Onalaska Jr/Sr High (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 527 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 352 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $95 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $-700 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.09%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,000
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -25.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 W Lone Oak Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (0%) | 0mo | $112,999 | $106 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,251
- Equity at exit
- $29,935
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $35,798
- Equity at exit
- $33,329
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77360
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $282 | -5% $250 | +0% $217 | +5% $184 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $112 | -5% $165 | +0% $217 | +5% $269 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $246 | base $217 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 Broken Arrow Onalaska, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 120 Farm to Market Road 356 Unit 4 Onalaska, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $875 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$115,000 Active 654-char remark
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-06-30historical $950
-
2025-06-25$950
-
2025-05-20price $130,000
-
2025-03-27price $140,000
-
2024-10-24$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,961 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,961
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$204
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onalaska ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,882
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3616
- State rank
- #213 of 826 in TX
Livability — Onalaska
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1055
- US rank
- #18716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Onalaska, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,130
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,049 people
- By 2030
- 53,243 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 56,528 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 59,243 · +16.1%
- By 2075
- 63,528 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 60,376 · +18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.5 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+37.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Current HPI
- 150.9486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-23.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Rental Removed $950 HARMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed for Rent $950 HARMLS
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $130,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $140,000 HARMLS
- 2024-10-24 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+54.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,961 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…